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5 / 10Stock Comparison
XELB vs ICON vs AEO vs GES vs CATO
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
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Apparel - Retail
Apparel - Retail
Apparel - Retail
XELB vs ICON vs AEO vs GES vs CATO — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Apparel - Manufacturers | Marine Shipping | Apparel - Retail | Apparel - Retail | Apparel - Retail |
| Market Cap | $12M | $2M | $2.82B | $877M | $53M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $5M | $6M | $5.50B | $3.14B | $660M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-22M | $-5M | $192M | $80M | $-10M |
| Gross Margin | 100.0% | -0.7% | 33.0% | 42.4% | 32.2% |
| Operating Margin | -208.4% | -32.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | -2.4% |
| Forward P/E | — | — | 12.1x | 10.4x | — |
| Total Debt | $13M | $16M | $1.73B | $1.42B | $146M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1M | $946K | $239M | $188M | $20M |
XELB vs ICON vs AEO vs GES vs CATO — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jul 24 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xcel Brands, Inc. (XELB) | 100 | 34.0 | -66.0% |
| Icon Energy Corp. (ICON) | 100 | 0.9 | -99.1% |
| American Eagle Outf… (AEO) | 100 | 75.5 | -24.5% |
| Guess', Inc. (GES) | 100 | 69.6 | -30.4% |
| The Cato Corporation (CATO) | 100 | 57.0 | -43.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: XELB vs ICON vs AEO vs GES vs CATO
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
XELB lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
ICON is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability and sleep-well-at-night is your priority.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 0.50, yield 15.5%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.50, current ratio 0.39x
- 18.6% revenue growth vs XELB's -53.5%
- Beta 0.50 vs AEO's 2.08
AEO ranks third and is worth considering specifically for quality and efficiency.
- 3.5% margin vs XELB's -437.1%
- 4.8% ROA vs XELB's -53.8%, ROIC 8.1% vs -33.6%
GES carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 7.9%, EPS growth -75.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 4.9%
- 56.6% 10Y total return vs AEO's 45.6%
- Better valuation composite
- 5.6% yield, 4-year raise streak, vs CATO's 18.7%, (2 stocks pay no dividend)
CATO is the clearest fit if your priority is defensive.
- Beta 0.88, yield 18.7%, current ratio 1.19x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 18.6% revenue growth vs XELB's -53.5% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 3.5% margin vs XELB's -437.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.50 vs AEO's 2.08 | |
| Dividends | 5.6% yield, 4-year raise streak, vs CATO's 18.7%, (2 stocks pay no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +57.5% vs ICON's -14.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 4.8% ROA vs XELB's -53.8%, ROIC 8.1% vs -33.6% |
XELB vs ICON vs AEO vs GES vs CATO — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
XELB vs ICON vs AEO vs GES vs CATO — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 5 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
AEO leads in 2 of 6 categories
ICON leads 1 • GES leads 1 • XELB leads 0 • CATO leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AEO leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AEO is the larger business by revenue, generating $5.5B annually — 1103.8x XELB's $5M. AEO is the more profitable business, keeping 3.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to XELB's -4.4%. On growth, AEO holds the edge at +9.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $5M | $6M | $5.5B | $3.1B | $660M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$7M | -$492,000 | $546M | $150M | -$5M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$22M | -$5M | $192M | $80M | -$10M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$7M | -$24M | $25M | $123M | -$7M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +100.0% | -0.7% | +33.0% | +42.4% | +32.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -2.1% | -32.2% | +6.0% | +3.7% | -2.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -4.4% | -79.7% | +3.5% | +2.6% | -1.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -132.8% | -3.9% | +0.5% | +3.9% | -1.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -41.5% | — | +9.7% | +7.2% | +6.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -4.2% | — | -7.4% | +2.0% | +64.6% |
Valuation Metrics
ICON leads this category, winning 2 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 15.3x trailing earnings, AEO trades at a 30% valuation discount to GES's 21.8x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, AEO's 8.0x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than ICON's 9.1x.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $12M | $2M | $2.8B | $877M | $53M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $24M | $17M | $4.3B | $2.1B | $178M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -0.25x | -7.35x | 15.27x | 21.83x | -3.01x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — | 12.06x | 10.38x | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 9.12x | 7.99x | 8.72x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.41x | 0.29x | 0.51x | 0.29x | 0.08x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.19x | 0.13x | 1.73x | 2.09x | 0.35x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — | — | 24.63x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
AEO leads this category, winning 4 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
GES delivers a 14.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $14 in annual profit, vs $-131 for XELB. XELB carries lower financial leverage with a 0.47x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to GES's 2.58x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), GES scores 5/9 vs CATO's 2/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -131.3% | -23.9% | +12.1% | +14.2% | -5.8% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -53.8% | -8.3% | +4.8% | +2.7% | -2.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -33.6% | +0.8% | +8.1% | +7.8% | -6.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -39.4% | +1.0% | +10.7% | +9.3% | -9.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.47x | 1.36x | 1.02x | 2.58x | 0.90x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $12M | $15M | $1.5B | $1.2B | $126M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1M | $946,000 | $239M | $188M | $20M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $13M | $16M | $1.7B | $1.4B | $146M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -11.56x | -0.97x | 75.18x | 3.90x | -1.77x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
GES leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in GES five years ago would be worth $8,055 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,257 for ICON. Over the past 12 months, GES leads with a +57.5% total return vs ICON's -14.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AEO at 10.4% vs ICON's -49.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +120.9% | +91.4% | -35.9% | +0.1% | -2.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +2.5% | -14.9% | +53.4% | +57.5% | +27.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -60.0% | -87.4% | +34.4% | +22.1% | -52.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -87.2% | -87.4% | -48.1% | -19.5% | -60.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -96.0% | -87.4% | +45.6% | +56.6% | -72.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -26.3% | -49.9% | +10.4% | +6.9% | -21.9% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — ICON and GES each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ICON is the less volatile stock with a 0.50 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AEO's 2.08 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. GES currently trades 98.0% from its 52-week high vs ICON's 29.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.03x | 0.50x | 2.08x | 0.82x | 0.88x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $3.17 | $4.23 | $28.46 | $17.15 | $4.92 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $0.74 | $0.55 | $9.27 | $10.29 | $2.26 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +76.7% | +29.6% | +58.5% | +98.0% | +59.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 65.5 | 59.7 | 40.8 | 54.4 | 48.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 40K | 277K | 5.2M | 9.1M | 60K |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — GES and CATO each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: AEO as "Hold", GES as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 55.8% upside for GES (target: $26) vs 49.2% for AEO (target: $25). For income investors, CATO offers the higher dividend yield at 18.71% vs GES's 5.57%.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | — | Hold | Hold | — |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | — | $24.83 | $26.19 | — |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | — | 52 | 32 | — |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +15.5% | — | +5.6% | +18.7% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $0.19 | — | $0.94 | $0.55 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.9% | +100.0% | 0.0% | +6.9% | +7.4% |
AEO leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). ICON leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
XELB vs ICON vs AEO vs GES vs CATO: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is XELB or ICON or AEO or GES or CATO a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Icon Energy Corp.
(ICON) is the stronger pick with 18. 6% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -53. 5% for Xcel Brands, Inc. (XELB). American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. (AEO) offers the better valuation at 15. 3x trailing P/E (12. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. (AEO) a "Hold" — based on 52 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — XELB or ICON or AEO or GES or CATO?
On trailing P/E, American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.
(AEO) is the cheapest at 15. 3x versus Guess', Inc. at 21. 8x. On forward P/E, Guess', Inc. is actually cheaper at 10. 4x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — XELB or ICON or AEO or GES or CATO?
Over the past 5 years, Guess', Inc.
(GES) delivered a total return of -19. 5%, compared to -87. 4% for Icon Energy Corp. (ICON). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: GES returned +56. 6% versus XELB's -96. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — XELB or ICON or AEO or GES or CATO?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Icon Energy Corp.
(ICON) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 50β versus American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. 's 2. 08β — meaning AEO is approximately 315% more volatile than ICON relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Xcel Brands, Inc. (XELB) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 47% versus 3% for Guess', Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — XELB or ICON or AEO or GES or CATO?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Icon Energy Corp.
(ICON) is pulling ahead at 18. 6% versus -53. 5% for Xcel Brands, Inc. (XELB). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: The Cato Corporation grew EPS 17. 1% year-over-year, compared to -819. 6% for Xcel Brands, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, GES leads at 4. 9% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — XELB or ICON or AEO or GES or CATO?
American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.
(AEO) is the more profitable company, earning 3. 5% net margin versus -271. 2% for Xcel Brands, Inc. — meaning it keeps 3. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: AEO leads at 6. 0% versus -259. 2% for XELB. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — XELB leads at 94. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is XELB or ICON or AEO or GES or CATO more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Guess', Inc.
(GES) trades at 10. 4x forward P/E versus 12. 1x for American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. — 1. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for GES: 55. 8% to $26. 19.
08Which pays a better dividend — XELB or ICON or AEO or GES or CATO?
In this comparison, CATO (18.
7% yield), ICON (15. 5% yield), GES (5. 6% yield) pay a dividend. XELB, AEO do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is XELB or ICON or AEO or GES or CATO better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Icon Energy Corp.
(ICON) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 50), 15. 5% yield). Xcel Brands, Inc. (XELB) carries a higher beta of 2. 03 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (ICON: -87. 4%, XELB: -96. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between XELB and ICON and AEO and GES and CATO?
These companies operate in different sectors (XELB (Consumer Cyclical) and ICON (Industrials) and AEO (Consumer Cyclical) and GES (Consumer Cyclical) and CATO (Consumer Cyclical)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: XELB is a small-cap quality compounder stock; ICON is a small-cap high-growth stock; AEO is a small-cap deep-value stock; GES is a small-cap income-oriented stock; CATO is a small-cap income-oriented stock. ICON, GES, CATO pay a dividend while XELB, AEO do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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