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CWSTCasella Waste Systems, Inc.
$97.61$6.1B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
CWST logo

Casella Waste Systems, Inc.

CWST
NASDAQ · Waste Management
$97.61
At close - Oct 23, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$6.11B
P/E813.4x
52W High$107.96
Volume655.28K
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

M&A-Driven Growth Masks Thin Margins and Liquidity Risk

Casella Waste Systems is executing an aggressive M&A-driven growth strategy, with revenue up 16.9% YoY to $543.7M in 2026Q2 and total assets expanding 44% since 2024Q1. However, profitability remains strained, with net margin at just 0.7% and operating margin ...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsNeutral
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

CWST price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

7/12 Beats

EPS beat 7 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+2217% Peers

P/E is 2217% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 75 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 75)

04

Trend Check

N/A

Trend data unavailable

Next CatalystConfirmed earnings · Nov 9
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth accelerated to 16.9% YoY in 2026Q2, but net margin remains razor-thin at 0.7%, with operating margin at 3.7%, indicating that top-line expansion is not translating into proportional profitability.

Analyst Consensus+4.2% target
Buy(19 analysts)
10 Buy9 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Sustainability and innovation focus

Casella invests in cutting-edge technology and sustainability initiatives, positioning itself as an industry leader in waste management innovation.

Vertically integrated regional platform

The company's vertically integrated operations in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic regions provide steady volume and pricing power, supporting margin expansion over time.

Strong financial performance

Recent quarterly results showed revenue growth and adjusted EPS beating expectations, demonstrating the company's operational strength.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 10/25/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
CWST-1.05%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+11.24%
1-Year Return
CWST+7.46%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.13%
3-Year Return
CWST+28.60%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+81.94%
5-Year Return
CWST+17.21%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+68.60%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
813.4x
Forward P/EExpansion
72.2x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
17.6x
FCF YieldCash Flow
1.4%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
813.4x
185.8x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
17.6x
18.8x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
72.2x
73.5x
40th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$15.42-84.2%
Base (Fair)$42.46-56.5%
Bull$56.78-41.8%
$15.42 Bear$42.46 Base$56.78 Bull
Current Market Price: $97.61
Trades at a 129.9% premium to Base DCF ($42.46)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$1.84B+18.0% YoY
Net income
$8M-41.9% YoY
Free cash flow
$85M+8.4% YoY
Operating margin
4.9%-1.8 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)2.6%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)0.5%
Piotroski Score4 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
Revenue Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 6, 2026
$0.40+12.2%
vs $0.36
$544M+3.3%
vs $526M
Q2 2026
Apr 30, 2026
$0.20+100.0%
vs $0.10
$457M+0.6%
vs $454M
Q1 2026
Feb 19, 2026
$0.30+36.4%
vs $0.22
$469M-0.4%
vs $471M
Q4 2025
Oct 30, 2025
$0.42+25.9%
vs $0.33
$485M+1.8%
vs $477M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·Oct 15, 2026
Will Casella (CWST) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?

Casella (CWST) has an impressive earnings surprise history and currently possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely beat in its next quarterly report.

GlobeNewsWire·Oct 13, 2026
Casella Waste Systems, Inc. to Host Conference Call on Its Third Quarter 2026 Results

RUTLAND, Vt., Oct. 13, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (Nasdaq: CWST), a regional solid waste, recycling, and resource management services company, will release its financial results for the three months ended September 30, 2026, after the market closes on Monday, November 9, 2026.

Defense World·Oct 4, 2026
HNI (NYSE:HNI) versus Casella Waste Systems (NASDAQ:CWST) Financial Survey

HNI (NYSE: HNI - Get Free Report) and Casella Waste Systems (NASDAQ: CWST - Get Free Report) are both mid-cap industrials companies, but which is the superior investment? We will contrast the two companies based on the strength of their earnings, dividends, valuation, profitability, risk, analyst recommendations and institutional ownership. Analyst Recommendations This is a breakdown of

GlobeNewsWire·Sep 29, 2026
Casella Waste Systems, Inc. Announces a Permit Expansion at Its Hakes C&D Landfill in New York

RUTLAND, Vt., Sept. 29, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (Nasdaq: CWST), a regional solid waste, recycling and resource management services company, announced that the New York State Department of Environmental Conservation issued a permit to expand its Hakes Construction and Demolition (“C&D”) Landfill located in Campbell, New York (“the Hakes Landfill”) disposal area by approximately 43.3 acres. The expansion provides an estimated 5.8 million cubic yards of additional disposal capacity.

Filtered for Casella Waste Systems, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark CWST against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (CWST)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
CWST logoCWSTCasella Waste Systems, Inc.Current
$97.61$6.11B813.4217.95%0.43%0.5%—
WM logoWMWaste Management, Inc.
$239.38$95.68B35.7314.24%11.12%28.92%—
RSG logoRSGRepublic Services, Inc.
$240.45$73.98B35.103.49%12.94%18.26%—
WCN logoWCNWaste Connections, Inc.
$186.60$47.03B44.646.55%11.4%14.18%—
USPH logoUSPHU.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
$88.53$1.35B62.3516.33%0.32%0.29%—
CLH logoCLHClean Harbors, Inc.
$318.76$16.83B43.792.39%7.03%15.65%—

Compare CWST vs Peers

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (CWST) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs WM

Most directly comparable listed peer for CWST.

Scale Benchmark

vs CAT

Larger-name benchmark to compare CWST against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs WM, RSG, WCN, USPH

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

CWST SEC Filings & Documents

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (CWST) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 6, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 1, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 8, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Feb 20, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 18, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Feb 16, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 7, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 1, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Oct 31, 2025·SEC

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CWST Frequently Asked Questions

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (CWST) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Casella Waste Systems, Inc.'s revenue?

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (CWST) reported $1.96B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 2571% increase from $73.2M in 1997.

How fast is Casella Waste Systems, Inc. growing?

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (CWST) grew revenue by 18.0% over the past year. This is strong growth.

Is CWST profitable?

Yes, Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (CWST) is profitable, generating $5.7M in net income for fiscal year 2025 (0.4% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
What is CWST's return on equity?

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (CWST) has a return on equity (ROE) of 0.5%. This is below average, suggesting room for improvement.

What is Casella Waste Systems, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (CWST) generated $105.7M in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in CWST back in 1997?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 29+ years of data

See returns →