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LITELumentum Holdings Inc.
$1085.42$84.4B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
LITE logo

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

LITE
NASDAQ · Communication Equipment
$1085.42
At close - Oct 2, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$84.45B
P/E2933.6x
52W High$1091.61
Volume4.64M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q4

AI-Driven Surge Masks Structural Profitability and Balance Sheet Risks

Lumentum is experiencing a powerful AI-driven demand cycle, with Q4 FY2026 revenue surging 109.3% year-over-year and operating income swinging to a $270.3M profit, demonstrating significant operating leverage. However, this growth appears cyclical and may be m...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsStrong
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

LITE price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

12/12 Beats

EPS beat 12 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+5302% Peers

P/E is 5302% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 96 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 96% of market)

04

Strong Uptrend

Strong Trend

Price > 20DMA > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Nov 11
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth has accelerated to 109.3% YoY in Q4 FY2026, driving a gross margin recovery to 47.4%, yet the full-year operating margin remains negative at -11.7%, indicating persistent overhead and integration costs.

Analyst Consensus+1.5% target
Buy(25 analysts)
18 Buy7 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Photonic revolution leadership

Lumentum leads the photonic revolution, which is crucial for data center buildouts, supporting robust top and bottom-line growth.

AI infrastructure growth

The company's role in AI infrastructure and strategic acquisitions are key drivers of its growth trajectory.

Structural importance in tech

Lumentum is one of the most structurally important and financially compelling growth stories in global technology markets today.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 10/3/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
LITE+181.12%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.66%
1-Year Return
LITE+539.42%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.01%
3-Year Return
LITE+2276.14%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+96.31%
5-Year Return
LITE+1219.50%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+100.18%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
2933.6x
Forward P/EExpansion
132.0x
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
1341.6x
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
2933.6x
30.6x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
1341.6x
42.1x
100th· High
Price/FCF
N/A
16.0x
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$13.13-98.8%
Base (Fair)$524.52-51.7%
Bull$46.47-95.7%
$13.13 Bear$524.52 Base$46.47 Bull
Current Market Price: $1085.42
Trades at a 106.9% premium to Base DCF ($524.52)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$1.65B+21.0% YoY
Net income
$26M+104.7% YoY
Free cash flow
-$105M+5.9% YoY
Operating margin
-11.7%+14.9 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)-4.6%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)2.5%
Piotroski Score7 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate12/12 (100%)
Revenue Beat Rate11/12 (92%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 11, 2026
$3.23+8.8%
vs $2.97
$1.0B+1.9%
vs $988M
Q2 2026
May 5, 2026
$2.37+4.4%
vs $2.27
$808M-0.2%
vs $810M
Q1 2026
Feb 3, 2026
$1.67+18.4%
vs $1.41
$666M+2.1%
vs $652M
Q4 2025
Nov 4, 2025
$1.10+6.8%
vs $1.03
$534M+1.4%
vs $526M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Benzinga·1d ago
Lumentum Leads As Technology And Semiconductors Drive Order Flow Activity

Source: TradePulse | October 1, 2026 as of 2:00PM EST

24/7 Wall Street·1d ago
Coherent Jumps 10% on PhotonLink Push and Bernstein's Outperform Start; Lumentum Rises 9%, Corning Advances 3%

Coherent Corp. (NYSE:COHR | COHR Price Prediction) stock jumped 10% to $315.71 as traders focused on the company's PhotonLink platform and fresh Wall Street support for AI infrastructure suppliers. Lumentum Holdings (NASDAQ:LITE) stock rose 9% to $1,058.

GuruFocus·2d ago
Lumentum Announces Speaker Lineup at 2026 OCP Global Summit

Lumentum, a global leader in optical and photonic technology, today announced its speaker lineup at the [url="]2026 Open Compute Project (OCP) Global Summit[/ur

Business Wire·2d ago
Lumentum Announces Speaker Lineup at 2026 OCP Global Summit

SAN JOSE, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Lumentum, a global leader in optical and photonic technology, today announced its speaker lineup at the 2026 Open Compute Project (OCP) Global Summit, themed “Scaling Innovation for the AI Era.” The event will take place from October 12 – 15 at the San Jose McEnery Convention Center. External Laser Source Architectures for Deployable CPO-Based AI Networks​ Christian Urricariet, Senior Director, Product and Strategic Marketing Wednesday, October 14 from 1:10 –.

Filtered for Lumentum Holdings Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark LITE against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
LITE logoLITELumentum Holdings Inc.Current
$1085.42$84.45B2933.5721.03%1.57%2.48%—
COHR logoCOHRCoherent, Inc.
$337.04$65.94B283.23-64.79%11.31%8.09%—
AAOI logoAAOIApplied Optoelectronics, Inc.
$115.59$9.28B-180.6182.75%-9.57%-5.61%—
IPGP logoIPGPIPG Photonics Corporation
$84.05$3.57B115.142.73%2.58%1.3%—
VIAV logoVIAVViavi Solutions Inc.
$47.10$11.62B314.008.39%-2%-3.16%—
CIEN logoCIENCiena Corporation
$391.34$55.4B460.4018.79%10.87%22.82%—

Compare LITE vs Peers

Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs COHR

Most directly comparable listed peer for LITE.

Scale Benchmark

vs NVDA

Larger-name benchmark to compare LITE against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs COHR, AAOI, IPGP, VIAV

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

LITE SEC Filings & Documents

Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 11, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 1, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Aug 17, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Aug 19, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Aug 21, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

May 6, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Feb 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 5, 2025·SEC

Get notified when LITE posts new earnings or crosses analyst targets

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LITE Frequently Asked Questions

Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Lumentum Holdings Inc.'s revenue?

Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) reported $3.01B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 291% increase from $769.9M in 2013.

How fast is Lumentum Holdings Inc. growing?

Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) grew revenue by 21.0% over the past year. This is strong growth.

Is LITE profitable?

Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) reported a net loss of $6.94B for fiscal year 2025.

Dividend & Returns
What is LITE's return on equity?

Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) has a return on equity (ROE) of 2.5%. This is below average, suggesting room for improvement.

What is Lumentum Holdings Inc.'s free cash flow?

Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) generated $550.5M in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in LITE back in 2013?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 13+ years of data

See returns →