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NTRSNorthern Trust Corporation
$172.76$31.6B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
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NTRS logo

Northern Trust Corporation

NTRS
NASDAQ · Asset Managers & Custodians
$172.76
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$31.61B
P/E13.0x
52W High$195.78
Volume1.11M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Fee-Driven Franchise Faces Thin Spread and Earnings Quality Questions

Northern Trust relies on fee income, which constitutes roughly 70% to 80% of revenue, from custody, servicing, and wealth management, reducing its dependence on lending spreads.

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsMixed
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

NTRS price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

12/12 Beats

EPS beat 12 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

In Line

P/E is in line with peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 67 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 67)

04

Mixed Trend

Mixed

Price < 50DMA but > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 21
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Net interest income rose from $522.9M in 2024Q2 to $671.4M in 2026Q3, but a net interest margin of roughly 0.4% and a volatile efficiency ratio ranging from 56.5% to 73.1% indicate that top-line and margin performance remain uneven across quarters.

Analyst Consensus+7.7% target
Hold(35 analysts)
12 Buy18 Hold5 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Q4 2025 Earnings Beat

Northern Trust posted net income of $466 million and adjusted EPS of $2.69 in Q4 2025, exceeding analyst expectations. The performance was driven by a sharp rise in fee‑based revenue amid a sustained global market rally.

Wealth Management Shift & Higher Margins

The company’s wealth management arm now enjoys higher pretax margins than asset servicing. Northern Trust is expanding through Family Office Solutions, targeting ultra‑high‑net‑worth clients for additional growth.

Technology Payback & Operational Leverage

Significant technology investments made over the past three years are entering a payback phase, improving operational leverage. Expense‑to‑trust fee ratios are declining, with guidance for low‑ to mid‑single‑digit fee growth versus less than 5% expense growth in 2026.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
NTRS+25.82%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
NTRS+37.21%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
NTRS+158.94%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+70.24%
5-Year Return
NTRS+52.38%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+57.94%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
13.0x
Forward P/E
14.6x
EV/EBITDA
-3.5x
FCF YieldCash Flow
4.6%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
13.0x
15.6x
20th· Low
EV/EBITDA
-3.5x
N/A
N/A
Price/FCF
21.9x
11.1x
75th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$116.42-32.6%
Base (Fair)$147.17-14.8%
Bull$159.49-7.7%
$116.42 Bear$147.17 Base$159.49 Bull
Current Market Price: $172.76
Trades at a 17.4% premium to Base DCF ($147.17)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$8.09B-2.5% YoY
Net income FY25
$1.74B-14.5% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$5.46B+543.3% YoY
Operating margin FY25
28.8%-3.2 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)6%
Avg ROIC 5Y6%
ROE (TTM)18.4%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate12/12 (100%)
Revenue Beat Rate11/12 (92%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 21, 2026
$3.20+11.5%
vs $2.87
$2.3B+1.8%
vs $2.3B
Q3 2026
Jul 22, 2026
$2.97+9.6%
vs $2.71
$2.7B+0.5%
vs $2.7B
Q2 2026
Apr 21, 2026
$2.71+16.8%
vs $2.32
$2.2B+4.4%
vs $2.1B
Q1 2026
Jan 22, 2026
$2.69+13.5%
vs $2.37
$2.1B+3.8%
vs $2.1B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Business Wire·Oct 28, 2026
Northern Trust Celebrates 30 Years in Singapore

SINGAPORE--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- #assetmanagement--Northern Trust is celebrating the 30th anniversary of its Singapore branch, marking three decades of serving clients across the Asia Pacific region.

The Motley Fool·Oct 28, 2026
Northern Trust: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors

Northern Trust increased third quarter revenue 11% excluding notable items. The company returned over $1.5 billion to shareholders year to date.

Business Wire·Oct 28, 2026
Northern Trust Appoints Andy Ponsford as Head of Insurance, EMEA

LONDON--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Northern Trust (Nasdaq: NTRS) today announced that Andy Ponsford has joined the company as Head of Insurance, Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA). In this newly created role, Ponsford will lead the continued expansion of Northern Trust's insurance servicing capabilities across the region, helping to deliver an integrated operating model designed to support the operational, accounting, investment and regulatory needs of insurance companies. Northern Trust currently ser.

The Motley Fool·Oct 27, 2026
Which Real Estate ETF Is the Better Buy: State Street's XLRE or Northern Trust's Global GQRE?

State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF offers a significantly lower expense ratio. Northern Trust Global Quality Real Estate ETF provides exposure to 201 holdings globally, while State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF focuses on 30 S&P 500 real estate companies.

Filtered for Northern Trust CorporationMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark NTRS against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
NTRS logoNTRSNorthern Trust CorporationCurrent
$172.76$31.61B13.04-2.46%26.03%18.41%1.82%
STT logoSTTState Street Corporation
$165.56$45.82B12.557.93%23.78%13.1%1.87%
TROW logoTROWT. Rowe Price Group, Inc.
$108.41$23.23B10.583.12%28.4%17.96%4.71%
BEN logoBENFranklin Resources, Inc.
$33.73$17.53B19.533.52%9.65%6.35%3.93%
IVZ logoIVZInvesco Ltd.
$27.08$12B-155.724.75%-1.12%-0.59%3.07%
GS logoGSThe Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
$865.82$260.7B11.768.92%31.81%17.9%1.92%

Compare NTRS vs Peers

Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs STT

Most directly comparable listed peer for NTRS.

Scale Benchmark

vs JPM

Larger-name benchmark to compare NTRS against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs STT, TROW, BEN, IVZ

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

NTRS SEC Filings & Documents

Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Oct 21, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Oct 20, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 3, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 24, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 24, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Oct 29, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 30, 2026·SEC

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NTRS Frequently Asked Questions

Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
How fast is Northern Trust Corporation growing?

Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) grew revenue by 17.6% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is NTRS profitable?

Yes. Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) earned $2.43B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 26.0% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does NTRS pay dividends?

Yes. Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) pays a dividend that yields 1.82% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is NTRS's return on equity?

Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) had a return on equity (ROE) of 18.4% over the trailing twelve months. That is above the market's typical 10-15%.

Industry Metrics
What is Northern Trust Corporation's net interest margin?

Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) has a net interest margin (NIM) of 1.4%. NIM has been under pressure due to interest rate environment.

What is Northern Trust Corporation's efficiency ratio?

Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) has an efficiency ratio of 71.2%. This is higher than peers, suggesting room for cost optimization.

What if you invested $1,000 in NTRS back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →