ALEX trades 1.8% below Wall Street's consensus target of $21.21.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes ALEX achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 31.1x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 8 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 22, 2026, Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. (ALEX) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $21.21, based on estimates from 8 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $20.84, this represents a potential upside of +1.8%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.52B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $20.85 to a high of $22.00, representing a 5% spread in expectations. The median target of $21.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 4 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,4 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, ALEX trades at a trailing P/E of 23.4x and forward P/E of 31.1x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.49 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -24.6% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $12.46, with bear and bull scenarios of $7.85 and $16.42 respectively. Model confidence stands at 43/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UEUrban Edge Properties | $2.8B | $22.27 | $23.00 | +3.3% | Hold | 43.2x | 7 |
WHLRWheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc. | $1M | $3.47 | — | — | Buy | — | 5 |
NXRTNexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. | $684M | $26.97 | $27.00 | +0.1% | Hold | — | 10 |
PECOPhillips Edison & Company, Inc. | $5.1B | $40.69 | $41.50 | +2.0% | Buy | 52.3x | 15 |
KIMKimco Realty Corporation | $16.4B | $24.38 | $25.17 | +3.2% | Hold | 29.6x | 36 |
REGRegency Centers Corporation | $14.1B | $76.88 | $83.56 | +8.7% | Buy | 31.1x | 32 |
BRXBrixmor Property Group Inc. | $9.5B | $30.91 | $33.13 | +7.2% | Buy | 26.8x | 30 |
SITCSITE Centers Corp. | $250M | $4.77 | $8.00 | +67.7% | Hold | — | 31 |
AKRAcadia Realty Trust | $2.8B | $21.13 | $24.00 | +13.6% | Buy | 53.4x | 12 |
CBRECBRE Group, Inc. | $38.6B | $131.55 | $180.50 | +37.2% | Buy | 17.0x | 20 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying ALEX stock.
The consensus price target for ALEX is $21.21, close to the current price of $20.84 (1.8% implied move). Based on 8 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
ALEX has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 8 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 4 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $21.21 implies 1.8% upside from current levels.
ALEX trades at a forward P/E of 31.1045x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $21.21 (1.8% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $22 for ALEX, while the most conservative target is $20.85. The consensus of $21.21 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $16 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
ALEX is moderately covered, with 8 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 4 have Buy ratings, 4 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month ALEX stock forecast based on 8 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $21.21, with estimates ranging from $20.85 (bear case) to $22 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $12, with bear/bull scenarios of $8/$16.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates ALEX's fair value at $12 (base case), with a bear case of $8 and bull case of $16. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 43/100.
ALEX trades at a forward P/E ratio of 31.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 23.4x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
ALEX appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $21.21 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
ALEX analyst price targets range from $20.85 to $22, a 5% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $21.21 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $8-$16 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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