NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. (NXRT) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 10 analysts0.1% Below Target
NXRT trades 0.1% below Wall Street's consensus target of $27.00.
Current Price$26.97
Average Target$27.00
Low$27.00
Median$27.00
High$27.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E—
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth-26.3%
(Declining)
Analyst Spread0.0%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes NXRT achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of historical averagesx. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 10 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
NXRT Price Target Analysis
Updated June 21, 2026As of June 21, 2026, NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. (NXRT) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $27.00, based on estimates from 10 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $26.97, this represents a potential upside of +0.1%. The company has a market capitalization of $684M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $27.00 to a high of $27.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $27.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 3 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,6 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, NXRT trades at a trailing P/E of -21.4x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -26.3% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $38.56, with bear and bull scenarios of $24.29 and $50.81 respectively. Model confidence stands at 53/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Real Estate stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+135.3%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
52.7x
(High Premium)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 IRTIndependence Realty Trust, Inc. | $3.7B | $15.82 | $19.50 | +23.3% | Buy | 108.2x | 27 |
 NVCRNovoCure Limited | $1.6B | $14.28 | $33.00 | +131.1% | Buy | — | 15 |
 ELMEElme Communities | $179M | $2.01 | $19.00 | +845.3% | Hold | — | 8 |
 BRTBRT Apartments Corp. | $280M | $14.89 | $21.00 | +41.0% | Buy | — | 5 |
 IIPRInnovative Industrial Properties, Inc. | $1.7B | $59.60 | $84.67 | +42.1% | Hold | 13.9x | 11 |
 MAAMid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. | $15.4B | $132.50 | $141.62 | +6.9% | Buy | 38.9x | 37 |
 CPTCamden Property Trust | $11.4B | $108.99 | $111.89 | +2.7% | Hold | 66.6x | 41 |
 UDRUDR, Inc. | $12.2B | $37.56 | $39.50 | +5.2% | Buy | 45.1x | 38 |
 EQREquity Residential | $24.0B | $64.09 | $70.82 | +10.5% | Hold | 43.4x | 46 |
 AIVApartment Investment and Management Company | $417M | $2.90 | $10.00 | +244.8% | Hold | — | 3 |
NXRT — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying NXRT stock.
What is the NXRT stock price target for 2026?
The consensus price target for NXRT is $27, close to the current price of $26.97 (0.1% implied move). Based on 10 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
Is NXRT a buy, sell, or hold?
NXRT has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 10 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 6 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $27 implies 0.1% upside from current levels.
Is NXRT stock overvalued or undervalued?
NXRT's current price is $26.97 with a consensus target of $27 (0.1% implied move). Analyst estimates suggest the stock is fairly valued at current levels.
How high can NXRT stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $27 for NXRT, while the most conservative target is $27. The consensus of $27 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $51 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover NXRT stock?
NXRT is moderately covered, with 10 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 3 have Buy ratings, 6 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the NXRT stock forecast?
The 12-month NXRT stock forecast based on 10 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $27, with estimates ranging from $27 (bear case) to $27 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $39, with bear/bull scenarios of $24/$51.
What is NXRT's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates NXRT's fair value at $39 (base case), with a bear case of $24 and bull case of $51. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 53/100.
Should I buy NXRT stock?
NXRT appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $27 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do NXRT price targets vary so much?
NXRT analyst price targets range from $27 to $27, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $27 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $24-$51 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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