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ALKAlaska Air Group, Inc.
$38.94$4.3B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
ALK logo

Alaska Air Group, Inc.

ALK
NYSE · Airlines & Airports
$38.94
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$4.34B
P/E-11.0x
52W High$60.63
Volume2.35M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Hawaiian Acquisition Leverage Compresses Margins, Liquidity

Alaska Air Group's $4.3B in 2026Q3 revenue (+14.4% y/y) suggests top-line scale following the Hawaiian integration, but operating income has collapsed 76% from the 2024Q3 peak of $341M to just $82M, indicating cost absorption is outrunning capacity-driven growth.

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

ALK price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

8/12 Beats

EPS beat 8 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-163% Peers

P/E is 163% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 43 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 57% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 20
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue grew 14.4% y/y to $4.3B in 2026Q3, yet operating margin compressed to 1.9% from 11.1% in 2024Q3 and net margin turned negative at -3.4%, suggesting integration and overhead costs are scaling faster than the top line.

Analyst Consensus+24.7% target
Buy(28 analysts)
22 Buy5 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Resilient Q4 performance

Alaska Air Group demonstrated resilience in Q4, with strong unit revenue and better cost management.

Strong Wall Street consensus

The stock has unanimous buy ratings from analysts, with 16 out of 16 recommending Strong Buy or Buy.

2026 EPS rebound expected

Despite leverage risks, analysts project a rebound in earnings per share by 2026.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
ALK-24.42%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
ALK-5.32%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
ALK+18.57%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+69.69%
5-Year Return
ALK-33.87%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+57.62%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
-11.0x
Forward P/E
N/A
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
19.8x
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
-11.0x
21.3x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
19.8x
11.1x
100th· High
Price/FCF
N/A
45.4x
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
No DCF Model AvailableIntrinsic value modeling is not supported for this equity.

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$14.24B+21.3% YoY
Net income FY25
$100M-74.7% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
-$339M-285.2% YoY
Operating margin FY25
2.1%-2.7 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)2.3%
Avg ROIC 5Y3.8%
ROE (TTM)-10.5%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
Revenue Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 20, 2026
$0.36-8.3%
vs $0.39
$4.3B-0.1%
vs $4.3B
Q3 2026
Jul 21, 2026
-$0.92+7.3%
vs -$0.99
$4.1B-0.7%
vs $4.1B
Q2 2026
Apr 20, 2026
-$1.68-1.8%
vs -$1.65
$3.3B+0.2%
vs $3.3B
Q1 2026
Jan 22, 2026
$0.43+290.9%
vs $0.11
$3.6B-0.3%
vs $3.6B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·2d ago
Is Alaska Air (ALK) a Buy as Wall Street Analysts Look Optimistic?

Investors often turn to recommendations made by Wall Street analysts before making a Buy, Sell, or Hold decision about a stock. While media reports about rating changes by these brokerage-firm employed (or sell-side) analysts often affect a stock's price, do they really matter?

Reuters·Oct 30, 2026
Alaska Air to cut 200 jobs as fuel costs threaten $700 million annual loss

Alaska Air to cut 200 jobs as fuel costs threaten $700 million annual loss

Zacks Investment Research·Oct 29, 2026
Is Trending Stock Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) a Buy Now?

Alaska Air (ALK) has been one of the stocks most watched by Zacks.com users lately. So, it is worth exploring what lies ahead for the stock.

Zacks Investment Research·Oct 28, 2026
Should Investors Avoid Alaska Air Stock Despite Q3 Earnings Beat?

We assess the investment worthiness of ALK stock post its third-quarter 2026 earnings release.

Filtered for Alaska Air Group, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark ALK against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
ALK logoALKAlaska Air Group, Inc.Current
$38.94$4.34B-11.0021.34%-2.58%-10.5%—
DAL logoDALDelta Air Lines, Inc.
$87.20$57.34B17.472.79%4.58%15.4%0.77%
UAL logoUALUnited Airlines Holdings, Inc.
$112.74$36.59B10.323.52%5.46%21.81%—
AAL logoAALAmerican Airlines Group Inc.
$13.18$8.72B-18.160.78%-0.79%——
LUV logoLUVSouthwest Airlines Co.
$44.45$21.75B20.852.11%3.34%14.39%1.61%
JBLU logoJBLUJetBlue Airways Corporation
$3.67$1.38B-1.38-2.34%-10.01%-58.36%—

Compare ALK vs Peers

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs DAL

Most directly comparable listed peer for ALK.

Scale Benchmark

vs GE

Larger-name benchmark to compare ALK against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs DAL, UAL, AAL, LUV

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

ALK SEC Filings & Documents

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Oct 20, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Sep 29, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 21, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 12, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 14, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 7, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 6, 2025·SEC

Get notified when ALK posts new earnings or crosses analyst targets

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ALK Frequently Asked Questions

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Alaska Air Group, Inc.'s revenue?

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) reported $15.30B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $14.24B in fiscal year 2025. That is 794% more than the $1.59B of fiscal year 1996.

How fast is Alaska Air Group, Inc. growing?

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) grew revenue by 8.2% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is ALK profitable?

No. Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) reported a net loss of $395.0M over the trailing twelve months.

Dividend & Returns
What is ALK's return on equity?

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) had a return on equity (ROE) of -10.5% over the trailing twelve months. A negative ROE means the company lost money over the period.

What is Alaska Air Group, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) had negative free cash flow of $650.0M over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in ALK back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →