Bull case
The bull case requires both strong earnings delivery and the market pricing BEP more generously than it does today.
Wall Street verdict, consensus price target, and analyst rating breakdown — everything needed to frame the risk/reward at today's price.
Three scenarios for where BEP stock could go
The bull case requires both strong earnings delivery and the market pricing BEP more generously than it does today.
The base case reflects analyst consensus expectations — steady delivery without requiring a major catalyst or re-rating.
The bear case reflects a scenario where earnings shortfalls or multiple compression combine to materially reduce the stock from its current level.
Not financial advice. Model confidence reflects internal scenario assumptions, not a guarantee of returns. Past performance does not predict future results.

Brookfield Renewable Partners is one of the world's largest publicly traded renewable power platforms, owning and operating hydroelectric, wind, solar, and storage facilities across multiple continents. It generates revenue primarily through long-term power purchase agreements — selling electricity to utilities and corporate customers — with additional income from development activities and asset sales. Its key advantage is scale and diversification across geographies and technologies, backed by Brookfield Asset Management's deep capital and operational expertise.
Quarterly beat-or-miss track record against analyst estimates, plus forward revenue and EPS outlook for the next two fiscal years.
| Quarter | EPS (Actual / Est) | EPS Surprise | Revenue (Actual / Est) | Rev Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $-0.22/$-0.19 | -15.8% | $1.7B/$1.6B | +4.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $-0.23/$-0.45 | +48.9% | $1.6B/$1.6B | -0.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.54/$-0.34 | +258.8% | $1.5B/$1.4B | +8.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $-0.40/$-0.36 | -11.1% | $1.5B/$1.5B | +1.0% |
BEP beat EPS estimates in 2 of 4 tracked quarters. Mixed delivery makes the upcoming report a key data point for re-rating.
Product and geographic revenue mix from the latest annual disclosure, with year-over-year growth by segment.
Latest annual revenue by segment or product family
Latest annual revenue by reported region
Tap, hover, or focus a slice to inspect segment detail.
Current multiples compared to the S&P 500, the company's sector, and its own five-year average.
Fair value est. $61 — implies +83.8% from today's price.
| Metric | BEP | S&P 500 | Utilities | 5Y Avg BEP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward PE | — | 19.1x | 17.5x | — |
| Trailing PE | -499.7x | 25.1x-2090% | 20.1x-2591% | — |
| PEG Ratio | — | 1.72x | 1.69x | — |
| EV/EBITDA | 13.1x | 15.2x-14% | 11.4x+15% | 12.3x |
| Price/FCF | — | 21.1x | 15.1x | — |
| Price/Sales | 1.6x | 3.1x-49% | 2.2x-26% | 1.5x |
| Dividend Yield | 12.00% | 1.87% | 3.06% | 13.06% |
Forward P/E and PEG reflect analyst consensus estimates. Historical averages use trailing ratios where forward data is unavailable.S&P 500 and sector benchmarks both use trailing median P/E — similar readings indicate the broader index and sector are priced alike.
Open valuation toolBEP earns 13.3% operating margin on regulated earnings, 12.0% dividend yield. Utilities carry higher leverage than industrials as a structural feature of the business model.
Revenue, regulated margins, and earnings
ROIC, leverage, and debt serviceability
Regulated utilities typically operate at 3–5× net debt/FCF — this is structural, not a risk flag.
How capital is returned to owners
All figures from the trailing twelve months. Utilities operate with structural leverage (3–5× net debt/FCF) due to regulated, predictable cash flows.
Open full ratios pageKey factors that could pressure the stock price, compress the multiple, or weigh on future results.
AI analysis · updated April 29, 2026
BEP carries a significant debt load with a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.0x, raising concerns about its financial stability. Interest expenses have exceeded operating income, creating pressure on the company until interest rates moderate.
The company has reported a negative price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of -30.37, indicating negative earnings over the trailing twelve months. This raises concerns about its profitability and financial health.
BEP has a current ratio of 0.61, suggesting potential difficulties in meeting its short-term obligations. This low liquidity position could impact its operational flexibility.
BEP has a high dividend payout ratio of 86%, which may limit its ability to reinvest in growth or manage financial challenges. This could pose risks to future dividend sustainability.
Political uncertainty surrounding renewable energy policies can significantly impact BEP's operations and profitability. Changes in government policies could lead to regulatory risks and affect market conditions.
The company's financial performance is sensitive to fluctuations in interest rates. Rising interest rates could increase borrowing costs and negatively affect profitability.
While BEP has shown stable price movement in the past three months, broader market volatility can still affect its stock performance. This could lead to fluctuations in investor sentiment and stock price.
BEP's dependence on Brookfield Asset Management and its significant influence over the company is a risk factor. This reliance could impact decision-making and strategic direction.
These are risk mechanisms, not predictions. The key question is which would force a cut to earnings estimates or a lower multiple than the market currently prices in.
Structural drivers behind the upside case and why the stock could outperform over the next 12 months.
AI analysis · updated April 29, 2026
BEP has demonstrated impressive financial results, with a significant year-over-year increase in Funds From Operations (FFO) per unit, meeting its growth targets. Management projects double-digit FFO per unit growth and consistent distributable profit growth annually.
BEP owns and operates a global portfolio of renewable power generating facilities, including hydroelectric, wind, solar, and storage assets across multiple continents. The company has a substantial development pipeline and is actively commissioning new capacity each year, with plans to accelerate this in the coming years.
BEP has secured significant multi-gigawatt agreements with major corporate clients like Google and Microsoft, positioning itself as a preferred clean energy provider. The increasing demand for energy driven by technological advancements, particularly the AI revolution and the growth of data centers, is expected to significantly benefit BEP.
BEP maintains manageable debt levels with a healthy Debt/FFO ratio and no significant near-term payment obligations. The company has a strong liquidity position, with substantial available funds to support growth initiatives.
Despite recent surges, some analysts believe BEP offers a compelling valuation relative to its growth potential and historical averages. The company offers an attractive distribution yield, with management targeting annual increases.
A real bull case compounds — each driver matters most when it strengthens margins, supports capital returns, and keeps the company above the market's minimum growth bar simultaneously.
52-week range context and price returns across multiple time horizons. Dividend contribution is shown separately in the Capital Return section.
Range context matters because valuation compression and earnings misses rarely hit from the same starting point. A stock already far below its high can still fall, but it is no longer carrying the same embedded optimism as one pressing a fresh peak.
Valuation, growth, and margin comparison against the closest publicly traded peers for this company.
| Company | Mkt Cap | Fwd PE | Rev Grw | Margin | Rating | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BEP BEP Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P. | $10.3B | — | +8.4% | 3.3% | Buy | +4.4% |
CWE CWEN Clearway Energy, Inc. | $8.0B | — | +6.3% | 11.8% | Buy | +12.2% |
NEE NEE NextEra Energy, Inc. | $200.8B | 23.8x | +9.1% | 29.3% | Buy | +1.9% |
AES AES The AES Corporation | $10.2B | 6.2x | +0.9% | 8.4% | Hold | +27.0% |
BLX BLX Banco Latinoamericano de Comercio Exterior, S. A. | $2.0B | 8.5x | -24.1% | — | Buy | — |
ENP ENPH Enphase Energy, Inc. | $4.7B | 17.9x | -4.5% | 9.6% | Hold | +20.7% |
This peer comparison reflects companies with similar business models, product lines, or market positioning, supplemented by industry grouping when direct matches are limited.
BEP returns 12.0% total yield, led by a 12.00% dividend.
Yield, cadence, and growth quality
How much per-share support comes from repurchases
| Year | Div / Share | YoY Grw | BB Yield | Total Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0.39 | — | — | — |
| 2025 | $1.49 | +5.1% | 0.0% | 15.0% |
| 2024 | $1.42 | +5.2% | 2.7% | 18.2% |
| 2023 | $1.35 | -15.6% | 0.6% | 14.2% |
| 2022 | $1.60 | +31.7% | 3.5% | 16.1% |
Common questions answered from live analyst data and company financials.
Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P. (BEP) is rated Buy by Wall Street analysts as of 2026. Of 20 analysts covering the stock, 14 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 6 rate it Hold, and 0 rate it Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus 12-month price target is $35, implying +4.4% from the current price of $34.
The Wall Street consensus price target for BEP is $35 based on 20 analyst estimates. The high-end target is $40 (+18.8% from today), and the low-end target is $28 (-16.9%).
Forward earnings data for BEP is not currently available. Review the valuation table above for trailing P/E, EV/EBITDA, and price-to-sales comparisons against market and sector benchmarks.
The primary risks for BEP in 2026 are: (1) High Debt Load — BEP carries a significant debt load with a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6. (2) Negative Earnings — The company has reported a negative price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of -30. (3) Liquidity Challenges — BEP has a current ratio of 0. Each factor has the potential to pressure earnings or compress the stock's valuation multiple.
Analyst consensus estimates BEP will report consensus revenue of $7.0B (+8.4% year-over-year) and EPS of $0.42 (-43.2% year-over-year) for the upcoming fiscal year. The following year, analysts project $7.5B in revenue.
A confirmed upcoming earnings date for BEP is not yet available. Check the Earnings section above for the most recent quarterly report dates and forward estimates.
Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P. (BEP) had a free cash outflow of $8.3B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months — a free cash flow margin of 128.7%. BEP returns capital to shareholders through dividends (12.0% yield) and share repurchases ($0 TTM).