Bull case
CRBG would need investors to value it at roughly 24x earnings — about 18x more generous than today's 6x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
Wall Street verdict, consensus price target, and analyst rating breakdown — everything needed to frame the risk/reward at today's price.
Three scenarios for where CRBG stock could go
CRBG would need investors to value it at roughly 24x earnings — about 18x more generous than today's 6x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
At 18x on FY1 earnings, the base case reflects a reasonable but not stretched valuation. It prices in continued growth without assuming an exceptional setup.
The bear case assumes sentiment or fundamentals disappoint enough to push CRBG down roughly 88% from the current price.
Not financial advice. Model confidence reflects internal scenario assumptions, not a guarantee of returns. Past performance does not predict future results.

Corebridge Financial is a retirement and insurance solutions provider offering annuities, life insurance, and retirement plan services. It generates revenue primarily through its Individual Retirement segment (fixed and variable annuities), Group Retirement (plan administration and annuities), Life Insurance (term and universal life), and Institutional Markets (stable value wraps and pension risk transfer) — with retirement products representing the majority of earnings. The company benefits from its established distribution network, long-term client relationships in the retirement space, and expertise in complex retirement and insurance products that create switching costs for customers.
Quarterly beat-or-miss track record against analyst estimates, plus forward revenue and EPS outlook for the next two fiscal years.
| Quarter | EPS (Actual / Est) | EPS Surprise | Revenue (Actual / Est) | Rev Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $1.36/$1.14 | +19.3% | $737M/$4.9B | -84.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.96/$1.08 | -11.1% | $724M/$4.8B | -84.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.22/$1.11 | +9.9% | $6.3B/$5.2B | +23.0% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.05/$1.07 | -1.9% | $4.1B/$5.1B | -19.2% |
CRBG beat EPS estimates in 2 of 4 tracked quarters. Mixed delivery makes the upcoming report a key data point for re-rating.
Product and geographic revenue mix from the latest annual disclosure, with year-over-year growth by segment.
Latest annual revenue by segment or product family
Latest annual revenue by reported region
Tap, hover, or focus a slice to inspect segment detail.
Current multiples compared to the S&P 500, the company's sector, and its own five-year average.
Fair value est. $26 — implies -10.9% from today's price.
| Metric | CRBG | S&P 500 | Financial Services | 5Y Avg CRBG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward PE | 6.0x | 18.8x-68% | 10.7x-43% | — |
| Trailing PE | -42.9x | 24.4x-276% | 13.6x-416% | 7.4x-677% |
| PEG Ratio | — | 1.66x | 0.95x | — |
| EV/EBITDA | 1585.8x | 15.2x+10326% | 11.4x+13823% | 10.6x+14916% |
| Price/FCF | 6.6x | 20.7x-68% | 11.1x-41% | 6.4x |
| Price/Sales | 4.6x | 3.1x+49% | 2.3x+98% | 6.3x-27% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.25% | 1.91% | 2.63% | — |
Forward P/E and PEG reflect analyst consensus estimates. Historical averages use trailing ratios where forward data is unavailable.S&P 500 and sector benchmarks both use trailing median P/E — similar readings indicate the broader index and sector are priced alike.
Open valuation toolCRBG generates 1.8% ROE and 0.1% return on assets — the two primary signals for banking profitability. FCF-based metrics are not applicable to financial companies.
Revenue, profitability, and return on capital
ROIC, leverage, and debt serviceability
Traditional FCF and debt/FCF ratios are not meaningful for financial companies. Focus on ROE and ROA above.
How capital is returned to owners
All figures from the trailing twelve months. For financial companies, ROE and ROA are the primary health signals — FCF-based metrics are not applicable.
Open full ratios pageKey factors that could pressure the stock price, compress the multiple, or weigh on future results.
AI analysis · updated April 29, 2026
Corebridge's business is significantly fee-driven, making it vulnerable to fluctuations in equity markets. A 10% change in the S&P 500 index can impact fees earned by approximately $85 million.
Corebridge faces a significant challenge with the compression of spread income, particularly in its Individual Retirement segment. Analysts have revised earnings per share (EPS) estimates downward, projecting core EPS growth in 2025 to be less than 10%, which is below the company's long-term growth target.
Corebridge has reported negative earnings over the last twelve months, with a basic EPS of -$0.60. This negative performance raises concerns about the company's financial stability and future profitability.
The insurance industry is heavily regulated, and any significant changes in regulatory requirements could adversely affect Corebridge's operations and profitability. Such changes could lead to increased compliance costs and operational disruptions.
Changes in interest rates can significantly impact Corebridge's earnings, particularly if rates decrease. This scenario could lead to downward revisions in earnings forecasts, affecting investor confidence.
Corebridge faces various operational risks, including potential failures in internal processes, systems, or external events. These risks could lead to significant operational losses and impact the company's overall performance.
The North American insurance and life sector is highly competitive, with numerous established companies and new entrants. Corebridge must continuously innovate to maintain its market position, which could strain resources.
Corebridge has disclosed risks related to accounting and financial operations that may require significant expenditures on compliance, auditing, and legal fees. This could impact profitability if not managed effectively.
These are risk mechanisms, not predictions. The key question is which would force a cut to earnings estimates or a lower multiple than the market currently prices in.
Structural drivers behind the upside case and why the stock could outperform over the next 12 months.
AI analysis · updated April 29, 2026
A significant majority of analysts recommend a 'Buy' or 'Strong Buy' for CRBG stock. Out of 12 analysts, 17% recommend a Strong Buy and 58% recommend a Buy, with a consensus rating of 'Buy'.
Corebridge Financial is actively returning capital to shareholders through share buybacks and dividends. In Q4 2025, the company achieved a 10% reduction in share count year-over-year via buybacks, alongside a dividend yield of around 3.6-3.8%.
The company is strategically shifting its business mix towards fee-based products, which are less capital-intensive and expected to produce more consistent results. This transition positions CRBG for a potential re-rating.
Some analyses suggest that CRBG stock is undervalued, with one valuation model indicating an intrinsic value significantly higher than the current market price, suggesting an undervaluation of around 89%.
Corebridge Financial's earnings are expected to grow by over 20% in the coming year, with the company beating EPS and revenue expectations in its Q4 2025 earnings report.
Technical analysis suggests CRBG is forming a 'bull flag' pattern, indicating a potential continuation of its upward trend. The stock's Relative Strength Index (RSI) also suggests it may be oversold, which could precede a rebound.
A real bull case compounds — each driver matters most when it strengthens margins, supports capital returns, and keeps the company above the market's minimum growth bar simultaneously.
52-week range context and price returns across multiple time horizons. Dividend contribution is shown separately in the Capital Return section.
Range context matters because valuation compression and earnings misses rarely hit from the same starting point. A stock already far below its high can still fall, but it is no longer carrying the same embedded optimism as one pressing a fresh peak.
Valuation, growth, and margin comparison against the closest publicly traded peers for this company.
| Company | Mkt Cap | Fwd PE | Rev Grw | Margin | Rating | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CRB CRBG Corebridge Financial, Inc. | $13.3B | 6.0x | -2.7% | 3.9% | Buy | +9.7% |
MET MET MetLife, Inc. | $55.8B | 8.6x | +5.5% | 4.7% | Buy | +10.2% |
PRU PRU Prudential Financial, Inc. | $37.1B | 7.8x | -2.5% | 5.6% | Hold | -4.8% |
LNC LNC Lincoln National Corporation | $7.1B | 4.8x | +1.5% | 9.1% | Hold | +15.0% |
PFG PFG Principal Financial Group, Inc. | $23.7B | 11.7x | -0.2% | 7.6% | Hold | -9.8% |
EQH EQH Equitable Holdings, Inc. | $12.8B | 6.4x | +3.2% | -12.6% | Buy | +29.3% |
This peer comparison reflects companies with similar business models, product lines, or market positioning, supplemented by industry grouping when direct matches are limited.
CRBG returns capital mainly through $2.1B/year in buybacks (15.9% buyback yield), with a modest 3.25% dividend — combining for 19.1% total shareholder yield.
Yield, cadence, and growth quality
How much per-share support comes from repurchases
| Year | Div / Share | YoY Grw |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0.50 | — |
| 2025 | $0.96 | +4.3% |
| 2024 | $0.92 | -65.9% |
| 2023 | $2.70 | +487.0% |
| 2022 | $0.46 | — |
Common questions answered from live analyst data and company financials.
Corebridge Financial, Inc. (CRBG) is rated Buy by Wall Street analysts as of 2026. Of 18 analysts covering the stock, 13 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 5 rate it Hold, and 0 rate it Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus 12-month price target is $32, implying +9.7% from the current price of $29. The bear case scenario is $55 and the bull case is $115.
The Wall Street consensus price target for CRBG is $32 based on 18 analyst estimates. The high-end target is $35 (+19.9% from today), and the low-end target is $29 (-0.6%). The base case model target is $87.
CRBG trades at 6.0x times forward earnings. The stock currently trades at a discount to the broader market. Based on current multiples versus the peer group, the relative model signals slightly expensive versus peers. Whether the stock is over or undervalued ultimately depends on whether consensus earnings estimates are achievable.
The primary risks for CRBG in 2026 are: (1) Equity Market Movements — Corebridge's business is significantly fee-driven, making it vulnerable to fluctuations in equity markets. (2) Spread Income Compression — Corebridge faces a significant challenge with the compression of spread income, particularly in its Individual Retirement segment. (3) Negative Earnings — Corebridge has reported negative earnings over the last twelve months, with a basic EPS of -$0. Each factor has the potential to pressure earnings or compress the stock's valuation multiple.
Analyst consensus estimates CRBG will report consensus revenue of $6.1B (-2.7% year-over-year) and EPS of $1.61 (+211.7% year-over-year) for the upcoming fiscal year. The following year, analysts project $6.1B in revenue.
Corebridge Financial, Inc. is expected to report its next earnings on approximately 2026-08-03. Consensus expects EPS of $1.19 and revenue of $4.8B. Over recent quarters, CRBG has beaten EPS estimates 67% of the time.
Corebridge Financial, Inc. (CRBG) generated $1.6B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months — a free cash flow margin of 26.5%. CRBG returns capital to shareholders through dividends (3.2% yield) and share repurchases ($2.1B TTM).