38.8% Above Target

ERJ's consensus price target is $40.04, -38.8% below the current price of $65.43. The 21 analysts tracking ERJ see downside risk at present valuations.

ERJ has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 21 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 15 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $40.04 implies -38.8% downside from current levels.

With a forward P/E of 4.4164x, ERJ trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $40.04 implies -38.8% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $67 for ERJ, while the most conservative target is $13. The consensus of $40.04 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $113 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

ERJ is well covered by analysts, with 21 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 15 have Buy ratings, 3 recommend Hold, and 3 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month ERJ stock forecast based on 21 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $40.04, with estimates ranging from $13 (bear case) to $67 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $86, with bear/bull scenarios of $54/$113.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates ERJ's fair value at $86 (base case), with a bear case of $54 and bull case of $113. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 44/100.

ERJ trades at a forward P/E ratio of 4.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 34.1x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Analysts are cautious on ERJ, with 3 Sell ratings and a price target of $40.04 (-38.8% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

ERJ analyst price targets range from $13 to $67, a 135% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $40.04 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $54-$113 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.