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EXPEagle Materials Inc.
$224.58$7.0B
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EXP logo

Eagle Materials Inc. (EXP) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 25 analysts

2.8% Above Target

EXP trades 2.8% above Wall Street's consensus target of $218.33.

Current Price$224.58
Average Target$218.33
Target
Current
Low$200.00
Median$214.50
High$246.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E17.4x
(Fair)
PEG Ratio1.62
(Fair)
Implied Growth-4.0%
(Declining)
Analyst Spread21.1%
(High Agreement)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$224.58
Consensus$218.33
High$246.00
Low$200.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes EXP achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 17.4x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 25 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 25 published analyst recommendations for EXP

16/25 analysts are bullish
+32
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 25 ratings
ConsensusBuy
Coverage25 Analysts
Net Score+32
Bull / Bear64% / 0%
Strong Buy00%
Buy1664%
Hold936%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
1664%
Hold
936%
Sell
00%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix64% Buy · 36% Hold · 0% Sell
Buy (16)Hold (9)Sell (0)

EXP Price Target Analysis

Updated June 21, 2026

As of June 21, 2026, Eagle Materials Inc. (EXP) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $218.33, based on estimates from 25 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $224.58, this represents a potential downside of -2.8%. The company has a market capitalization of $6.95B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $200.00 to a high of $246.00, representing a 21% spread in expectations. The median target of $214.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.

The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 16 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,9 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.

From a valuation perspective, EXP trades at a trailing P/E of 17.1x and forward P/E of 17.4x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.62 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -4.0% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $266.73, with bear and bull scenarios of $168.04 and $351.44 respectively. Model confidence stands at 45/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Basic Materials stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
+8.9%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
25.7x
(Growth Premium)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
MLM logo
MLMMartin Marietta Materials, Inc.
$36.7B$609.12$684.55
+12.4%
Buy31.9x40
VMC logo
VMCVulcan Materials Company
$39.3B$302.84$322.60
+6.5%
Buy32.8x36
CRH logo
CRHCRH plc
$74.3B$111.24$134.75
+21.1%
Buy18.7x20
USLM logo
USLMUnited States Lime & Minerals, Inc.
$3.3B$113.60$138.00
+21.5%
Buy22.1x1
AWI logo
AWIArmstrong World Industries, Inc.
$6.7B$157.88$197.50
+25.1%
Buy19.0x26
AMWD logo
AMWDAmerican Woodmark Corporation
$701M$48.09$47.00
-2.3%
Hold20.9x10
CAT logo
CATCaterpillar Inc.
$458.7B$985.82$882.20
-10.5%
Buy40.0x53
DE logo
DEDeere & Company
$159.1B$589.24$690.00
+17.1%
Hold32.6x46
URI logo
URIUnited Rentals, Inc.
$67.5B$1076.81$1074.36
-0.2%
Buy22.9x40
NUE logo
NUENucor Corporation
$55.5B$243.83$239.57
-1.7%
Buy16.0x32

EXP — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying EXP stock.

What is the EXP stock price target for 2026?

Wall Street's consensus price target for EXP is $218.33, -2.8% from its current price of $224.58. The below-market target from 25 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.

Is EXP a buy, sell, or hold?

EXP has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 25 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 16 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $218.33 implies -2.8% downside from current levels.

Is EXP stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 17.3805x, EXP trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $218.33 implies -2.8% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

How high can EXP stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $246 for EXP, while the most conservative target is $200. The consensus of $218.33 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $351 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover EXP stock?

EXP is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 25 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 16 have Buy ratings, 9 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the EXP stock forecast?

The 12-month EXP stock forecast based on 25 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $218.33, with estimates ranging from $200 (bear case) to $246 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $267, with bear/bull scenarios of $168/$351.

What is EXP's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates EXP's fair value at $267 (base case), with a bear case of $168 and bull case of $351. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 45/100.

What is EXP's forward P/E ratio?

EXP trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 17.1x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy EXP stock?

Analysts are cautious on EXP, with 0 Sell ratings and a price target of $218.33 (-2.8% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do EXP price targets vary so much?

EXP analyst price targets range from $200 to $246, a 21% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $218.33 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $168-$351 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

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Peer Comparison

Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.

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