Eagle Materials Inc. (EXP) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$209.73
Price Target
$224.17
Target Range
$208.00 — $246.00
Analyst Rating
Buy
Forward P/E16.2x
Trailing P/E15.2x
Forward PEG0.31
Implied Growth-5.7%
Median Target$218.00
Analyst Spread17.0%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$208
-0.8%
Consensus
$224
+6.9%
Bull Case
$246
+17.3%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 59/100
Bear$168
Base$235
Bull$366
EXP Price Target Analysis
Updated May 6, 2026As of May 6, 2026, Eagle Materials Inc. (EXP) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $224.17, based on estimates from 24 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $209.73, this represents a potential upside of +6.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $6.75B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $208.00 to a high of $246.00, representing a 17% spread in expectations. The median target of $218.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 16 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,7 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, EXP trades at a trailing P/E of 15.2x and forward P/E of 16.2x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.31 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -5.7% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $235.43, with bear and bull scenarios of $167.63 and $366.25 respectively. Model confidence stands at 59/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Basic Materials stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+12.7%
Avg Forward P/E24.6x
Peers with Coverage10 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MLMMartin Marietta Materials, Inc. | $36.6B | $606.10 | $695.30 | +14.7% | Buy | 31.0x | 40 |
 VMCVulcan Materials Company | $37.8B | $291.51 | $327.00 | +12.2% | Buy | 31.7x | 36 |
 CRHCRH plc | $75.2B | $112.50 | $135.60 | +20.5% | Buy | 18.9x | 20 |
 USLMUnited States Lime & Minerals, Inc. | $3.1B | $106.45 | $138.00 | +29.6% | Buy | 19.6x | 1 |
 AWIArmstrong World Industries, Inc. | $7.0B | $164.38 | $197.50 | +20.1% | Buy | 19.8x | 26 |
 AMWDAmerican Woodmark Corporation | $603M | $41.36 | $47.00 | +13.6% | Hold | 16.9x | 10 |
 CATCaterpillar Inc. | $420.9B | $904.59 | $824.80 | -8.8% | Buy | 39.2x | 53 |
 DEDeere & Company | $156.1B | $575.79 | $680.54 | +18.2% | Hold | 32.3x | 46 |
 URIUnited Rentals, Inc. | $58.5B | $933.95 | $1037.13 | +11.0% | Buy | 19.9x | 40 |
 NUENucor Corporation | $52.9B | $232.07 | $222.83 | -4.0% | Buy | 16.5x | 32 |
Upside Potential Comparison
USLMCRHAWIDEMLMAMWDVMCURISee EXP's True Return
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Start ComparisonEXP — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying EXP stock.
What is the EXP stock price target for 2026?
The consensus price target for EXP is $224.17, close to the current price of $209.73 (6.9% implied move). Based on 24 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
Is EXP a buy, sell, or hold?
EXP has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 24 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 16 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $224.17 implies 6.9% upside from current levels.
Is EXP stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 16.2419x, EXP trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $224.17 implies 6.9% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
How high can EXP stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $246 for EXP, while the most conservative target is $208. The consensus of $224.17 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $366 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover EXP stock?
EXP is well covered by analysts, with 24 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 16 have Buy ratings, 7 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the EXP stock forecast?
The 12-month EXP stock forecast based on 24 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $224.17, with estimates ranging from $208 (bear case) to $246 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $235, with bear/bull scenarios of $168/$366.
What is EXP's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates EXP's fair value at $235 (base case), with a bear case of $168 and bull case of $366. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 59/100.
What is EXP's forward P/E ratio?
EXP trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 15.2x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy EXP stock?
EXP appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $224.17 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do EXP price targets vary so much?
EXP analyst price targets range from $208 to $246, a 17% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $224.17 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $168-$366 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.