Armstrong World Industries, Inc. (AWI) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$164.38
Price Target
$197.50
Target Range
$195.00 — $200.00
Analyst Rating
Buy
Forward P/E19.8x
Trailing P/E23.2x
Forward PEG—
Implied Growth+17.1%
Median Target$197.50
Analyst Spread2.5%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$195
+18.6%
Consensus
$198
+20.1%
Bull Case
$200
+21.7%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 65/100
Bear$135
Base$214
Bull$313
AWI Price Target Analysis
Updated May 6, 2026As of May 6, 2026, Armstrong World Industries, Inc. (AWI) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $197.50, based on estimates from 26 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $164.38, this represents a potential upside of +20.1%. The company has a market capitalization of $7.02B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $195.00 to a high of $200.00, representing a 3% spread in expectations. The median target of $197.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 14 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,11 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, AWI trades at a trailing P/E of 23.2x and forward P/E of 19.8x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +17.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $213.83, with bear and bull scenarios of $135.25 and $312.54 respectively. Model confidence stands at 65/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Industrials stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+26.2%
Avg Forward P/E18.0x
Peers with Coverage10 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 TREXTrex Company, Inc. | $4.0B | $37.59 | $44.50 | +18.4% | Hold | 23.0x | 31 |
 OCOwens Corning | $9.9B | $122.90 | $141.20 | +14.9% | Hold | 13.1x | 43 |
 MHKMohawk Industries, Inc. | $6.0B | $97.39 | $130.00 | +33.5% | Hold | 10.6x | 32 |
 TILEInterface, Inc. | $1.6B | $27.30 | $36.00 | +31.9% | Buy | 13.0x | 12 |
 AMWDAmerican Woodmark Corporation | $603M | $41.36 | $47.00 | +13.6% | Hold | 16.9x | 10 |
 APOGApogee Enterprises, Inc. | $770M | $35.79 | $70.50 | +97.0% | Hold | 10.4x | 6 |
 VMCVulcan Materials Company | $37.8B | $291.51 | $327.00 | +12.2% | Buy | 31.7x | 36 |
 MLMMartin Marietta Materials, Inc. | $36.6B | $606.10 | $695.30 | +14.7% | Buy | 31.0x | 40 |
 EXPEagle Materials Inc. | $6.8B | $209.73 | $224.17 | +6.9% | Buy | 16.2x | 24 |
 LENLennar Corporation | $18.6B | $86.20 | $102.14 | +18.5% | Buy | 14.0x | 50 |
Upside Potential Comparison
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Start ComparisonAWI — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying AWI stock.
What is the AWI stock price target for 2026?
The consensus Wall Street price target for AWI is $197.5, representing 20.1% upside from the current price of $164.38. With 26 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
Is AWI a buy, sell, or hold?
AWI has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 26 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 14 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $197.5 implies 20.1% upside from current levels.
Is AWI stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 19.786x, AWI trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $197.5 implies 20.1% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
How high can AWI stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $200 for AWI, while the most conservative target is $195. The consensus of $197.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $313 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover AWI stock?
AWI is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 26 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 14 have Buy ratings, 11 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the AWI stock forecast?
The 12-month AWI stock forecast based on 26 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $197.5, with estimates ranging from $195 (bear case) to $200 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $214, with bear/bull scenarios of $135/$313.
What is AWI's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates AWI's fair value at $214 (base case), with a bear case of $135 and bull case of $313. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 65/100.
What is AWI's forward P/E ratio?
AWI trades at a forward P/E ratio of 19.8x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 23.2x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy AWI stock?
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on AWI, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $197.5 price target (20.1% upside). 14 of 26 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do AWI price targets vary so much?
AWI analyst price targets range from $195 to $200, a 3% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $197.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $135-$313 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.