GCMG trades 31.5% below Wall Street's consensus target of $17.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes GCMG achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 14.4x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 8 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 24, 2026, GCM Grosvenor Inc. (GCMG) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $17.00, based on estimates from 8 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $12.93, this represents a potential upside of +31.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $2.42B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $16.00 to a high of $18.00, representing a 12% spread in expectations. The median target of $17.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,3 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, GCMG trades at a trailing P/E of 30.8x and forward P/E of 14.4x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.78 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +311.7% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $13.21, with bear and bull scenarios of $8.32 and $17.40 respectively. Model confidence stands at 44/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 HLNEHamilton Lane Incorporated | $4.8B | $85.70 | $131.60 | +53.6% | Buy | 14.2x | 10 |
 STEPStepStone Group Inc. | $5.8B | $45.03 | $65.14 | +44.7% | Buy | 21.5x | 8 |
 AMGAffiliated Managers Group, Inc. | $9.7B | $366.17 | $410.00 | +12.0% | Buy | 9.9x | 12 |
 BXBlackstone Inc. | $94.0B | $119.27 | $145.89 | +22.3% | Buy | 19.8x | 30 |
 KKRKKR & Co. Inc. | $87.3B | $97.21 | $126.78 | +30.4% | Buy | 14.7x | 27 |
 CGThe Carlyle Group Inc. | $14.4B | $39.92 | $56.71 | +42.1% | Buy | 10.9x | 26 |
 APOApollo Global Management, Inc. | $71.6B | $124.36 | $145.00 | +16.6% | Buy | 14.2x | 28 |
 ARESAres Management Corporation | $39.9B | $121.48 | $149.33 | +22.9% | Buy | 20.7x | 22 |
 BAMBrookfield Asset Management Ltd. | $72.3B | $45.26 | $58.50 | +29.3% | Buy | 24.5x | 20 |
 EQTEQT Corporation | $31.9B | $51.08 | $70.33 | +37.7% | Buy | 12.6x | 45 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying GCMG stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for GCMG is $17, representing 31.5% upside from the current price of $12.93. With 8 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
GCMG has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 8 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 5 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $17 implies 31.5% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 14.3683x, GCMG trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $17 implies 31.5% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $18 for GCMG, while the most conservative target is $16. The consensus of $17 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $17 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
GCMG is moderately covered, with 8 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 3 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month GCMG stock forecast based on 8 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $17, with estimates ranging from $16 (bear case) to $18 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $13, with bear/bull scenarios of $8/$17.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates GCMG's fair value at $13 (base case), with a bear case of $8 and bull case of $17. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 44/100.
GCMG trades at a forward P/E ratio of 14.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 30.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on GCMG, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $17 price target (31.5% upside). 5 of 8 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
GCMG analyst price targets range from $16 to $18, a 12% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $17 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $8-$17 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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