GTX trades 40.4% below Wall Street's consensus target of $38.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes GTX achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 13.7x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 9 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of October 3, 2026, Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $38.00, based on estimates from 9 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $27.07, this represents a potential upside of +40.4%. The company has a market capitalization of $5.05B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $36.00 to a high of $42.00, representing a 16% spread in expectations. The median target of $36.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 4 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,3 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, GTX trades at a trailing P/E of 17.8x and forward P/E of 13.7x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.78 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +5.8% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $40.93, with bear and bull scenarios of $25.79 and $53.94 respectively. Model confidence stands at 48/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BWABorgWarner Inc. | $12.4B | $60.52 | $84.33 | +39.3% | Buy | 11.6x | 38 |
 DANDana Incorporated | $3.5B | $27.88 | $36.40 | +30.6% | Buy | 14.7x | 24 |
 THRMGentherm Incorporated | $961M | $31.30 | $47.67 | +52.3% | Buy | 10.8x | 15 |
 ALSNAllison Transmission Holdings, Inc. | $9.8B | $117.97 | $126.00 | +6.8% | Hold | 14.5x | 29 |
 STRTStrattec Security Corporation | $275M | $65.80 | — | — | Hold | 10.6x | 1 |
 TENTsakos Energy Navigation Limited | $1.5B | $50.05 | $35.00 | -30.1% | Buy | 5.6x | 26 |
 APTVAptiv PLC | $9.2B | $43.54 | $68.90 | +58.2% | Buy | 7.6x | 33 |
 LEALear Corporation | $6.1B | $120.85 | $138.67 | +14.7% | Hold | 8.0x | 31 |
 MGAMagna International Inc. | $17.6B | $64.57 | $69.10 | +7.0% | Hold | 9.3x | 30 |
 VCVisteon Corporation | $2.4B | $88.77 | $125.86 | +41.8% | Buy | 10.4x | 23 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying GTX stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for GTX is $38, representing 40.4% upside from the current price of $27.07. With 9 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
GTX has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 9 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 3 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $38 implies 40.4% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 13.66x, GTX trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $38 implies 40.4% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $42 for GTX, while the most conservative target is $36. The consensus of $38 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $54 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
GTX is moderately covered, with 9 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 4 have Buy ratings, 3 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month GTX stock forecast based on 9 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $38, with estimates ranging from $36 (bear case) to $42 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $41, with bear/bull scenarios of $26/$54.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates GTX's fair value at $41 (base case), with a bear case of $26 and bull case of $54. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 48/100.
GTX trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13.7x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 17.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on GTX, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $38 price target (40.4% upside). 4 of 9 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
GTX analyst price targets range from $36 to $42, a 16% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $38 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $26-$54 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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