ALSN trades 12.9% below Wall Street's consensus target of $132.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes ALSN achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 14.4x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 29 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of November 8, 2026, Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (ALSN) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $132.00, based on estimates from 29 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $116.88, this represents a potential upside of +12.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $9.69B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $120.00 to a high of $147.00, representing a 20% spread in expectations. The median target of $130.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 8 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,15 rating it Hold, and 6 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, ALSN trades at a trailing P/E of 15.9x and forward P/E of 14.4x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.63 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +16.8% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $197.62, with bear and bull scenarios of $124.50 and $260.39 respectively. Model confidence stands at 46/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 ASTEAstec Industries, Inc. | $821M | $35.71 | $36.00 | +0.8% | Buy | 11.0x | 12 |
 BWABorgWarner Inc. | $10.0B | $48.81 | $86.56 | +77.3% | Buy | 9.3x | 38 |
 DANDana Incorporated | $2.7B | $21.50 | $35.60 | +65.6% | Buy | 11.7x | 25 |
 ETNEaton Corporation plc | $132.7B | $341.72 | $500.75 | +46.5% | Buy | 24.9x | 40 |
 APTVAptiv PLC | $8.3B | $39.44 | $64.91 | +64.6% | Buy | 6.9x | 33 |
 LEALear Corporation | $5.6B | $110.28 | $132.50 | +20.1% | Hold | 7.3x | 31 |
 VCVisteon Corporation | $2.0B | $75.68 | $111.88 | +47.8% | Buy | 11.8x | 23 |
 PCARPACCAR Inc | $53.7B | $101.98 | $134.83 | +32.2% | Hold | 17.3x | 45 |
 CMICummins Inc. | $62.1B | $450.07 | $741.14 | +64.7% | Buy | 15.3x | 51 |
 OSKOshkosh Corp | $8.4B | $134.36 | $171.83 | +27.9% | Buy | 14.3x | 38 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying ALSN stock.
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (ALSN) has a consensus 12-month price target of $132, implying 12.9% upside from $116.88. The 29 analysts covering ALSN see moderate appreciation potential.
ALSN has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 29 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 15 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $132 implies 12.9% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 14.423x, ALSN trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $132 implies 12.9% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $147 for ALSN, while the most conservative target is $120. The consensus of $132 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $260 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
ALSN is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 29 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 7 have Buy ratings, 15 recommend Hold, and 6 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month ALSN stock forecast based on 29 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $132, with estimates ranging from $120 (bear case) to $147 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $198, with bear/bull scenarios of $125/$260.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates ALSN's fair value at $198 (base case), with a bear case of $125 and bull case of $260. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 46/100.
ALSN trades at a forward P/E ratio of 14.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 15.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on ALSN, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $132 price target (12.9% upside). 8 of 29 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
ALSN analyst price targets range from $120 to $147, a 20% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $132 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $125-$260 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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