GVA trades 41.7% below Wall Street's consensus target of $159.67.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes GVA achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of historical averagesx. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 15 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 24, 2026, Granite Construction Incorporated (GVA) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $159.67, based on estimates from 15 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $112.65, this represents a potential upside of +41.7%. The company has a market capitalization of $4.93B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $119.00 to a high of $180.00, representing a 38% spread in expectations. The median target of $180.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 10 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,4 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, GVA trades at a trailing P/E of 31.0x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -3.9% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $157.79, with bear and bull scenarios of $99.41 and $207.90 respectively. Model confidence stands at 42/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 VMCVulcan Materials Company | $31.7B | $244.40 | $314.63 | +28.7% | Buy | 26.7x | 36 |
 MLMMartin Marietta Materials, Inc. | $29.4B | $490.45 | $648.20 | +32.2% | Buy | 27.1x | 40 |
 CRHCRH plc | $57.0B | $85.23 | $135.60 | +59.1% | Buy | 14.5x | 21 |
 ROADConstruction Partners, Inc. | $5.3B | $93.44 | $140.33 | +50.2% | Buy | 30.1x | 9 |
 PRIMPrimoris Services Corporation | $4.0B | $74.12 | $126.33 | +70.4% | Buy | 34.5x | 25 |
 STRLSterling Infrastructure, Inc. | $15.7B | $512.00 | $731.20 | +42.8% | Buy | 25.9x | 9 |
 ACMAecom | $7.9B | $61.45 | $84.56 | +37.6% | Buy | 15.4x | 25 |
 PWRQuanta Services, Inc. | $95.3B | $634.90 | $789.38 | +24.3% | Buy | 37.9x | 36 |
 MTZMasTec, Inc. | $17.2B | $217.52 | $434.25 | +99.6% | Buy | 23.3x | 36 |
 KBRKBR, Inc. | $4.5B | $35.34 | $41.00 | +16.0% | Buy | 9.3x | 31 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying GVA stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for GVA is $159.67, representing 41.7% upside from the current price of $112.65. With 15 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
GVA has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 15 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 10 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $159.67 implies 41.7% upside from current levels.
GVA's current price is $112.65 with a consensus target of $159.67 (41.7% implied move). Analyst estimates suggest the stock is undervalued at current levels.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $180 for GVA, while the most conservative target is $119. The consensus of $159.67 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $208 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
GVA is well covered by analysts, with 15 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 10 have Buy ratings, 4 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month GVA stock forecast based on 15 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $159.67, with estimates ranging from $119 (bear case) to $180 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $158, with bear/bull scenarios of $99/$208.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates GVA's fair value at $158 (base case), with a bear case of $99 and bull case of $208. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 42/100.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on GVA, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $159.67 price target (41.7% upside). 10 of 15 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
GVA analyst price targets range from $119 to $180, a 38% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $159.67 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $99-$208 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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