Bull case
The bull case requires both strong earnings delivery and the market pricing HUT more generously than it does today.
Wall Street verdict, consensus price target, and analyst rating breakdown — everything needed to frame the risk/reward at today's price.
Three scenarios for where HUT stock could go
The bull case requires both strong earnings delivery and the market pricing HUT more generously than it does today.
The base case reflects analyst consensus expectations — steady delivery without requiring a major catalyst or re-rating.
The bear case reflects a scenario where earnings shortfalls or multiple compression combine to materially reduce the stock from its current level.
Not financial advice. Model confidence reflects internal scenario assumptions, not a guarantee of returns. Past performance does not predict future results.

Hut 8 is a vertically integrated Bitcoin mining company that operates large-scale data centers powered by energy infrastructure. It generates revenue primarily from Bitcoin mining rewards — converting electricity into digital assets — with additional income from high-performance computing services. The company's key advantage is its vertically integrated model combining energy infrastructure ownership with mining operations, which provides cost control and operational efficiency.
Quarterly beat-or-miss track record against analyst estimates, plus forward revenue and EPS outlook for the next two fiscal years.
| Quarter | EPS (Actual / Est) | EPS Surprise | Revenue (Actual / Est) | Rev Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2025 | $-0.18/$-0.12 | -50.0% | $22M/$49M | -55.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $-0.14/$-0.15 | +6.7% | $41M/$65M | -36.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $-0.07/$-0.16 | +56.3% | $84M/$93M | -10.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.36/$-0.15 | +340.0% | $88M/$93M | -5.2% |
HUT beat EPS estimates in 3 of 4 tracked quarters. A strong delivery record supports forward estimate credibility.
Product and geographic revenue mix from the latest annual disclosure, with year-over-year growth by segment.
Latest annual revenue by segment or product family
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Latest annual revenue by reported region
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Current multiples compared to the S&P 500, the company's sector, and its own five-year average.
Fair value est. $32 — implies -58.5% from today's price.
| Metric | HUT | S&P 500 | Financial Services | 5Y Avg HUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward PE | — | 19.1x | 10.5x | — |
| Trailing PE | -50.9x | 25.2x-302% | 13.4x-481% | 14.9x-441% |
| PEG Ratio | — | 1.75x | 1.03x | — |
| EV/EBITDA | — | 15.3x | 11.4x | 24.2x |
| Price/FCF | — | 21.3x | 10.6x | — |
| Price/Sales | 801.0x | 3.1x+25471% | 2.3x+35464% | 10.0x+7888% |
| Dividend Yield | — | 1.88% | 2.68% | — |
Forward P/E and PEG reflect analyst consensus estimates. Historical averages use trailing ratios where forward data is unavailable.S&P 500 and sector benchmarks both use trailing median P/E — similar readings indicate the broader index and sector are priced alike.
Open valuation toolHUT generates -17.7% ROE and -11.2% return on assets — the two primary signals for banking profitability. FCF-based metrics are not applicable to financial companies.
Revenue, profitability, and return on capital
ROIC, leverage, and debt serviceability
Traditional FCF and debt/FCF ratios are not meaningful for financial companies. Focus on ROE and ROA above.
How capital is returned to owners
All figures from the trailing twelve months. For financial companies, ROE and ROA are the primary health signals — FCF-based metrics are not applicable.
Open full ratios pageKey factors that could pressure the stock price, compress the multiple, or weigh on future results.
Based on the latest company results, valuation, and market data
UNITED STATES represents 86.2% of disclosed revenue and changed 82.6% year over year. A sharper slowdown, policy change, or competitive shift in that market would hit the revenue base quickly and could pull expectations toward the lower end of the valuation range.
High Performance Computing, Colocation And Cloud contributes 86.1% of the disclosed revenue mix, with the latest annual change at 150.7%. If demand in the lead segment cools, the rest of the portfolio may not be large enough to fully offset the slowdown.
HUT trades at -50.9x trailing earnings versus 25.2x for the S&P 500 and 13.4x for its sector. If earnings delivery or sentiment slips, the stock could re-rate lower and move closer to the bear case target of —.
The next fiscal year requires Street estimates of $322M in revenue (36.9% growth) and $-0.04 in EPS. Missing those operating targets would undermine the premium multiple investors are paying today.
Part of the per-share support comes from capital returns, backed by -$892M in trailing free cash flow, a 0.0% buyback yield. If cash generation softens, the EPS lift and downside cushion from repurchases can narrow.
These are risk mechanisms, not predictions. The key question is which would force a cut to earnings estimates or a lower multiple than the market currently prices in.
Structural drivers behind the upside case and why the stock could outperform over the next 12 months.
Based on recent company results and analyst estimates
Hut 8 Corp. already operates from a position of scale, with — gross margin, — operating margin, and -$892M in trailing free cash flow. That combination gives management room to keep funding product investment without relying on outside capital.
High Performance Computing, Colocation And Cloud accounts for 86.1% of disclosed revenue and the latest annual change was 150.7%. When the biggest revenue lines are still holding up, even modest execution improvement can translate into meaningful earnings leverage.
Consensus still points to $79, or -27.9% upside, while the modeled bull target reaches —. If $322M in forward revenue and $-0.04 in EPS are delivered, ongoing shareholder returns running at 0.0% can amplify the equity upside.
A real bull case compounds — each driver matters most when it strengthens margins, supports capital returns, and keeps the company above the market's minimum growth bar simultaneously.
52-week range context and price returns across multiple time horizons. Dividend contribution is shown separately in the Capital Return section.
Range context matters because valuation compression and earnings misses rarely hit from the same starting point. A stock already far below its high can still fall, but it is no longer carrying the same embedded optimism as one pressing a fresh peak.
Valuation, growth, and margin comparison against the closest publicly traded peers for this company.
| Company | Mkt Cap | Fwd PE | Rev Grw | Margin | Rating | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HUT HUT Hut 8 Corp. | $12.1B | — | +36.9% | — | Buy | -27.9% |
MAR MARA Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. | $5.0B | — | +29.5% | — | Buy | +23.8% |
RIO RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. | $9.0B | — | +38.2% | — | Buy | +17.8% |
CLS CLSK CleanSpark, Inc. | $3.7B | — | +40.2% | -33.2% | Buy | +39.4% |
CIF CIFR Cipher Mining Inc. | $8.9B | — | +43.0% | — | Buy | +27.2% |
BTB BTBT Bit Digital, Inc. | $622M | — | +41.5% | — | Buy | +159.1% |
This peer comparison reflects companies with similar business models, product lines, or market positioning, supplemented by industry grouping when direct matches are limited.
Common questions answered from live analyst data and company financials.
Hut 8 Corp. (HUT) is rated Buy by Wall Street analysts as of 2026. Of 15 analysts covering the stock, 14 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 1 rate it Hold, and 0 rate it Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus 12-month price target is $79, implying -27.9% from the current price of $109.
The Wall Street consensus price target for HUT is $79 based on 15 analyst estimates. The high-end target is $93 (-14.6% from today), and the low-end target is $58 (-46.8%).
Forward earnings data for HUT is not currently available. Review the valuation table above for trailing P/E, EV/EBITDA, and price-to-sales comparisons against market and sector benchmarks.
The primary risks for HUT in 2026 are: (1) UNITED STATES exposure — UNITED STATES represents 86. (2) High Performance Computing, Colocation And Cloud dependence — High Performance Computing, Colocation And Cloud contributes 86. (3) Valuation de-rating — HUT trades at -50. Each factor has the potential to pressure earnings or compress the stock's valuation multiple.
Analyst consensus estimates HUT will report consensus revenue of $322M (+36.9% year-over-year) and EPS of $-0.04 (+97.9% year-over-year) for the upcoming fiscal year. The following year, analysts project $445M in revenue.
Hut 8 Corp. is expected to report its next earnings on approximately 2026-05-06. Consensus expects EPS of $-0.28 and revenue of $77M. Over recent quarters, HUT has beaten EPS estimates 58% of the time.
Hut 8 Corp. (HUT) had a free cash outflow of $892M in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months. HUT returns capital to shareholders through and share repurchases ($0 TTM).