Bull case
JLL would need investors to value it at roughly 37x earnings — about 22x more generous than today's 14x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
Wall Street verdict, consensus price target, and analyst rating breakdown — everything needed to frame the risk/reward at today's price.
Three scenarios for where JLL stock could go
JLL would need investors to value it at roughly 37x earnings — about 22x more generous than today's 14x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
At 19x on FY1 earnings, the base case reflects a reasonable but not stretched valuation. It prices in continued growth without assuming an exceptional setup.
If investor confidence fades or macro conditions deteriorate, a 4x multiple contraction could push JLL down roughly 27% from where it trades now.
Not financial advice. Model confidence reflects internal scenario assumptions, not a guarantee of returns. Past performance does not predict future results.

Jones Lang LaSalle is a global professional services firm that provides commercial real estate and investment management services to property owners, occupiers, and investors. It generates revenue primarily through real estate services fees — including leasing, property management, and capital markets advisory — and investment management fees from its LaSalle Investment Management arm. The company's key advantage is its global scale and integrated service platform, which allows it to serve multinational clients across all major real estate markets worldwide.
Quarterly beat-or-miss track record against analyst estimates, plus forward revenue and EPS outlook for the next two fiscal years.
| Quarter | EPS (Actual / Est) | EPS Surprise | Revenue (Actual / Est) | Rev Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $3.30/$3.20 | +3.1% | $6.3B/$6.2B | +0.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.50/$4.23 | +6.4% | $6.5B/$6.5B | +0.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.71/$7.25 | +20.1% | $7.6B/$7.4B | +2.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.43/$3.01 | +14.0% | $6.4B/$6.0B | +6.5% |
JLL beat EPS estimates in 4 of 4 tracked quarters. A perfect track record raises the bar for the upcoming report.
Product and geographic revenue mix from the latest annual disclosure, with year-over-year growth by segment.
Latest annual revenue by segment or product family
Tap, hover, or focus a slice to inspect segment detail.
Latest annual revenue by reported region
Current multiples compared to the S&P 500, the company's sector, and its own five-year average.
Fair value est. $402 — implies +27.5% from today's price.
| Metric | JLL | S&P 500 | Real Estate | 5Y Avg JLL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward PE | 14.1x | 19.1x-26% | 26.4x-47% | — |
| Trailing PE | 19.4x | 25.1x-23% | 24.1x-20% | 22.0x-12% |
| PEG Ratio | 1.19x | 1.72x-31% | 1.25x | — |
| EV/EBITDA | 12.3x | 15.2x-19% | 16.7x-26% | 12.1x |
| Price/FCF | 15.1x | 21.1x-28% | 15.4x | 19.5x-23% |
| Price/Sales | 0.6x | 3.1x-82% | 3.0x-81% | 0.5x |
| Dividend Yield | — | 1.87% | 4.66% | — |
Forward P/E and PEG reflect analyst consensus estimates. Historical averages use trailing ratios where forward data is unavailable.S&P 500 and sector benchmarks both use trailing median P/E — similar readings indicate the broader index and sector are priced alike.
Open valuation toolJLL pays 1.4% total shareholder yield with 4.6% operating margin. Leverage is structural for REITs — debt capacity matters more than absolute ratio.
Revenue, margins, and distribution coverage
ROIC, leverage, and debt serviceability
Asset-heavy model means debt/FCF above 10× is common and not a distress signal.
How capital is returned to owners
All figures from the trailing twelve months. REITs carry structural leverage — debt/FCF ratios above 10× are normal and do not indicate distress.
Open full ratios pageKey factors that could pressure the stock price, compress the multiple, or weigh on future results.
AI analysis · updated April 29, 2026
As a cyclical stock, JLL is highly sensitive to economic fluctuations, which can significantly impact real estate demand and related services. A global economic downturn or a deterioration of commercial real estate fundamentals poses a significant risk.
JLL's stock has a beta of 1.414, indicating it is approximately 41% more volatile than the broader market. This higher volatility makes it acutely sensitive to broader market sell-offs and interest rate movements.
Rising interest rates can impact financial performance, particularly for properties with variable-rate debt. Inflationary pressures and currency volatility can also materially affect financial results.
A primary financial risk for JLL is earnings volatility and the sustainability of its profit margins. The company's operating margin has been in a five-year decline, which raises concerns about future profitability.
Widespread economic uncertainty, currency volatility, and reduced investor confidence stemming from geopolitical developments can lead to delayed or reconsidered real estate decisions by clients, impacting transaction volumes.
JLL's revenue streams, particularly in Capital Markets and Leasing, are highly sensitive to transaction volumes. A decline in acquisition and disposition activity, leasing activity, or rental rates can adversely affect performance.
Changes in legal and regulatory requirements can impact JLL's ability to conduct business in certain jurisdictions or increase the cost of doing so. The company faces evolving climate change disclosure requirements that may impose additional compliance burdens.
Challenges in adapting to and leveraging rapidly evolving technologies, including artificial intelligence, could impact JLL's competitive position. Failure to innovate may hinder growth and market share.
These are risk mechanisms, not predictions. The key question is which would force a cut to earnings estimates or a lower multiple than the market currently prices in.
Structural drivers behind the upside case and why the stock could outperform over the next 12 months.
AI analysis · updated April 29, 2026
JLL is shifting its revenue focus from traditional office spaces to high-growth sectors like data centers, life sciences, and logistics. This diversification is driven by increasing demand for AI compute needs and e-commerce expansion.
JLL is investing heavily in technology, including AI/ML and PropTech, to enhance client value and scale digital services. The rollout of JLL GPT and investments through JLL Spark aim to improve efficiency and service offerings.
Analysts expect a rebound in global investment sales volumes as interest rates stabilize, which will boost JLL's fee revenue from advisory and capital markets services. The company's strong performance in Markets Advisory and Capital Markets is contributing to revised EPS estimates.
JLL's business model includes resilient recurring revenue segments like Work Dynamics and Property & Facility Management, providing steady cash flow through market cycles. This stability is crucial for maintaining financial health during economic fluctuations.
JLL reported strong financial performance in 2024, with significant revenue and adjusted EBITDA increases. Analysts forecast mid-to-high single-digit growth in fee revenue for 2025, with earnings projected to grow between 11% and 24% annually from 2025 to 2027.
JLL has an active share buyback program that has reduced the number of outstanding shares. This initiative is expected to support the company's bottom line targets and enhance shareholder value.
A real bull case compounds — each driver matters most when it strengthens margins, supports capital returns, and keeps the company above the market's minimum growth bar simultaneously.
52-week range context and price returns across multiple time horizons. Dividend contribution is shown separately in the Capital Return section.
Range context matters because valuation compression and earnings misses rarely hit from the same starting point. A stock already far below its high can still fall, but it is no longer carrying the same embedded optimism as one pressing a fresh peak.
Valuation, growth, and margin comparison against the closest publicly traded peers for this company.
| Company | Mkt Cap | Fwd PE | Rev Grw | Margin | Rating | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JLL JLL Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated | $14.8B | 14.1x | +8.9% | 3.3% | Buy | +20.3% |
CBR CBRE CBRE Group, Inc. | $41.8B | 18.6x | +9.9% | 3.1% | Buy | +26.1% |
CWK CWK Cushman & Wakefield plc | $3.4B | 10.1x | -1.7% | 0.9% | Hold | +29.4% |
MMI MMI Marcus & Millichap, Inc. | $1.1B | 58.5x | +1.5% | -0.3% | Hold | -9.3% |
NEN NEN New England Realty Associates Limited Partnership | $168M | — | +9.7% | 6.8% | — | — |
NMR NMRK Newmark Group, Inc. | $3.0B | 8.7x | +15.1% | 3.8% | Buy | +28.6% |
This peer comparison reflects companies with similar business models, product lines, or market positioning, supplemented by industry grouping when direct matches are limited.
JLL returns 1.4% annually — null% through dividends and 1.4% through buybacks.
Yield, cadence, and growth quality
How much per-share support comes from repurchases
| Year | Div / Share | YoY Grw | BB Yield | Total Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | $0.86 | +4.9% | 0.2% | 0.7% |
| 2018 | $0.82 | +13.9% | 0.2% | 0.9% |
| 2017 | $0.72 | +12.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% |
| 2016 | $0.64 | +14.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% |
| 2015 | $0.56 | -21.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% |
Common questions answered from live analyst data and company financials.
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated (JLL) is rated Buy by Wall Street analysts as of 2026. Of 12 analysts covering the stock, 7 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 3 rate it Hold, and 2 rate it Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus 12-month price target is $383, implying +20.3% from the current price of $318. The bear case scenario is $232 and the bull case is $825.
The Wall Street consensus price target for JLL is $383 based on 12 analyst estimates. The high-end target is $425 (+33.6% from today), and the low-end target is $348 (+9.4%). The base case model target is $418.
JLL trades at 14.1x times forward earnings. The stock currently trades at a discount to the broader market. Based on current multiples versus the peer group, the relative model signals undervalued. Whether the stock is over or undervalued ultimately depends on whether consensus earnings estimates are achievable.
The primary risks for JLL in 2026 are: (1) Economic Sensitivity — As a cyclical stock, JLL is highly sensitive to economic fluctuations, which can significantly impact real estate demand and related services. (2) Market Volatility — JLL's stock has a beta of 1. (3) Interest Rate and Inflation — Rising interest rates can impact financial performance, particularly for properties with variable-rate debt. Each factor has the potential to pressure earnings or compress the stock's valuation multiple.
Analyst consensus estimates JLL will report consensus revenue of $29.1B (+8.9% year-over-year) and EPS of $20.41 (+8.9% year-over-year) for the upcoming fiscal year. The following year, analysts project $32.0B in revenue.
A confirmed upcoming earnings date for JLL is not yet available. Check the Earnings section above for the most recent quarterly report dates and forward estimates.
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated (JLL) generated $971M in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months — a free cash flow margin of 3.6%. JLL returns capital to shareholders through and share repurchases ($212M TTM).