9.5% Above Target

Wall Street's consensus price target for KALU is $165.33, -9.5% from its current price of $182.75. The below-market target from 22 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.

KALU has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 22 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 10 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $165.33 implies -9.5% downside from current levels.

With a forward P/E of 17.7731x, KALU trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $165.33 implies -9.5% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $183 for KALU, while the most conservative target is $137. The consensus of $165.33 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $157 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

KALU is well covered by analysts, with 22 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 8 have Buy ratings, 10 recommend Hold, and 4 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month KALU stock forecast based on 22 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $165.33, with estimates ranging from $137 (bear case) to $183 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $119, with bear/bull scenarios of $75/$157.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates KALU's fair value at $119 (base case), with a bear case of $75 and bull case of $157. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 43/100.

KALU trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17.8x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 27.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Analysts are cautious on KALU, with 4 Sell ratings and a price target of $165.33 (-9.5% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

KALU analyst price targets range from $137 to $183, a 28% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $165.33 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $75-$157 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.