LAZR trades 88.5% below Wall Street's consensus target of $86.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes LAZR achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of historical averagesx. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 9 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of October 2, 2026, Luminar Technologies, Inc. (LAZR) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $86.00, based on estimates from 9 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $45.63, this represents a potential upside of +88.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $27.24B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $3.00 to a high of $315.00, representing a 363% spread in expectations. The median target of $18.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 4 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,3 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, LAZR trades at a trailing P/E of -7.2x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -253.0% over the next year.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OUSTOuster, Inc. | $2.6B | $40.87 | $61.25 | +49.9% | Buy | — | 10 |
 INVZInnoviz Technologies Ltd. | $80M | $0.36 | $6.00 | +1577.4% | Buy | — | 5 |
 AEVAAeva Technologies, Inc. | $965M | $14.29 | $28.75 | +101.2% | Buy | — | 8 |
 LIDRAEye, Inc. | $54M | $1.17 | $12.00 | +925.6% | Hold | — | 4 |
 MVISMicroVision, Inc. | $35M | $1.50 | $5.00 | +233.3% | Buy | — | 8 |
 MBLYMobileye Global Inc. | $6.0B | $7.35 | $11.38 | +54.8% | Buy | 15.0x | 26 |
 APTVAptiv PLC | $9.3B | $43.97 | $68.90 | +56.7% | Buy | 7.6x | 33 |
 INDIindie Semiconductor, Inc. | $609M | $2.88 | $4.88 | +69.4% | Buy | — | 8 |
 CEVACEVA, Inc. | $990M | $35.52 | $46.20 | +30.1% | Buy | 64.8x | 28 |
 NVDANVIDIA Corporation | $5.6T | $230.86 | $345.21 | +49.5% | Buy | 24.9x | 79 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying LAZR stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for LAZR is $86, representing 88.5% upside from the current price of $45.63. With 9 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
LAZR has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 9 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 3 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $86 implies 88.5% upside from current levels.
LAZR's current price is $45.63 with a consensus target of $86 (88.5% implied move). Analyst estimates suggest the stock is undervalued at current levels.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $315 for LAZR, while the most conservative target is $3. The consensus of $86 represents the median expectation. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
LAZR is moderately covered, with 9 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 4 have Buy ratings, 3 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month LAZR stock forecast based on 9 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $86, with estimates ranging from $3 (bear case) to $315 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy".
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on LAZR, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $86 price target (88.5% upside). 4 of 9 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
LAZR analyst price targets range from $3 to $315, a 363% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $86 consensus represents the middle ground.
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