MOH trades 7.5% below Wall Street's consensus target of $205.45.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes MOH achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 36.5x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 39 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 23, 2026, Molina Healthcare, Inc. (MOH) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $205.45, based on estimates from 39 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $191.19, this represents a potential upside of +7.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $9.98B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $129.00 to a high of $286.00, representing a 76% spread in expectations. The median target of $215.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 17 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,16 rating it Hold, and 6 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, MOH trades at a trailing P/E of 21.4x and forward P/E of 36.5x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +3939.5% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $294.97, with bear and bull scenarios of $185.83 and $388.65 respectively. Model confidence stands at 51/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 CNCCentene Corp. | $31.3B | $63.28 | $68.29 | +7.9% | Buy | 13.0x | 44 |
 ALHCAlignment Healthcare, Inc. | $1.7B | $7.99 | $19.00 | +137.8% | Buy | 44.0x | 16 |
 UNHUnitedHealth Group Incorporated | $338.7B | $372.95 | $473.89 | +27.1% | Buy | 18.8x | 52 |
 CVSCVS Health Corp. | $111.1B | $87.10 | $111.20 | +27.7% | Buy | 10.9x | 41 |
 ELVElevance Health Inc. | $87.3B | $402.43 | $444.06 | +10.3% | Buy | 14.8x | 38 |
 HUMHumana Inc. | $44.7B | $371.93 | $418.53 | +12.5% | Hold | 40.6x | 44 |
 CICigna Corporation | $72.4B | $273.74 | $338.33 | +23.6% | Buy | 9.0x | 39 |
 OSCROscar Health, Inc. | $8.0B | $30.67 | $34.00 | +10.9% | Hold | 17.8x | 12 |
 MCKMcKesson Corporation | $106.2B | $891.23 | $953.00 | +6.9% | Buy | 20.0x | 31 |
 CAHCardinal Health, Inc. | $52.0B | $222.04 | $273.22 | +23.0% | Buy | 17.7x | 33 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MOH stock.
The consensus price target for MOH is $205.45, close to the current price of $191.19 (7.5% implied move). Based on 39 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
MOH has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 39 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 16 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $205.45 implies 7.5% upside from current levels.
At a forward P/E of 36.4804x, MOH trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $205.45 (7.5% upside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $286 for MOH, while the most conservative target is $129. The consensus of $205.45 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $389 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
MOH is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 39 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 17 have Buy ratings, 16 recommend Hold, and 6 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month MOH stock forecast based on 39 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $205.45, with estimates ranging from $129 (bear case) to $286 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $295, with bear/bull scenarios of $186/$389.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates MOH's fair value at $295 (base case), with a bear case of $186 and bull case of $389. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 51/100.
MOH trades at a forward P/E ratio of 36.5x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 21.4x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
MOH appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $205.45 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
MOH analyst price targets range from $129 to $286, a 76% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $205.45 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $186-$389 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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