10.1% Above Target

MOH's consensus price target is $175.55, -10.1% below the current price of $195.37. The 38 analysts tracking MOH see downside risk at present valuations.

MOH has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 38 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 15 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $175.55 implies -10.1% downside from current levels.

At a forward P/E of 38.0349x, MOH trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $175.55 (-10.1% downside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $224 for MOH, while the most conservative target is $124. The consensus of $175.55 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $389 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

MOH is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 38 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 17 have Buy ratings, 15 recommend Hold, and 6 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month MOH stock forecast based on 38 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $175.55, with estimates ranging from $124 (bear case) to $224 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $295, with bear/bull scenarios of $186/$389.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates MOH's fair value at $295 (base case), with a bear case of $186 and bull case of $389. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 51/100.

MOH trades at a forward P/E ratio of 38.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 21.9x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Analysts are cautious on MOH, with 6 Sell ratings and a price target of $175.55 (-10.1% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

MOH analyst price targets range from $124 to $224, a 57% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $175.55 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $186-$389 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.