1.9% Above Target

Wall Street's consensus price target for NOAH is $10, -1.9% from its current price of $10.19. The below-market target from 13 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.

NOAH has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 13 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 10 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $10 implies -1.9% downside from current levels.

With a forward P/E of 1.0167x, NOAH trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $10 implies -1.9% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $10 for NOAH, while the most conservative target is $10. The consensus of $10 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $341 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

NOAH is moderately covered, with 13 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 10 have Buy ratings, 2 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month NOAH stock forecast based on 13 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $10, with estimates ranging from $10 (bear case) to $10 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $259, with bear/bull scenarios of $163/$341.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates NOAH's fair value at $259 (base case), with a bear case of $163 and bull case of $341. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 37/100.

NOAH trades at a forward P/E ratio of 1.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 1.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Analysts are cautious on NOAH, with 1 Sell ratings and a price target of $10 (-1.9% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

NOAH analyst price targets range from $10 to $10, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $10 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $163-$341 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.