OSG trades 128.4% below Wall Street's consensus target of $14.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes OSG achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 92.0x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 6 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of November 8, 2026, Octave Specialty Group, Inc. (OSG) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $14.00, based on estimates from 6 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $4.99, this represents a potential upside of +128.4%. The company has a market capitalization of $225M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $10.00 to a high of $18.00, representing a 57% spread in expectations. The median target of $14.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, OSG trades at a trailing P/E of -1.6x and forward P/E of 92.0x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +100.4% over the next year.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MBIMBIA Inc. | $235M | $4.62 | $14.00 | +203.0% | Buy | — | 6 |
 AGOAssured Guaranty Ltd. | $3.3B | $73.45 | $88.00 | +19.8% | Buy | 10.6x | 10 |
 BAMBrookfield Asset Management Ltd. | $84.5B | $52.95 | $55.08 | +4.0% | Buy | 28.7x | 20 |
 RDNRadian Group Inc. | $4.8B | $35.97 | $41.00 | +14.0% | Buy | 7.4x | 22 |
 ESNTEssent Group Ltd. | $5.8B | $63.41 | $70.00 | +10.4% | Buy | 8.4x | 19 |
 MTGMGIC Investment Corporation | $5.9B | $28.60 | $31.50 | +10.1% | Buy | 8.8x | 22 |
 NMIHNMI Holdings, Inc. | $3.0B | $39.03 | $49.50 | +26.8% | Buy | 7.4x | 21 |
 PFSIPennyMac Financial Services, Inc. | $3.4B | $65.59 | $81.00 | +23.5% | Buy | 17.7x | 21 |
 MCOMoody's Corporation | $87.6B | $505.67 | $536.44 | +6.1% | Buy | 30.1x | 32 |
 SPGIS&P Global Inc. | $137.9B | $467.80 | $512.14 | +9.5% | Buy | 26.1x | 28 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying OSG stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for OSG is $14, representing 128.4% upside from the current price of $4.99. With 6 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
OSG has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 6 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 5 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $14 implies 128.4% upside from current levels.
At a forward P/E of 92.042x, OSG trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $14 (128.4% upside) suggests analysts still see growth justifying the multiple.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $18 for OSG, while the most conservative target is $10. The consensus of $14 represents the median expectation. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
OSG is moderately covered, with 6 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month OSG stock forecast based on 6 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $14, with estimates ranging from $10 (bear case) to $18 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy".
OSG trades at a forward P/E ratio of 92.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on OSG, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $14 price target (128.4% upside). 5 of 6 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
OSG analyst price targets range from $10 to $18, a 57% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $14 consensus represents the middle ground.
Live VCP patterns, Cup & Handle overlays, support/resistance, and AI trade plans.
High-probability breakout stocks crossing their pivot across 5 pattern engines.
DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.
10-year return with dividends reinvested.
Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.