Radian Group Inc. (RDN) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$35.58
Price Target
$40.00
Target Range
$40.00 — $40.00
Analyst Rating
Buy
Forward P/E7.2x
Trailing P/E9.1x
Forward PEG1.74
Implied Growth+18.0%
Median Target$40.00
Analyst Spread0.0%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$40
+12.4%
Consensus
$40
+12.4%
Bull Case
$40
+12.4%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 44/100
Bear$15
Base$41
Bull$59
RDN Price Target Analysis
Updated May 6, 2026As of May 6, 2026, Radian Group Inc. (RDN) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $40.00, based on estimates from 22 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $35.58, this represents a potential upside of +12.4%. The company has a market capitalization of $4.82B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $40.00 to a high of $40.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $40.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 12 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,9 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, RDN trades at a trailing P/E of 9.1x and forward P/E of 7.2x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.74 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +18.0% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $40.82, with bear and bull scenarios of $15.10 and $59.07 respectively. Model confidence stands at 44/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+25.0%
Avg Forward P/E12.4x
Peers with Coverage9 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MTGMGIC Investment Corporation | $5.5B | $26.24 | $30.00 | +14.3% | Buy | 8.5x | 22 |
 ESNTEssent Group Ltd. | $5.9B | $60.17 | $69.33 | +15.2% | Buy | 8.5x | 19 |
 NMIHNMI Holdings, Inc. | $2.9B | $37.66 | $43.50 | +15.5% | Buy | 7.3x | 20 |
 PFSIPennyMac Financial Services, Inc. | $4.6B | $87.48 | $143.00 | +63.5% | Buy | 7.1x | 20 |
 ACTEnact Holdings, Inc. | $6.0B | $42.31 | $45.00 | +6.4% | Hold | 8.8x | 8 |
 FAFFirst American Financial Corporation | $7.0B | $68.38 | $83.00 | +21.4% | Buy | 10.7x | 15 |
 FNFFidelity National Financial, Inc. | $13.9B | $51.18 | $67.00 | +30.9% | Buy | 8.9x | 17 |
 STCStewart Information Services Corporation | $2.1B | $68.61 | $80.50 | +17.3% | Buy | 11.3x | 8 |
 ITICInvestors Title Company | $448M | $237.40 | — | — | — | 39.0x | — |
 WDWalker & Dunlop, Inc. | $1.8B | $51.16 | $72.00 | +40.7% | Buy | 14.3x | 15 |
Upside Potential Comparison
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Start ComparisonRDN — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying RDN stock.
What is the RDN stock price target for 2026?
Radian Group Inc. (RDN) has a consensus 12-month price target of $40, implying 12.4% upside from $35.58. The 22 analysts covering RDN see moderate appreciation potential.
Is RDN a buy, sell, or hold?
RDN has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 22 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 12 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $40 implies 12.4% upside from current levels.
Is RDN stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 7.221x, RDN trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $40 implies 12.4% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
How high can RDN stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $40 for RDN, while the most conservative target is $40. The consensus of $40 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $59 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover RDN stock?
RDN is well covered by analysts, with 22 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 12 have Buy ratings, 9 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the RDN stock forecast?
The 12-month RDN stock forecast based on 22 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $40, with estimates ranging from $40 (bear case) to $40 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $41, with bear/bull scenarios of $15/$59.
What is RDN's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates RDN's fair value at $41 (base case), with a bear case of $15 and bull case of $59. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 44/100.
What is RDN's forward P/E ratio?
RDN trades at a forward P/E ratio of 7.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 9.1x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy RDN stock?
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on RDN, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $40 price target (12.4% upside). 12 of 22 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do RDN price targets vary so much?
RDN analyst price targets range from $40 to $40, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $40 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $15-$59 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.