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PDDPDD Holdings Inc.
$83.03$118.2B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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PDD logo

PDD Holdings Inc.

PDD
NASDAQ · E-commerce & Online Marketplaces
$83.03
At close - USD
Market Cap$118.18B
P/E8.5x
52W High$139.12
Volume6.49M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Decelerating Growth and Margin Compression Challenge Valuation

PDD Holdings is experiencing a sharp deceleration in its core business, with revenue growth slowing to 8.1% in 2026Q2 from triple-digit rates, while gross margins have compressed by 800 basis points from their 2024Q2 peak to 57.3%, suggesting the high-margin domestic platform is being diluted by lower-margin…

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

PDD price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

8/12 Beats

EPS beat 8 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-69% Peers

P/E is 69% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 52 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 52)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystConfirmed earnings · Nov 18
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth has decelerated to 8.1% YoY in 2026Q2, while gross margins have contracted 800 basis points from their 2024Q2 peak to 57.3%, indicating structural margin pressure from the international Temu business.

Analyst Consensus+19.4% target
Hold(28 analysts)
13 Buy14 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Undervaluation and Growth Potential

PDD's stock may be undervalued, with fair value estimates around $266.49 and $223.81 based on DCF analyses.

Strong Domestic Performance

Pinduoduo's domestic business is profitable with over 880 million active buyers, generating substantial revenue and free cash flow.

Institutional Confidence and Cash Position

PDD holds approximately $69.5 billion in cash and investments, indicating strong institutional confidence and potential for capital returns.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Volatility and Market Sensitivity

PDD has experienced a recent decline of about 25%, raising concerns about its stock stability.

Geopolitical and Regulatory Risks

Temu's expansion faces geopolitical challenges, including potential U.S. tariffs and EU regulatory pressures.

Maturing Growth and Competition

Analysts expect more modest revenue growth from 2024 to 2027, facing competition from Alibaba and JD.com.

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
PDD-28.27%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
PDD-39.28%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
PDD-22.50%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+67.33%
5-Year Return
PDD-0.25%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+55.23%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
8.9x
Forward P/EExpansion
1.2x
EV/EBITDA75th %ile
4.5x
FCF YieldCash Flow
14.2%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
8.9x
3.6x
80th· High
EV/EBITDA
4.5x
3.0x
75th· Fair
Price/FCF
7.0x
2.3x
80th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$111.64+34.5%
Base (Fair)$169.65+104.3%
Bull$295.22+255.6%
$111.64 Bear$169.65 Base$295.22 Bull
Current Market Price: $83.03
Trades at a 51.1% discount to Base DCF ($169.65)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$431.85B+9.7% YoY
Net income FY25
$97.84B-13.0% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$105.79B-12.5% YoY
Operating margin FY25
21.6%-6.0 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)27.7%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (FY25)26.9%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
Revenue Beat Rate3/12 (25%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 24, 2026
$2.85+4.8%
vs $2.72
$16.5B-2.4%
vs $16.9B
Q2 2026
May 27, 2026
$1.38-42.5%
vs $2.40
$15.4B-3.3%
vs $15.9B
Q2 2026
Mar 25, 2026
$2.53-15.1%
vs $2.98
$17.7B-0.5%
vs $17.8B
Q4 2025
Nov 18, 2025
$2.96+33.9%
vs $2.21
$15.2B-13.5%
vs $17.6B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
PDD Holdings Inc. Sponsored ADR (PDD) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It

Recently, Zacks.com users have been paying close attention to PDD Holdings Inc. Sponsored ADR (PDD). This makes it worthwhile to examine what the stock has in store.

Zacks Investment Research·3d ago
PDD Holdings Inc. Sponsored ADR (PDD) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: What You Should Know

The latest trading day saw PDD Holdings Inc. Sponsored ADR (PDD) settling at $80.17, representing a -1.85% change from its previous close.

Benzinga·5d ago
Alibaba, JD.com, PDD Stocks Climb Monday After Brutal October for Chinese Stocks: What's Going On?

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA), JD.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:JD) and PDD Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:PDD) are trading higher Monday after a report that China's central bank and securities regulator will meet to discuss tools designed to support the country's capital market.

24/7 Wall Street·5d ago
Alibaba Climbs 5% as Apple Picks Qwen to Power iPhone AI in China; PDD Holdings Rises 3%, Baidu Gains 2%

Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL | AAPL Price Prediction) just gave a Chinese artificial intelligence (AI) model a place inside the iPhone, and China's internet stocks are reacting. Alibaba Group (NYSE:BABA) stock is at $102.85, up 5% in morning trading.

Filtered for PDD Holdings Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark PDD against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
PDD logoPDDPDD Holdings Inc.Current
$83.03$118.18B8.499.65%22.66%26.86%—
BABA logoBABAAlibaba Group Holding Limited
$109.45$255.42B16.602.74%7.04%6.6%1.92%
JD logoJDJD.com, Inc.
$29.11$40.87B15.0612.97%1.12%5.08%3.59%
VIPS logoVIPSVipshop Holdings Limited
$13.86$6.82B6.54-2.31%9.81%22.77%—
SE logoSESea Limited
$75.73$45.46B30.0536.38%5.91%13.37%—
MELI logoMELIMercadoLibre, Inc.
$1510.00$76.55B38.3339.06%5.3%26.54%—

Compare PDD vs Peers

PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs BABA

Most directly comparable listed peer for PDD.

Scale Benchmark

vs GOOGL

Larger-name benchmark to compare PDD against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs BABA, JD, VIPS, SE

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PDD Frequently Asked Questions

PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is PDD Holdings Inc.'s revenue?

PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) reported $448.53B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $431.85B in fiscal year 2025. That is 85437% more than the $504.9M of fiscal year 2016.

How fast is PDD Holdings Inc. growing?

PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) grew revenue by 9.7% in fiscal year 2025, compared with the prior fiscal year.

Is PDD profitable?

Yes. PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) earned $110.28B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 24.6% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
What is PDD's return on equity?

PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) had a return on equity (ROE) of 26.9% in fiscal year 2025. That is well above the market's typical 10-15%.

What is PDD Holdings Inc.'s free cash flow?

PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) generated $117.09B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in PDD back in 2016?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 10+ years of data

See returns →