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PDDPDD Holdings Inc.
$80.35$114.4B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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PDD logo

PDD Holdings Inc.

PDD
NASDAQ · Specialty Retail
$80.35
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$114.37B
P/E8.2x
52W High$139.41
Volume6.91M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Decelerating Growth and Margin Compression Challenge Valuation

PDD Holdings is experiencing a sharp deceleration in its core business, with revenue growth slowing to 8.1% in 2026Q2 from triple-digit rates, while gross margins have compressed by 800 basis points from their 2024Q2 peak to 57.3%, suggesting the high-margin d...

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

PDD price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

8/12 Beats

EPS beat 8 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-73% Peers

P/E is 73% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 23 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 77% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystConfirmed earnings · Nov 18
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth has decelerated to 8.1% YoY in 2026Q2, while gross margins have contracted 800 basis points from their 2024Q2 peak to 57.3%, indicating structural margin pressure from the international Temu business.

Analyst Consensus+28.5% target
Hold(28 analysts)
13 Buy14 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Undervaluation and Growth Potential

PDD's stock may be undervalued, with fair value estimates around $266.49 and $223.81 based on DCF analyses.

Strong Domestic Performance

Pinduoduo's domestic business is profitable with over 880 million active buyers, generating substantial revenue and free cash flow.

Institutional Confidence and Cash Position

PDD holds approximately $69.5 billion in cash and investments, indicating strong institutional confidence and potential for capital returns.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Volatility and Market Sensitivity

PDD has experienced a recent decline of about 25%, raising concerns about its stock stability.

Geopolitical and Regulatory Risks

Temu's expansion faces geopolitical challenges, including potential U.S. tariffs and EU regulatory pressures.

Maturing Growth and Competition

Analysts expect more modest revenue growth from 2024 to 2027, facing competition from Alibaba and JD.com.

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
PDD-30.58%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
PDD-37.50%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
PDD-16.24%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+75.96%
5-Year Return
PDD-17.67%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+74.70%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
8.2x
Forward P/EExpansion
1.2x
EV/EBITDA75th %ile
6.1x
FCF YieldCash Flow
13.8%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
8.2x
3.6x
80th· High
EV/EBITDA
6.1x
3.1x
75th· Fair
Price/FCF
7.2x
2.3x
80th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$114.10+42.0%
Base (Fair)$167.23+112.0%
Bull$273.96+241.0%
$114.10 Bear$167.23 Base$273.96 Bull
Current Market Price: $80.35
Trades at a 52.0% discount to Base DCF ($167.23)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$431.85B+9.7% YoY
Net income
$97.84B-13.0% YoY
Free cash flow
$105.79B-12.5% YoY
Operating margin
21.6%-6.0 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)27.7%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)26.9%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
Revenue Beat Rate3/12 (25%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 24, 2026
$2.85+4.8%
vs $2.72
$16.5B-2.4%
vs $16.9B
Q2 2026
May 27, 2026
$1.38-42.5%
vs $2.40
$15.4B-3.3%
vs $15.9B
Q2 2026
Mar 25, 2026
$2.53-15.1%
vs $2.98
$17.7B-0.5%
vs $17.8B
Q4 2025
Nov 18, 2025
$2.96+33.9%
vs $2.21
$15.2B-13.5%
vs $17.6B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Defense World·Sep 12, 2026
California State Teachers Retirement System Buys 21,654,483 Shares of PDD Holdings Inc. Sponsored ADR $PDD

California State Teachers Retirement System increased its position in PDD Holdings Inc. Sponsored ADR (NASDAQ: PDD) by 5,977.1% in the second quarter, according to the company in its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The firm owned 22,016,773 shares of the company's stock after purchasing an additional 21,654,483 shares during

Zacks Investment Research·Sep 8, 2026
Here is What to Know Beyond Why PDD Holdings Inc. Sponsored ADR (PDD) is a Trending Stock

PDD Holdings Inc. Sponsored ADR (PDD) has been one of the stocks most watched by Zacks.com users lately. So, it is worth exploring what lies ahead for the stock.

247 Wallst·Sep 2, 2026
How the Death of an $800 Tariff Loophole Erased 70% of Shein’s Value

A single line in U.S. customs law quietly bankrolled the ultra-cheap fashion giants shipping from Guangzhou to your door. Now that the loophole is closed, the bill is coming due and investors are only beginning to count the damage.

24/7 Wall Street·Aug 27, 2026
China E-Commerce Stocks Sink While Baidu Climbs 4%: Alibaba Falls 4%, PDD Holdings Declines 3%

China's large-cap internet names are splitting sharply Thursday, with the group's three e-commerce heavyweights slipping while Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU | BIDU Price Prediction), the AI-focused peer, is climbing higher on a firm session for U.S. equities.

Filtered for PDD Holdings Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark PDD against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
PDD logoPDDPDD Holdings Inc.Current
$80.35$114.37B8.259.65%22.66%26.86%—
BABA logoBABAAlibaba Group Holding Limited
$116.27$271.34B17.702.74%7.04%6.6%—
JD logoJDJD.com, Inc.
$27.38$38.44B14.2112.97%1.12%5.08%—
VIPS logoVIPSVipshop Holdings Limited
$12.67$6.23B6.00-2.31%9.81%22.77%—
SE logoSESea Limited
$103.67$62.24B41.1436.38%5.91%13.37%—
MELI logoMELIMercadoLibre, Inc.
$1826.58$92.6B46.3739.06%5.3%26.54%—

Compare PDD vs Peers

PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs BABA

Most directly comparable listed peer for PDD.

Scale Benchmark

vs GOOGL

Larger-name benchmark to compare PDD against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs BABA, JD, VIPS, SE

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PDD Frequently Asked Questions

PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is PDD Holdings Inc.'s revenue?

PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) reported $448.53B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 88742% increase from $504.9M in 2016.

How fast is PDD Holdings Inc. growing?

PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) grew revenue by 9.7% over the past year. This is steady growth.

Is PDD profitable?

Yes, PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) is profitable, generating $110.28B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (22.7% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
What is PDD's return on equity?

PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) has a return on equity (ROE) of 26.9%. This is excellent, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

What is PDD Holdings Inc.'s free cash flow?

PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) generated $117.09B in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in PDD back in 2016?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 10+ years of data

See returns →