Bull case
PWR would need investors to value it at roughly 53x earnings — about 3x more generous than today's 50x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
Wall Street verdict, consensus price target, and analyst rating breakdown — everything needed to frame the risk/reward at today's price.
Three scenarios for where PWR stock could go
PWR would need investors to value it at roughly 53x earnings — about 3x more generous than today's 50x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
At 40x on FY1 earnings, the base case reflects a reasonable but not stretched valuation. It prices in continued growth without assuming an exceptional setup.
If investor confidence fades or macro conditions deteriorate, a 25x multiple contraction could push PWR down roughly 50% from where it trades now.
Not financial advice. Model confidence reflects internal scenario assumptions, not a guarantee of returns. Past performance does not predict future results.

Quanta Services is a leading specialty contractor that builds and maintains critical energy infrastructure — primarily electric power transmission and distribution networks, as well as renewable energy facilities. It generates revenue through two main segments: Electric Power Infrastructure Solutions (~70% of revenue) and Renewable Energy Infrastructure Solutions (~30%), both providing engineering, procurement, and construction services. The company's competitive advantage lies in its scale, specialized expertise in complex infrastructure projects, and long-standing relationships with major utilities and energy companies.
Quarterly beat-or-miss track record against analyst estimates, plus forward revenue and EPS outlook for the next two fiscal years.
| Quarter | EPS (Actual / Est) | EPS Surprise | Revenue (Actual / Est) | Rev Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $2.48/$2.44 | +1.6% | $6.8B/$6.6B | +3.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.33/$3.25 | +2.5% | $7.5B/$7.4B | +1.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.16/$3.02 | +4.6% | $7.8B/$7.4B | +6.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.68/$2.04 | +31.4% | $7.9B/$7.0B | +12.5% |
PWR beat EPS estimates in 4 of 4 tracked quarters. A perfect track record raises the bar for the upcoming report.
Product and geographic revenue mix from the latest annual disclosure, with year-over-year growth by segment.
Latest annual revenue by segment or product family
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Latest annual revenue by reported region
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Current multiples compared to the S&P 500, the company's sector, and its own five-year average.
Fair value est. $296 — implies -57.8% from today's price.
| Metric | PWR | S&P 500 | Industrials | 5Y Avg PWR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward PE | 50.2x | 18.8x+167% | 21.2x+137% | — |
| Trailing PE | 103.3x | 24.4x+322% | 25.6x+304% | 47.0x+120% |
| PEG Ratio | 5.99x | 1.66x+261% | 1.65x+264% | — |
| EV/EBITDA | 42.8x | 15.2x+181% | 13.9x+208% | 21.0x+104% |
| Price/FCF | 65.0x | 20.7x+214% | 20.0x+224% | 43.0x+51% |
| Price/Sales | 3.7x | 3.1x+20% | 1.6x+138% | 1.7x+123% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.06% | 1.91% | 1.21% | 0.15% |
Forward P/E and PEG reflect analyst consensus estimates. Historical averages use trailing ratios where forward data is unavailable.S&P 500 and sector benchmarks both use trailing median P/E — similar readings indicate the broader index and sector are priced alike.
Open valuation toolPWR 11.8% ROIC signals a durable competitive advantage.
Revenue, margins, and cash generation
ROIC, leverage, and debt serviceability
~0.4 years to full repayment at current FCF run-rate
How capital is returned to owners
All figures from the trailing twelve months. ROIC uses invested capital (equity + net debt).
Open full ratios pageKey factors that could pressure the stock price, compress the multiple, or weigh on future results.
AI analysis · updated June 17, 2026
Quanta Services faces challenges in converting its substantial backlog into revenue due to potential project execution risks, especially in high-demand environments for electric grid upgrades and renewable integration.
In a bear case scenario, Quanta's 3-year EPS CAGR could drop to +9% if large projects experience delays, indicating sensitivity to project timelines.
Revenue growth could normalize to +10% (1-year) and +9% (3-year), reflecting potential headwinds in sustaining higher growth rates over the long term.
The stock's implied upside is limited (-6.3%), suggesting potential valuation de-rating if growth prospects fail to meet expectations.
These are risk mechanisms, not predictions. The key question is which would force a cut to earnings estimates or a lower multiple than the market currently prices in.
Structural drivers behind the upside case and why the stock could outperform over the next 12 months.
AI analysis · updated June 17, 2026
Quanta Services reported significant revenue of $7.87B in Q1 2026, showcasing robust financial performance.
The company maintains a strong backlog of $48.5B, indicating sustained demand and future revenue potential.
Quanta Services raised its financial guidance, reflecting confidence in continued growth and execution.
The announcement of a $1B buyback program signals management's belief in the company's undervaluation and commitment to shareholder returns.
Quanta Services is positioned as a powerhouse in energy infrastructure, benefiting from generational capex spending trends.
With a consensus target price of $674 and a history of significant appreciation, the stock remains attractive for growth investors.
A real bull case compounds — each driver matters most when it strengthens margins, supports capital returns, and keeps the company above the market's minimum growth bar simultaneously.
52-week range context and price returns across multiple time horizons. Dividend contribution is shown separately in the Capital Return section.
Range context matters because valuation compression and earnings misses rarely hit from the same starting point. A stock already far below its high can still fall, but it is no longer carrying the same embedded optimism as one pressing a fresh peak.
Valuation, growth, and margin comparison against the closest publicly traded peers for this company.
| Company | Mkt Cap | Fwd PE | Rev Grw | Margin | Rating | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PWR PWR Quanta Services, Inc. | $105.4B | 50.2x | +13.2% | 3.7% | Buy | -4.0% |
EME EME EMCOR Group, Inc. | $37.3B | 28.5x | +8.6% | 7.5% | Buy | +18.1% |
MYR MYRG MYR Group Inc. | $7.2B | 40.3x | +8.8% | 3.7% | Hold | -10.5% |
WLD WLDN Willdan Group, Inc. | $1.3B | 21.6x | +8.1% | 8.2% | Buy | +32.0% |
DY DY Dycom Industries, Inc. | $13.7B | 27.5x | +11.9% | 5.0% | Buy | +32.2% |
PRI PRIM Primoris Services Corporation | $5.5B | 20.9x | +7.2% | 3.3% | Buy | +50.8% |
This peer comparison reflects companies with similar business models, product lines, or market positioning, supplemented by industry grouping when direct matches are limited.
PWR returns capital mainly through $135M/year in buybacks (0.1% buyback yield), with a modest 0.06% dividend — combining for 0.2% total shareholder yield.
Yield, cadence, and growth quality
How much per-share support comes from repurchases
| Year | Div / Share | YoY Grw | BB Yield | Total Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0.33 | — | — | — |
| 2025 | $0.40 | +48.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| 2024 | $0.27 | -18.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| 2023 | $0.33 | -8.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 2022 | $0.36 | +100.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% |
Common questions answered from live analyst data and company financials.
Quanta Services, Inc. (PWR) is rated Buy by Wall Street analysts as of 2026. Of 36 analysts covering the stock, 27 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 9 rate it Hold, and 0 rate it Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus 12-month price target is $674, implying -4.0% from the current price of $702. The bear case scenario is $353 and the bull case is $739.
The Wall Street consensus price target for PWR is $674 based on 36 analyst estimates. The high-end target is $900 (+28.2% from today), and the low-end target is $428 (-39.1%). The base case model target is $561.
PWR trades at 50.2x times forward earnings. The stock trades at a notable premium to the broad market, which is typical for businesses with strong free cash flow and above-average growth expectations. Based on current multiples versus the peer group, the relative model signals expensive versus peers. Whether the stock is over or undervalued ultimately depends on whether consensus earnings estimates are achievable.
The primary risks for PWR in 2026 are: (1) Project Execution Risks — Quanta Services faces challenges in converting its substantial backlog into revenue due to potential project execution risks, especially in high-demand environments for electric grid upgrades and renewable integration. (2) EPS Growth Slowdown — In a bear case scenario, Quanta's 3-year EPS CAGR could drop to +9% if large projects experience delays, indicating sensitivity to project timelines. (3) Revenue Growth Uncertainty — Revenue growth could normalize to +10% (1-year) and +9% (3-year), reflecting potential headwinds in sustaining higher growth rates over the long term. Each factor has the potential to pressure earnings or compress the stock's valuation multiple.
Analyst consensus estimates PWR will report consensus revenue of $33.9B (+13.2% year-over-year) and EPS of $11.20 (+52.7% year-over-year) for the upcoming fiscal year. The following year, analysts project $38.8B in revenue.
Quanta Services, Inc. is expected to report its next earnings on approximately 2026-07-30. Consensus expects EPS of $3.27 and revenue of $8.6B. Over recent quarters, PWR has beaten EPS estimates 92% of the time.
Quanta Services, Inc. (PWR) generated $1.7B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months — a free cash flow margin of 5.6%. PWR returns capital to shareholders through dividends (0.1% yield) and share repurchases ($135M TTM).