RGLD trades 53.6% below Wall Street's consensus target of $330.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes RGLD achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 18.8x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 28 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 21, 2026, Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $330.00, based on estimates from 28 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $214.82, this represents a potential upside of +53.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $14.91B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $325.00 to a high of $335.00, representing a 3% spread in expectations. The median target of $330.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 16 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,11 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, RGLD trades at a trailing P/E of 32.1x and forward P/E of 18.8x. The forward PEG ratio of 2.41 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow +53.5% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $219.62, with bear and bull scenarios of $138.36 and $289.38 respectively. Model confidence stands at 40/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WPMWheaton Precious Metals Corp. | $55.7B | $122.57 | $170.00 | +38.7% | Buy | 22.7x | 20 |
FNVFranco-Nevada Corporation | $42.3B | $219.26 | $299.00 | +36.4% | Buy | 24.4x | 26 |
OROR Royalties Inc. | $6.5B | $34.86 | $51.00 | +46.3% | Buy | 16.7x | 9 |
NEMNewmont Corporation | $115.0B | $103.79 | $143.33 | +38.1% | Buy | 10.1x | 36 |
AEMAgnico Eagle Mines Limited | $83.5B | $166.66 | $248.17 | +48.9% | Buy | 12.2x | 31 |
KGCKinross Gold Corporation | $31.9B | $26.67 | $45.33 | +70.0% | Buy | 8.8x | 29 |
AGIAlamos Gold Inc. | $15.3B | $36.34 | $60.00 | +65.1% | Buy | 13.2x | 13 |
EGOEldorado Gold Corporation | $6.5B | $33.05 | $52.67 | +59.4% | Hold | 8.2x | 24 |
FCXFreeport-McMoRan Inc. | $98.7B | $68.67 | $71.44 | +4.0% | Buy | 25.4x | 41 |
TECKTeck Resources Limited | $31.0B | $64.36 | $64.50 | +0.2% | Buy | 13.1x | 26 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying RGLD stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for RGLD is $330, representing 53.6% upside from the current price of $214.82. With 28 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
RGLD has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 28 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 16 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $330 implies 53.6% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 18.7719x, RGLD trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $330 implies 53.6% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $335 for RGLD, while the most conservative target is $325. The consensus of $330 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $289 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
RGLD is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 28 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 16 have Buy ratings, 11 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month RGLD stock forecast based on 28 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $330, with estimates ranging from $325 (bear case) to $335 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $220, with bear/bull scenarios of $138/$289.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates RGLD's fair value at $220 (base case), with a bear case of $138 and bull case of $289. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 40/100.
RGLD trades at a forward P/E ratio of 18.8x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 32.1x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on RGLD, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $330 price target (53.6% upside). 16 of 28 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
RGLD analyst price targets range from $325 to $335, a 3% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $330 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $138-$289 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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