3.0% Below Target

The consensus price target for RJF is $160.5, close to the current price of $155.86 (3.0% implied move). Based on 24 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.

RJF has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 24 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 14 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $160.5 implies 3.0% upside from current levels.

With a forward P/E of 13.1167x, RJF trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $160.5 implies 3.0% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $166 for RJF, while the most conservative target is $155. The consensus of $160.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $258 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

RJF is well covered by analysts, with 24 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 9 have Buy ratings, 14 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month RJF stock forecast based on 24 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $160.5, with estimates ranging from $155 (bear case) to $166 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $196, with bear/bull scenarios of $123/$258.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates RJF's fair value at $196 (base case), with a bear case of $123 and bull case of $258. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 56/100.

RJF trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 15.1x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

RJF appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $160.5 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

RJF analyst price targets range from $155 to $166, a 7% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $160.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $123-$258 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.