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RUNSunrun Inc.
$13.52$3.2B
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RUN logo

Sunrun Inc. (RUN) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 37 analysts

28.9% Below Target

RUN trades 28.9% below Wall Street's consensus target of $17.43.

Current Price$13.52
Average Target$17.43
Target
Current
Low$12.00
Median$18.00
High$22.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E10.7x
(Value)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth-39.5%
(Declining)
Analyst Spread57.4%
(Moderate)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$13.52
Consensus$17.43
High$22.00
Low$12.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes RUN achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 10.7x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 37 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 37 published analyst recommendations for RUN

23/37 analysts are bullish
+30
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 37 ratings
ConsensusBuy
Coverage37 Analysts
Net Score+30
Bull / Bear62% / 3%
Strong Buy00%
Buy2362%
Hold1335%
Sell13%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
2362%
Hold
1335%
Sell
13%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix62% Buy · 35% Hold · 3% Sell
Buy (23)Hold (13)Sell (1)

RUN Price Target Analysis

Updated June 21, 2026

As of June 21, 2026, Sunrun Inc. (RUN) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $17.43, based on estimates from 37 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $13.52, this represents a potential upside of +28.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $3.23B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $12.00 to a high of $22.00, representing a 57% spread in expectations. The median target of $18.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.

The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 23 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,13 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.

From a valuation perspective, RUN trades at a trailing P/E of 7.9x and forward P/E of 10.7x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -39.5% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $1.78, with bear and bull scenarios of $1.12 and $2.34 respectively. Model confidence stands at 55/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Energy stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
+206.3%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
779.8x
(High Premium)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
SPWR logo
SPWRSunPower Inc.
$128M$0.78$15.81
+1927.4%
Hold—45
ARRY logo
ARRYArray Technologies, Inc.
$1.2B$8.00$9.80
+22.5%
Buy11.0x28
SHLS logo
SHLSShoals Technologies Group, Inc.
$1.7B$10.42$8.00
-23.2%
Buy25.3x23
ENPH logo
ENPHEnphase Energy, Inc.
$6.9B$52.28$47.61
-8.9%
Hold25.9x55
SEDG logo
SEDGSolarEdge Technologies, Inc.
$3.5B$58.05$34.50
-40.6%
Hold4570.9x48
FSLR logo
FSLRFirst Solar, Inc.
$27.7B$257.70$254.92
-1.1%
Buy14.6x73
CSIQ logo
CSIQCanadian Solar Inc.
$1.1B$16.27$18.00
+10.6%
Buy—33
JKS logo
JKSJinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd.
$254M$19.42$24.00
+23.6%
Buy—22
GNRC logo
GNRCGenerac Holdings Inc.
$16.4B$279.15$282.73
+1.3%
Buy31.2x39
STEM logo
STEMStem, Inc.
$70M$8.22$20.67
+151.5%
Hold—17

RUN — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying RUN stock.

What is the RUN stock price target for 2026?

The consensus Wall Street price target for RUN is $17.43, representing 28.9% upside from the current price of $13.52. With 37 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.

Is RUN a buy, sell, or hold?

RUN has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 37 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 23 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $17.43 implies 28.9% upside from current levels.

Is RUN stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 10.703x, RUN trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $17.43 implies 28.9% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.

How high can RUN stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $22 for RUN, while the most conservative target is $12. The consensus of $17.43 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $2 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover RUN stock?

RUN is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 37 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 23 have Buy ratings, 13 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the RUN stock forecast?

The 12-month RUN stock forecast based on 37 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $17.43, with estimates ranging from $12 (bear case) to $22 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $2, with bear/bull scenarios of $1/$2.

What is RUN's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates RUN's fair value at $2 (base case), with a bear case of $1 and bull case of $2. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 55/100.

What is RUN's forward P/E ratio?

RUN trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10.7x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 7.9x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy RUN stock?

Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on RUN, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $17.43 price target (28.9% upside). 23 of 37 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do RUN price targets vary so much?

RUN analyst price targets range from $12 to $22, a 57% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $17.43 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $1-$2 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

Intrinsic Valuation

DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.

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Historical Returns

10-year return with dividends reinvested.

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DCA Calculator

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Run Numbers

Peer Comparison

Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.

Compare