Upside case
Bull case
—
The bull case requires both strong earnings delivery and the market pricing SITM more generously than it does today.
Analysis OverviewBuyUpdated Jun 18, 2026
SiTime Corporation (SITM) Stock Analysis
Wall Street verdict, consensus price target, and analyst rating breakdown — everything needed to frame the risk/reward at today's price.
Analyst consensus
Buy
Covering
9
analysts
9 bullish · 0 bearish · 9 covering SITM
Strong Buy
0
Buy
9
Hold
0
Sell
0
Strong Sell
0
Consensus Target
$664
-8.9% vs today
Scenario Range
— – —
Model bear to bull value window
Coverage
9
Published analyst ratings
Valuation Context
92.9x
Forward P/E · Market cap $19.2B
SITM price targets
Three scenarios for where SITM stock could go
Current
~$729
Confidence
53 / 100
Updated
Jun 18, 2026
Market caseClosest to today
Base case
—
The base case reflects analyst consensus expectations — steady delivery without requiring a major catalyst or re-rating.
Stress case
Bear case
—
The bear case reflects a scenario where earnings shortfalls or multiple compression combine to materially reduce the stock from its current level.
Not financial advice. Model confidence reflects internal scenario assumptions, not a guarantee of returns. Past performance does not predict future results.
SiTime Corporation
SITM · NASDAQTechnologySemiconductorsDecember year-end
SiTime Corporation is a semiconductor company that designs and sells precision silicon timing systems — including oscillators and clock chips — for applications ranging from communications to automotive electronics. It generates revenue primarily through sales of its timing products (resonators, oscillators, and clock ICs) via a global distributor and reseller network. The company's key advantage lies in its MEMS-based timing technology, which offers superior performance, reliability, and miniaturization compared to traditional quartz-based solutions.
Market Cap
$19.2B
Revenue TTM
$380M
Net Income TTM
-$24M
Net Margin
-6.4%
SITM Revenue and Earnings Performance
Quarterly beat-or-miss track record against analyst estimates, plus forward revenue and EPS outlook for the next two fiscal years.
EPS Beat Rate
100%Exceptional
12 quarters tracked
Revenue Beat Rate
100%Exceptional
vs consensus estimates
Avg EPS Surprise
+62.1%
above Street consensus
Beat / Miss Record
BeatMissLeft = EPS · Right = Revenue
Q3 2025
Q4 2025
Q1 2026
Q2 2026
Last 4 Quarters
EPS beats: 4 of 4Q3 2025
EPS
$0.47/$0.29
Revenue
$69M/$65M
Q4 2025
EPS
$0.87/$0.71
Revenue
$84M/$78M
Q1 2026
EPS
$1.53/$1.20
Revenue
$113M/$102M
Q2 2026
EPS
$1.44/$1.16
Revenue
$114M/$104M
| Quarter | EPS (Actual / Est) | EPS Surprise | Revenue (Actual / Est) | Rev Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $0.47/$0.29 | +62.1% | $69M/$65M | +7.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.87/$0.71 | +22.5% | $84M/$78M | +7.0% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.53/$1.20 | +27.5% | $113M/$102M | +11.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.44/$1.16 | +24.1% | $114M/$104M | +9.7% |
FY1–FY2 Estimates
Revenue Outlook
FY1
$479M
+26.0% YoY
FY2
$603M
+26.0% YoY
EPS Outlook
FY1
$0.01
+101.2% YoY
FY2
$-0.10
-1045.0% YoY
Trailing FCF (TTM)$54M
FCF Margin: 14.3%
Next Earnings
August 5, 2026
Expected EPS
$1.93
Expected Revenue
$146M
SITM beat EPS estimates in 4 of 4 tracked quarters. A perfect track record raises the bar for the upcoming report.
SITM Revenue Breakdown by Segment
Product and geographic revenue mix from the latest annual disclosure, with year-over-year growth by segment.
Latest disclosure
FY 2025
Total disclosed revenue $327M
Product Mix
Latest annual revenue by segment or product family
Reportable Segment
100.0%
+61.2% YoY
Tap, hover, or focus a slice to inspect segment detail.
Geographic Mix
Latest annual revenue by reported region
Segment breakdown not available for this company.
Reportable Segment is the largest disclosed segment at 100.0% of FY 2025 revenue, up 61.2% YoY.
SITM Valuation Snapshot
Current multiples compared to the S&P 500, the company's sector, and its own five-year average.
Relative Value Signal
Expensive versus peers
Fair value est. $339 — implies -53.5% from today's price.
Premium to Fair Value
53.5%
above fair value
Deep DiscountFair ValueVery Expensive
vs S&P 500 Trailing P/E
SITM
-423.9x
vs
S&P 500
24.4x
1834% discount
vs Technology Trailing P/E
SITM
-423.9x
vs
Technology
29.0x
1561% discount
vs SITM 5Y Avg P/E
Today
-423.9x
vs
5Y Average
144.9x
392% discount
Forward PE
92.9x
S&P 500
18.8x
+394%
Technology
22.3x
+317%
5Y Avg
—
—
Trailing PE
-423.9x
S&P 500
24.4x
-1834%
Technology
29.0x
-1561%
5Y Avg
144.9x
-392%
PEG Ratio
—
S&P 500
1.66x
—
Technology
1.51x
—
5Y Avg
—
—
EV/EBITDA
—
S&P 500
15.2x
—
Technology
16.6x
—
5Y Avg
81.4x
—
Price/FCF
547.9x
S&P 500
20.7x
+2547%
Technology
19.2x
+2752%
5Y Avg
—
—
Price/Sales
58.9x
S&P 500
3.1x
+1805%
Technology
2.4x
+2316%
5Y Avg
21.3x
+176%
Dividend Yield
—
S&P 500
1.91%
—
Technology
1.11%
—
5Y Avg
—
—
| Metric | SITM | S&P 500 | Technology | 5Y Avg SITM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward PE | 92.9x | 18.8x+394% | 22.3x+317% | — |
| Trailing PE | -423.9x | 24.4x-1834% | 29.0x-1561% | 144.9x-392% |
| PEG Ratio | — | 1.66x | 1.51x | — |
| EV/EBITDA | — | 15.2x | 16.6x | 81.4x |
| Price/FCF | 547.9x | 20.7x+2547% | 19.2x+2752% | — |
| Price/Sales | 58.9x | 3.1x+1805% | 2.4x+2316% | 21.3x+176% |
| Dividend Yield | — | 1.91% | 1.11% | — |
SITM trades above S&P 500 benchmarks on 3 of 4 measured multiples — commands a broad premium across most valuation dimensions.
Forward P/E and PEG reflect analyst consensus estimates. Historical averages use trailing ratios where forward data is unavailable.S&P 500 and sector benchmarks both use trailing median P/E — similar readings indicate the broader index and sector are priced alike.
Open valuation toolSITM Financial Health
Verdict
Stressed
SITM generates $54M in free cash flow at a 14.3% margin.
Cash Engine
Revenue, margins, and cash generation
Revenue (TTM)
Trailing-twelve-month sales base
$380M
Revenue Growth
TTM vs prior year
+65.2%
Gross Margin
Gross profit as a share of revenue
55.7%
Operating Margin
Operating income divided by revenue
-12.7%
Net Margin
Net income divided by revenue
-6.4%
EPS (TTM)
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months
$-0.92
Free Cash Flow (TTM)
Cash generation after capex
$54M
FCF Margin
FCF as share of revenue — the primary cash quality signal
14.3%
Capital Quality
ROIC, leverage, and debt serviceability
ROIC
Return on invested capital — primary competitive quality signal
-4.9%
ROA
Return on assets, trailing twelve months
-1.9%
Cash & Equivalents
Liquid assets on the balance sheet
$17M
Net Cash
Cash exceeds total debt — no net leverage
$12M
Debt Serviceability
Net debt as a multiple of annual free cash flow
Net cash ✓
ROE *
Return on equity, trailing twelve months
-2.1%
* Elevated by buyback-compressed equity — compare ROIC (-4.9%) for an undistorted picture of capital efficiency.
Shareholder Returns
How capital is returned to owners
Total shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend
—
Buyback
0.0%
Share Repurchases
Trailing buyback outflow — dollar magnitude of capital returned
$0
Dividend / Share
Annualized trailing dividend per share
—
Payout Ratio
Share of earnings distributed as dividends
—
Shares Outstanding
Current diluted share count
26M
All figures from the trailing twelve months. ROIC uses invested capital (equity + net debt). ROE marked * where buyback-compressed equity base may inflate the figure.
Open full ratios pageSITM Stock Risk Factors
Key factors that could pressure the stock price, compress the multiple, or weigh on future results.
AI analysis · updated June 18, 2026
High Risk
Market Correction
Losses during '23 and '24 reflect market correction combined with heavy investments in personnel and acquisition-related amortization.
Medium
Valuation Risk
With the stock currently trading at $684.86, the consensus price target of $664.17 represents a potential downside of -3.0%.
Medium
Financial Performance
SiTime was profitable in 2021-22 during supply shortage but faces net losses in '23 and '24, with a recovery trend only by '25.
Lower
Investment Risk
The stock presents a balanced risk/reward profile for the coming year, with a 67% Buy Score based on fundamental data.
These are risk mechanisms, not predictions. The key question is which would force a cut to earnings estimates or a lower multiple than the market currently prices in.
Why SITM Stock Could Outperform
Structural drivers behind the upside case and why the stock could outperform over the next 12 months.
AI analysis · updated June 18, 2026
AI infrastructure growth
SiTime's growing role in AI infrastructure is driving strong upside potential, as highlighted by recent stock performance and analysis.
Expanding profit margins
The company's expanding margins continue to support its bullish investment case, contributing to its momentum.
Premium valuation justification
SiTime must maintain rapid growth to justify its premium valuation, as investors are already paying a high multiple.
Momentum stock performance
SiTime's stock has shown significant momentum, surging from the mid-$400s to above $800, reflecting strong investor confidence.
Semiconductor industry positioning
As a player in the semiconductor sector, SiTime benefits from its strategic positioning in a high-growth technology segment.
A real bull case compounds — each driver matters most when it strengthens margins, supports capital returns, and keeps the company above the market's minimum growth bar simultaneously.
SITM Stock Price Performance
52-week range context and price returns across multiple time horizons. Dividend contribution is shown separately in the Capital Return section.
Current Price
$729.04
52W Range Position
76%
52-Week Range
Current price plotted between the 52-week low and high.
52-Week Low
$186.49
+290.9% from the low
52-Week High
$901.93
-19.2% from the high
1 Month
+0.48%
3 Month
+112.07%
YTD
+97.1%
1 Year
+219.5%
3Y CAGR
+83.1%
5Y CAGR
+43.6%
10Y CAGR
+49.6%
Range context matters because valuation compression and earnings misses rarely hit from the same starting point. A stock already far below its high can still fall, but it is no longer carrying the same embedded optimism as one pressing a fresh peak.
SITM vs Peers
Valuation, growth, and margin comparison against the closest publicly traded peers for this company.
Peer Set
Accurate peer set
Forward PE
92.9x
vs 65.3x median
+42% above peer median
Revenue Growth
+26.0%
vs +7.7% median
+239% above peer median
Net Margin
-6.4%
vs 5.5% median
-216% below peer median
| Company | Mkt Cap | Fwd PE | Rev Grw | Margin | Rating | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SIT SITM SiTime Corporation | $19.2B | 92.9x | +26.0% | -6.4% | Buy | -8.9% |
FOR FORM FormFactor, Inc. | $11.7B | 61.0x | +7.1% | 8.1% | Buy | -10.4% |
MTS MTSI MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. | $29.9B | 77.9x | +18.8% | 16.5% | Buy | -7.8% |
POW POWI Power Integrations, Inc. | $4.9B | 65.3x | +2.9% | 3.7% | Buy | +3.3% |
SMT SMTC Semtech Corporation | $14.7B | 93.3x | +8.2% | -3.2% | Buy | +28.5% |
DIO DIOD Diodes Incorporated | $5.5B | 45.5x | +7.7% | 5.5% | Buy | +0.5% |
This peer comparison reflects companies with similar business models, product lines, or market positioning, supplemented by industry grouping when direct matches are limited.
FAQ
7 questionsSITM Investor Questions
Common questions answered from live analyst data and company financials.
01Is SiTime Corporation (SITM) stock a buy or sell in 2026?
SiTime Corporation (SITM) is rated Buy by Wall Street analysts as of 2026. Of 9 analysts covering the stock, 9 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 0 rate it Hold, and 0 rate it Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus 12-month price target is $664, implying -8.9% from the current price of $729.
02What is the SITM stock price target for 2026?
The Wall Street consensus price target for SITM is $664 based on 9 analyst estimates. The high-end target is $900 (+23.5% from today), and the low-end target is $450 (-38.3%).
03Is SiTime Corporation (SITM) stock overvalued in 2026?
SITM trades at 92.9x times forward earnings. The stock currently trades at a discount to the broader market. Based on current multiples versus the peer group, the relative model signals expensive versus peers. Whether the stock is over or undervalued ultimately depends on whether consensus earnings estimates are achievable.
04What are the main risks for SiTime Corporation (SITM) stock in 2026?
The primary risks for SITM in 2026 are: (1) Market Correction — Losses during '23 and '24 reflect market correction combined with heavy investments in personnel and acquisition-related amortization. (2) Valuation Risk — With the stock currently trading at $684. (3) Financial Performance — SiTime was profitable in 2021-22 during supply shortage but faces net losses in '23 and '24, with a recovery trend only by '25. Each factor has the potential to pressure earnings or compress the stock's valuation multiple.
05What is SiTime Corporation's revenue and earnings forecast?
Analyst consensus estimates SITM will report consensus revenue of $479M (+26.0% year-over-year) and EPS of $0.01 (+101.2% year-over-year) for the upcoming fiscal year. The following year, analysts project $603M in revenue.
06When does SiTime Corporation (SITM) report its next earnings?
SiTime Corporation is expected to report its next earnings on approximately 2026-08-05. Consensus expects EPS of $1.93 and revenue of $146M. Over recent quarters, SITM has beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time.
07How much free cash flow does SiTime Corporation generate?
SiTime Corporation (SITM) generated $54M in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months — a free cash flow margin of 14.3%. SITM returns capital to shareholders through and share repurchases ($0 TTM).