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SMCISuper Micro Computer, Inc.
$41.54$26.9B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
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Analyst TargetsPrice History
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SMCI logo

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI
NASDAQ · Computer Hardware
$41.54
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$26.87B
P/E12.7x
52W High$58.78
Volume29.94M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q4

AI Revenue Surge Masks Working Capital Strain

Super Micro Computer is experiencing explosive growth driven by AI infrastructure demand, with revenue accelerating 93.2% year-over-year to $11.1B in 2026Q4 and gross margin expanding to 17.5%. However, this growth is capital-intensive, as evidenced by cumulat...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStable
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsStrong
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

SMCI price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

6/12 Beats

EPS beat 6 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-74% Peers

P/E is 74% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 91 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 91% of market)

04

Strong Uptrend

Strong Trend

Price > 20DMA > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Nov 11
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue surged 93.2% year-over-year to $11.1B in 2026Q4, with gross margin expanding to 17.5% from 6.3% in the prior quarter, though operating margin of 13.4% remains thin relative to growth.

Analyst Consensus-0.2% target
Hold(25 analysts)
9 Buy14 Hold2 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

AI infrastructure leadership

SMCI is recognized for its leadership in AI infrastructure, with rapid growth driven by innovations in liquid cooling and modular server design.

DLC architecture adoption

The shift toward Direct Liquid Cooling (DLC) as the default for high-density AI racks is a key catalyst, with SMCI aggressively marketing these solutions.

Attractive valuation metrics

SMCI's trailing and forward P/E ratios of 24.57 and 16.50 respectively indicate a potentially undervalued stock relative to its growth prospects.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
SMCI+34.17%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
SMCI-11.37%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
SMCI+76.17%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+77.87%
5-Year Return
SMCI+1001.86%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+71.91%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
12.7x
Forward P/E
14.8x
EV/EBITDA40th %ile
9.9x
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
12.7x
12.4x
60th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
9.9x
18.7x
40th· Fair
Price/FCF
N/A
24.0x
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$20.54-50.6%
Base (Fair)$34.88-10.8%
Bull$43.92+5.7%
$20.54 Bear$34.88 Base$43.92 Bull
Current Market Price: $41.54
Trades at a 19.1% premium to Base DCF ($34.88)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$39.06B+77.8% YoY
Net income
$2.23B+112.7% YoY
Free cash flow
-$6.97B-555.0% YoY
Operating margin
7.1%+1.4 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)19.2%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)21.5%
Piotroski Score3 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
Revenue Beat Rate4/12 (33%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 11, 2026
$1.70+84.2%
vs $0.92
$11.1B-4.1%
vs $11.6B
Q2 2026
May 5, 2026
$0.84+36.1%
vs $0.62
$10.2B-17.3%
vs $12.4B
Q1 2026
Feb 3, 2026
$0.69+40.8%
vs $0.49
$12.7B+21.7%
vs $10.4B
Q4 2025
Nov 4, 2025
$0.35-6.6%
vs $0.37
$5.0B-14.0%
vs $5.8B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·2d ago
Can SMCI's Record Backlog Sustain Revenue Momentum in FY27?

Super Micro Computer's record backlog and expanding manufacturing capacity can support continued AI-driven revenue growth into fiscal 2027.

24/7 Wall Street·2d ago
Super Micro Computer Looks Very Intriguing Right Now

Super Micro just posted a quarter that sent analyst price targets soaring and earnings estimates jumping by 30% in a single month, yet the stock still trades below those targets and insiders are quietly selling.

24/7 Wall Street·2d ago
Super Micro Rises 6% as AI Server Bid Concentrates in One Name; Dell and Hewlett Packard Enterprise Tick Up

Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ:SMCI | SMCI Price Prediction) is leading the AI server names higher Monday morning, and the size of that lead is the story.

Zacks Investment Research·2d ago
Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It

Super Micro (SMCI) has received quite a bit of attention from Zacks.com users lately. Therefore, it is wise to be aware of the facts that can impact the stock's prospects.

Filtered for Super Micro Computer, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark SMCI against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
SMCI logoSMCISuper Micro Computer, Inc.Current
$41.54$26.87B12.7477.79%5.71%21.47%—
HPE logoHPEHewlett Packard Enterprise Company
$61.04$80.83B-1368.6114.06%6.57%10.85%—
DELL logoDELLDell Technologies Inc.
$549.02$364.69B63.2518.8%7.53%——
NTAP logoNTAPNetApp, Inc.
$192.91$38.21B30.335.37%19.19%113.67%—
PSTG logoPSTGEverpure, Inc
$86.22$28.49B183.45—5.89%17.22%—
WDFC logoWDFCWD-40 Company
$194.23$2.61B29.034.98%13.22%33.05%—

Compare SMCI vs Peers

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs HPE

Most directly comparable listed peer for SMCI.

Scale Benchmark

vs NVDA

Larger-name benchmark to compare SMCI against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs HPE, DELL, NTAP, PSTG

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

SMCI SEC Filings & Documents

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 11, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 21, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2025

Aug 28, 2025·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 25, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

May 11, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Feb 6, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 7, 2025·SEC

Get notified when SMCI posts new earnings or crosses analyst targets

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SMCI Frequently Asked Questions

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Super Micro Computer, Inc.'s revenue?

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) reported $39.06B in revenue for fiscal year 2026. This represents a 18347% increase from $211.8M in 2005.

How fast is Super Micro Computer, Inc. growing?

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) grew revenue by 77.8% over the past year. This is strong growth.

Is SMCI profitable?

Yes, Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) is profitable, generating $2.23B in net income for fiscal year 2026 (5.7% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
What is SMCI's return on equity?

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) has a return on equity (ROE) of 21.5%. This is excellent, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

What is Super Micro Computer, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) had negative free cash flow of $6.97B in fiscal year 2026, likely due to heavy capital investments.

What if you invested $1,000 in SMCI back in 2005?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 21+ years of data

See returns →