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SMCISuper Micro Computer, Inc.
$28.76$18.6B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
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Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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SMCI logo

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI
NASDAQ · Computers & Storage
$28.76
At close - USD
Market Cap$18.6B
P/E8.8x
52W High$51.40
Volume36.82M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2027Q1

Lumpy AI Hardware Growth Masks Thin Margin and Cash Risks

Super Micro's revenue has surged from $4.6B in Q3 FY2025 to $19.9B in Q1 FY2027, yet this growth appears driven by lumpy large-rack AI deliveries rather than a smooth compounding trend, and gross margin of 12.7% suggests limited pricing power versus proprietary-technology peers.

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityWeak
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

SMCI price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

7/12 Beats

EPS beat 7 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-77% Peers

P/E is 77% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 45 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 55% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Feb 3
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue climbed sharply to $19.9B in Q1 FY2027 while operating margin of 10.4% and net margin of 8.0% suggest operating leverage is emerging, though quarterly margins have remained volatile between 3.2% and 13.4%.

Analyst Consensus+53.8% target
Hold(28 analysts)
10 Buy15 Hold3 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

AI infrastructure leadership

SMCI is recognized for its leadership in AI infrastructure, with rapid growth driven by innovations in liquid cooling and modular server design.

DLC architecture adoption

The shift toward Direct Liquid Cooling (DLC) as the default for high-density AI racks is a key catalyst, with SMCI aggressively marketing these solutions.

Attractive valuation metrics

SMCI's trailing and forward P/E ratios of 24.57 and 16.50 respectively indicate a potentially undervalued stock relative to its growth prospects.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
SMCI-7.11%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
SMCI-28.71%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
SMCI+13.86%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+77.74%
5-Year Return
SMCI+539.11%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+69.63%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
5.9x
Forward P/E
10.3x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
4.2x
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
5.9x
21.9x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
4.2x
18.7x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
N/A
24.0x
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$32.07+11.5%
Base (Fair)$58.09+102.0%
Bull$86.71+201.5%
$32.07 Bear$58.09 Base$86.71 Bull
Current Market Price: $28.76
Trades at a 50.5% discount to Base DCF ($58.09)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY26
$39.06B+77.8% YoY
Net income FY26
$2.23B+112.7% YoY
Free cash flow FY26
-$6.97B-555.0% YoY
Operating margin FY26
7.1%+1.4 pts YoY
ROIC (FY26)19.2%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (FY26)21.5%
Piotroski Score3 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
Revenue Beat Rate4/12 (33%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Nov 3, 2026
$1.81+41.4%
vs $1.28
$19.9B+22.5%
vs $16.3B
Q3 2026
Aug 11, 2026
$1.70+84.2%
vs $0.92
$11.1B-4.1%
vs $11.6B
Q2 2026
May 5, 2026
$0.84+36.1%
vs $0.62
$10.2B-17.3%
vs $12.4B
Q1 2026
Feb 3, 2026
$0.69+40.8%
vs $0.49
$12.7B+21.7%
vs $10.4B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
24/7 Wall Street·1d ago
Super Micro Computer and Dell Climb 6%, Hewlett Packard Enterprise Gains 2% as AI Server Stocks Rebound From Election Sell-Off

AI server stocks are clawing back part of Thursday's post-midterm sell-off, and the bounce is uneven across the group. Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ:SMCI | SMCI Price Prediction) stock is at $28.73, up 6% in early trading.

Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
Can SMCI's Collaboration With NVDA Help it Challenge DELL & HPE?

Super Micro Computer's NVIDIA partnership strengthens its AI server offerings with advanced GPUs, liquid cooling and rack-scale systems.

The Motley Fool·1d ago
Despite Strong Revenue Growth and a Cheap Valuation, Supermicro Stock Is Still Not a Buy

Supermicro is seeing huge revenue growth. Its checkered history and deep ties to the neocloud market make it a riskier investment.

Seeking Alpha·2d ago
Super Micro: Major Plot Twist

Super Micro Computer, Inc. retains a Strong Buy rating due to robust AI infrastructure demand and outsized revenue increases. SMCI delivered Q1 '27 revenues of $19.95B, beating consensus by $3.7B, and achieved a gross margin of 12.8%, well above guidance. The company's valuation remains compelling at 5.1x P/E, significantly below peers Dell and Hewlett-Packard Enterprise, despite industry-leading growth.

Filtered for Super Micro Computer, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark SMCI against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
SMCI logoSMCISuper Micro Computer, Inc.Current
$28.76$18.6B8.8277.79%5.71%21.47%—
HPE logoHPEHewlett Packard Enterprise Company
$44.76$59.26B-1003.4814.06%6.57%10.85%1.34%
DELL logoDELLDell Technologies Inc.
$328.53$218.23B37.8518.8%7.53%—0.65%
NTAP logoNTAPNetApp, Inc.
$169.15$33.5B26.605.37%19.19%113.67%1.23%
PSTG logoPSTGEverpure, Inc
$74.61$24.66B158.74—5.89%17.22%—
WDFC logoWDFCWD-40 Company
$221.58$2.97B33.124.98%11.97%30.37%1.67%

Compare SMCI vs Peers

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs HPE

Most directly comparable listed peer for SMCI.

Scale Benchmark

vs NVDA

Larger-name benchmark to compare SMCI against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs HPE, DELL, NTAP, PSTG

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

SMCI SEC Filings & Documents

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Nov 3, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Oct 20, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Oct 15, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2025

Aug 28, 2025·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 25, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

May 11, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Feb 6, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 7, 2025·SEC

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SMCI Frequently Asked Questions

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Super Micro Computer, Inc.'s revenue?

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) reported $53.99B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $39.06B in fiscal year 2026. That is 18347% more than the $211.8M of fiscal year 2005.

How fast is Super Micro Computer, Inc. growing?

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) grew revenue by 77.8% in fiscal year 2026, compared with the prior fiscal year.

Is SMCI profitable?

Yes. Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) earned $3.66B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 6.8% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
What is SMCI's return on equity?

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) had a return on equity (ROE) of 21.5% in fiscal year 2026. That is well above the market's typical 10-15%.

What is Super Micro Computer, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) had negative free cash flow of $6.50B over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in SMCI back in 2005?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 21+ years of data

See returns →