STLD trades 15.9% below Wall Street's consensus target of $271.17.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes STLD achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 13.4x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 27 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 24, 2026, Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $271.17, based on estimates from 27 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $233.99, this represents a potential upside of +15.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $33.74B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $257.00 to a high of $300.00, representing a 16% spread in expectations. The median target of $267.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 14 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,12 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, STLD trades at a trailing P/E of 29.3x and forward P/E of 13.4x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.53 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +56.8% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $300.97, with bear and bull scenarios of $189.61 and $396.55 respectively. Model confidence stands at 48/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NUENucor Corporation | $55.9B | $245.66 | $265.38 | +8.0% | Buy | 12.8x | 32 |
 RSReliance Steel & Aluminum Co. | $19.8B | $386.95 | $382.50 | -1.1% | Hold | 16.5x | 27 |
 CMCCommercial Metals Company | $7.2B | $65.00 | $82.00 | +26.2% | Hold | 10.2x | 27 |
 CLFCleveland-Cliffs Inc. | $7.1B | $12.53 | $11.66 | -6.9% | Hold | — | 44 |
 WORWorthington Industries, Inc. | $2.9B | $58.94 | $66.00 | +12.0% | Buy | 16.0x | 15 |
 ZEUSOlympic Steel, Inc. | $533M | $47.86 | $41.00 | -14.3% | Buy | 20.7x | 6 |
 MTUSMetallus Inc. | $793M | $19.06 | — | — | Hold | 22.2x | 5 |
 SXCSunCoke Energy, Inc. | $834M | $9.83 | $9.00 | -8.4% | Buy | 28.5x | 17 |
 CATCaterpillar Inc. | $372.2B | $808.01 | $985.58 | +22.0% | Buy | 29.7x | 56 |
 DEDeere & Company | $189.8B | $703.12 | $731.20 | +4.0% | Buy | 38.8x | 46 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying STLD stock.
Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) has a consensus 12-month price target of $271.17, implying 15.9% upside from $233.99. The 27 analysts covering STLD see moderate appreciation potential.
STLD has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 27 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 14 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $271.17 implies 15.9% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 13.408x, STLD trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $271.17 implies 15.9% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $300 for STLD, while the most conservative target is $257. The consensus of $271.17 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $397 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
STLD is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 27 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 14 have Buy ratings, 12 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month STLD stock forecast based on 27 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $271.17, with estimates ranging from $257 (bear case) to $300 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $301, with bear/bull scenarios of $190/$397.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates STLD's fair value at $301 (base case), with a bear case of $190 and bull case of $397. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 48/100.
STLD trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 29.3x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on STLD, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $271.17 price target (15.9% upside). 14 of 27 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
STLD analyst price targets range from $257 to $300, a 16% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $271.17 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $190-$397 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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