Bull case
SYK would need investors to value it at roughly 30x earnings — about 11x more generous than today's 19x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
Wall Street verdict, consensus price target, and analyst rating breakdown — everything needed to frame the risk/reward at today's price.
Three scenarios for where SYK stock could go
SYK would need investors to value it at roughly 30x earnings — about 11x more generous than today's 19x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
At 31x on FY1 earnings, the base case reflects a reasonable but not stretched valuation. It prices in continued growth without assuming an exceptional setup.
The bear case assumes sentiment or fundamentals disappoint enough to push SYK down roughly 1% from the current price.
Not financial advice. Model confidence reflects internal scenario assumptions, not a guarantee of returns. Past performance does not predict future results.

Stryker is a medical technology company that develops and sells surgical equipment, orthopedic implants, and neurotechnology devices. It generates revenue primarily through two segments: MedSurg and Neurotechnology (roughly 55% of sales) and Orthopaedics and Spine (roughly 45%), selling everything from joint replacement implants to surgical navigation systems. The company's competitive advantage lies in its broad product portfolio across multiple surgical specialties and its strong relationships with hospitals—creating switching costs through integrated systems and surgeon training.
Quarterly beat-or-miss track record against analyst estimates, plus forward revenue and EPS outlook for the next two fiscal years.
| Quarter | EPS (Actual / Est) | EPS Surprise | Revenue (Actual / Est) | Rev Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $3.13/$3.07 | +2.0% | $6.0B/$5.9B | +1.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.19/$3.13 | +1.9% | $6.1B/$6.0B | +0.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.47/$4.40 | +1.6% | $7.2B/$7.1B | +0.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.60/$2.98 | -12.8% | $6.0B/$6.3B | -5.0% |
SYK beat EPS estimates in 3 of 4 tracked quarters. A strong delivery record supports forward estimate credibility.
Product and geographic revenue mix from the latest annual disclosure, with year-over-year growth by segment.
Latest annual revenue by segment or product family
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Latest annual revenue by reported region
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Current multiples compared to the S&P 500, the company's sector, and its own five-year average.
Fair value est. $278 — implies -5.6% from today's price.
| Metric | SYK | S&P 500 | Healthcare | 5Y Avg SYK |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward PE | 19.5x | 19.1x | 19.0x | — |
| Trailing PE | 34.8x | 25.2x+38% | 22.1x+57% | 43.1x-19% |
| PEG Ratio | 2.34x | 1.75x+34% | 1.52x+54% | — |
| EV/EBITDA | 20.2x | 15.3x+32% | 14.1x+43% | 23.5x-14% |
| Price/FCF | 26.1x | 21.3x+23% | 18.7x+40% | 38.2x-32% |
| Price/Sales | 4.5x | 3.1x+42% | 2.8x+57% | 5.6x-21% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.15% | 1.88% | 1.40% | 0.98% |
Forward P/E and PEG reflect analyst consensus estimates. Historical averages use trailing ratios where forward data is unavailable.S&P 500 and sector benchmarks both use trailing median P/E — similar readings indicate the broader index and sector are priced alike.
Open valuation toolSYK generates $4.3B in free cash flow at a 17.1% margin — 11.4% ROIC signals a durable competitive advantage · returns 1.1% of market cap to shareholders annually.
Revenue, margins, and cash generation
ROIC, leverage, and debt serviceability
~2.5 years to full repayment at current FCF run-rate
How capital is returned to owners
All figures from the trailing twelve months. ROIC uses invested capital (equity + net debt).
Open full ratios pageKey factors that could pressure the stock price, compress the multiple, or weigh on future results.
AI analysis · updated April 11, 2026
Stryker’s legal and regulatory exposure accounts for 31% of its identified risks. As of March 31 2025, the company had accrued $169 million for product‑liability claims related to hip products sold by Wright Medical Group N.V. prior to divestiture, and has voluntarily recalled products such as the Rejuvenate and ABG II Modular‑Neck hip stems. Ongoing litigation, tax liabilities, and government incentives could materially impact earnings.
Stryker carries a high level of debt, increasing interest expense and limiting financial flexibility. Elevated leverage constrains capital allocation and exposes the company to refinancing risk if market conditions deteriorate.
A March 2026 cyberattack halted Stryker’s ability to process orders, manufacture products, and ship them globally. While operations have resumed and the company does not expect a material impact on its 2026 full‑year guidance, the incident highlighted potential revenue, operating‑income, and cash‑flow effects, and could damage reputation if repeated.
Rising manufacturing costs and weakening exchange rates could squeeze margins if price increases cannot be passed to customers. Inflation may also delay or reduce orders, and ongoing tariff and trade‑policy changes add uncertainty to Stryker’s operations.
Overpaying for acquisitions has stalled growth targets and delayed cost integrations, leading to margin and cash‑flow squeezes. Poor rationalization of operations further strains profitability.
Stryker relies on indirect distribution channels; insolvency or regulatory changes affecting major distributors could limit product availability and expose the company to competitive product substitution.
These are risk mechanisms, not predictions. The key question is which would force a cut to earnings estimates or a lower multiple than the market currently prices in.
Structural drivers behind the upside case and why the stock could outperform over the next 12 months.
AI analysis · updated April 11, 2026
Stryker posted an 11% year‑over‑year revenue increase in 2023, reaching $20.50 billion. The company is on track for high single‑digit sales growth in 2024, and its 12‑month revenue through December 31 2025 rose 11.16% YoY to $25.116 billion.
The Mako platform has an installed base of more than 3,000 systems worldwide, and two‑thirds of U.S. knee procedures are now performed robotically. This strong adoption drives significant volume and margin expansion.
Stryker’s commitment to R&D is reflected in substantial expenditure and a broad patent portfolio, securing its competitive edge across Orthopaedics & Spine and MedSurg & Neurotechnology segments.
The acquisition of Vocera, a digital health pioneer, expands Stryker’s capabilities in high‑potential digital health, positioning the company for long‑term growth.
Stryker has consistently improved its operating margin, exceeding consensus expectations, and maintains strong profitability through efficient cost management and pricing power.
A real bull case compounds — each driver matters most when it strengthens margins, supports capital returns, and keeps the company above the market's minimum growth bar simultaneously.
52-week range context and price returns across multiple time horizons. Dividend contribution is shown separately in the Capital Return section.
Range context matters because valuation compression and earnings misses rarely hit from the same starting point. A stock already far below its high can still fall, but it is no longer carrying the same embedded optimism as one pressing a fresh peak.
Valuation, growth, and margin comparison against the closest publicly traded peers for this company.
| Company | Mkt Cap | Fwd PE | Rev Grw | Margin | Rating | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SYK SYK Stryker Corporation | $112.0B | 19.5x | +9.9% | 12.9% | Buy | +38.1% |
ZBH ZBH Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc. | $16.2B | 9.8x | +3.8% | 9.1% | Hold | +18.2% |
BSX BSX Boston Scientific Corporation | $83.2B | 16.6x | +12.8% | 14.4% | Buy | +63.1% |
EW EW Edwards Lifesciences Corporation | $48.0B | 27.7x | +9.9% | 17.6% | Buy | +16.0% |
BDX BDX Becton, Dickinson and Company | $52.4B | 11.6x | +2.3% | 8.0% | Buy | +19.4% |
MDT MDT Medtronic plc | $99.5B | 14.1x | +2.5% | 13.0% | Buy | +41.1% |
This peer comparison reflects companies with similar business models, product lines, or market positioning, supplemented by industry grouping when direct matches are limited.
SYK returns 1.1% total yield, led by a 1.14% dividend, raised 34 consecutive years.
Yield, cadence, and growth quality
How much per-share support comes from repurchases
| Year | Div / Share | YoY Grw | BB Yield | Total Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0.88 | — | — | — |
| 2025 | $3.40 | +4.9% | 0.0% | 1.0% |
| 2024 | $3.24 | +6.2% | 0.1% | 1.0% |
| 2023 | $3.05 | +7.6% | 0.1% | 1.1% |
| 2022 | $2.83 | +9.7% | 0.1% | 1.3% |
Common questions answered from live analyst data and company financials.
Stryker Corporation (SYK) is rated Buy by Wall Street analysts as of 2026. Of 50 analysts covering the stock, 36 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 14 rate it Hold, and 0 rate it Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus 12-month price target is $404, implying +38.1% from the current price of $292. The bear case scenario is $294 and the bull case is $454.
The Wall Street consensus price target for SYK is $404 based on 50 analyst estimates. The high-end target is $469 (+60.4% from today), and the low-end target is $315 (+7.8%). The base case model target is $466.
SYK trades at 19.5x times forward earnings. The stock trades at a notable premium to the broad market, which is typical for businesses with strong free cash flow and above-average growth expectations. Based on current multiples versus the peer group, the relative model signals slightly overvalued. Whether the stock is over or undervalued ultimately depends on whether consensus earnings estimates are achievable.
The primary risks for SYK in 2026 are: (1) Legal & Regulatory Risk — Stryker’s legal and regulatory exposure accounts for 31% of its identified risks. (2) High Debt Burden — Stryker carries a high level of debt, increasing interest expense and limiting financial flexibility. (3) Cyberattack & Supply Disruption — A March 2026 cyberattack halted Stryker’s ability to process orders, manufacture products, and ship them globally. Each factor has the potential to pressure earnings or compress the stock's valuation multiple.
Analyst consensus estimates SYK will report consensus revenue of $27.6B (+9.9% year-over-year) and EPS of $12.48 (+48.6% year-over-year) for the upcoming fiscal year. The following year, analysts project $30.5B in revenue.
A confirmed upcoming earnings date for SYK is not yet available. Check the Earnings section above for the most recent quarterly report dates and forward estimates.
Stryker Corporation (SYK) generated $4.3B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months — a free cash flow margin of 17.1%. SYK returns capital to shareholders through dividends (1.1% yield) and share repurchases ($0 TTM).