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ACGLArch Capital Group Ltd.
$90.94
Analysis updated: Jan 16, 2026

Investment Thesis

ACGL is a market laggard (RS 48/99, Top 52%) with strong fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

Weak relative strength + ordinary growth = Pass

Key Takeaways

Earnings Momentum

-60%
Q4'24
$2.42
-49%
Q1'25
$1.48
-2%
Q2'25
$3.23
+39%
Q3'25
$3.56
Earnings Declining

Price Structure

Partial Alignment
Price
$90.94
50 DMA
$93.15
100 DMA
$91.40
150 DMA
$90.78
200 DMA
$91.25
Alignment Score: 2/4

ACGL Price Chart

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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA
LEADERSHIP TEST FAILED

RS Rating 48/99 is in Bottom 48% of market. Minervini target: Top 20% (RS 80+)

Why Not BUY Yet?

RS Rating
48 (Top 52%)>80 (Top 20%)
Pattern
No base formingVCP or constructive base
Trend
Weak DowntrendAbove 200 DMA
Breakout Status
-5.0% from entry ($95.72)Breakout confirmation (hold above entry)

What Would Change Our Mind?

To turn bullish on ACGL, we need:

Twin Engines Dashboard

Technical Health

RS Rating
48/99
Top 52% (Need 80+)
Trend
Weak Downtrend
Below 200 DMA
RSI (14)
39
WEAK
VCP Setup
COOL
Score: 4/9
Volume
2.5M
+21% vs avg
From Entry
-5.0%
$95.72

Fundamental Horsepower

EPS Qtr YoY
+39%
Accelerating
EPS 3Y CAGR
+29%
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
+11%
MODERATE
F-Score
5/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
22%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
29/99
Percentile

Trade Plan

Struggling

Broke out 1 month ago at $95.72 — -5% below entry.

Breakout underperforming. Wait for price to reclaim entry or form a new base.

Breakout Date2025-12-1532 days ago
Entry Was$95.72Breakout price
Loss Since-5%From entry
Wait For$95.72Reclaim entry or new base

If/Then Playbook

IF: RS Rating improves to >80
THEN: Re-evaluate for WATCHLIST
IF: Price closes below 200 DMA
THEN: Remove from radar entirely
IF: EPS growth accelerates to >40% next quarter
THEN: Reassess as potential turnaround

Key Price Levels

Resistance

  • 200 DMA$91.25+0.3%
  • 50 DMA$93.15+2.4%
  • 20 DMA$94.95+4.4%
Current$90.94

Support

  • 52W Low$82.45-9.3%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is ACGL stock a buy now?

ACGL is a market laggard (RS 48/99, Top 52%) with strong fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

What is the buy point for ACGL?

ACGL broke out at $95.72 1 month(s) ago but is now -5% below entry. Wait for new base pattern.

What is ACGL's RS Rating?

ACGL has an RS Rating of 48/99, meaning it's in the Top 52% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.

Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.