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ACGLArch Capital Group Ltd.
$107.28$37.5B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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ACGL logo

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL
NASDAQ · Reinsurers
$107.28
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$37.48B
P/E8.4x
52W High$113.63
Volume2.35M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Reserve Anomalies Mask Underwriting Slowdown At Arch

Arch Capital's combined ratio deteriorated sharply to 99.3% in 2026Q3 from 72.7% the prior quarter, while revenue contracted 6.5% year-over-year after three consecutive negative-growth quarters, suggesting the premium expansion phase has cooled materially.

GrowthContracting
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsStrong
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

ACGL price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

12/12 Beats

EPS beat 12 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-34% Peers

P/E is 34% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 78 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 78)

04

Strong Uptrend

Strong Trend

Price > 20DMA > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 27
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Underwriting margins narrowed dramatically as the combined ratio jumped to 99.3% in 2026Q3 from 72.7% in 2026Q2, accompanying a 6.5% revenue decline and 15.7% EPS contraction that suggests minimal underwriting profit in the latest period.

Analyst Consensus+4.9% target
Hold(34 analysts)
15 Buy17 Hold2 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Robust Financial Performance

Arch Capital Group reported Q4 2025 EPS of $3.35, reflecting a 21.2% annualized net income return on average common equity. Operating income rose 16% YoY, while revenue and gross profit grew 14% and 16% respectively.

Reinsurance Segment Growth

The reinsurance unit became the largest by net written premiums, expanding from $1.9 billion in 2018 to over $11 billion in 2024, driven by favorable market conditions.

Rising Investment Income

Arch Capital has benefited from higher global yields, boosting net investment income and supporting continued growth in book value per share.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
ACGL+14.30%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
ACGL+22.24%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
ACGL+31.85%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+64.29%
5-Year Return
ACGL+163.44%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+51.83%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
8.4x
Forward P/E
10.6x
EV/EBITDA20th %ile
7.7x
FCF YieldCash Flow
15.0%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
8.4x
8.3x
60th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
7.7x
9.4x
20th· Low
Price/FCF
6.7x
5.3x
100th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$162.76+51.7%
Base (Fair)$311.94+190.8%
Bull$517.78+382.6%
$162.76 Bear$311.94 Base$517.78 Bull
Current Market Price: $107.28
Trades at a 65.6% discount to Base DCF ($311.94)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$19.93B+14.3% YoY
Net income FY25
$4.4B+2.0% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$6.13B-7.5% YoY
Operating margin FY25
25%-0.7 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)15.4%
Avg ROIC 5Y11.9%
ROE (TTM)18.3%
Piotroski Score7 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate12/12 (100%)
Revenue Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 27, 2026
$2.67+15.6%
vs $2.31
$4.7B+14.6%
vs $4.1B
Q3 2026
Jul 28, 2026
$2.56+3.6%
vs $2.47
$4.0B-7.1%
vs $4.4B
Q2 2026
Apr 28, 2026
$2.50+0.8%
vs $2.48
$4.3B-4.5%
vs $4.6B
Q1 2026
Feb 9, 2026
$2.98+15.1%
vs $2.59
$3.6B-13.0%
vs $4.2B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·2d ago
Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know

Arch Capital (ACGL) has received quite a bit of attention from Zacks.com users lately. Therefore, it is wise to be aware of the facts that can impact the stock's prospects.

Defense World·4d ago
Arch Capital Group Ltd. $ACGL Stock Holdings Lifted by International Assets Investment Management LLC

International Assets Investment Management LLC grew its holdings in shares of Arch Capital Group Ltd. (NASDAQ: ACGL) by 147.0% during the undefined quarter, according to its most recent Form 13F filing with the SEC. The institutional investor owned 27,555 shares of the insurance provider's stock after acquiring an additional 16,397 shares during the

Zacks Investment Research·Oct 30, 2026
Why Investors Need to Take Advantage of These 2 Finance Stocks Now

Why investors should use the Zacks Earnings ESP tool to help find stocks that are poised to top quarterly earnings estimates.

Seeking Alpha·Oct 28, 2026
Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Arch Capital Group Ltd. ( ACGL ) Q3 2026 Earnings Call October 28, 2026 10:00 AM EDT Company Participants Nicolas Alain Papadopoulo - CEO & Director François Morin - Executive VP, CFO & Treasurer Conference Call Participants Elyse Greenspan - Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division Pablo Singzon - JPMorgan Chase & Co, Research Division Taylor Scott - Barclays Bank PLC, Research Division Cave Montazeri - Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division Andrew Kligerman - TD Cowen, Research Division Joshua Shanker - BofA Securities, Research Division Rowland Mayor - RBC Capital Markets, Research Division David Motemaden - Evercore ISI Institutional Equities, Research Division Tracy Benguigui - Wolfe Research, LLC Brian Meredith - UBS Investment Bank, Research Division Siddhant Shah - Morgan Stanley, Research Division Michael Zaremski - BMO Capital Markets Equity Research Meyer Shields - Keefe, Bruyette, & Woods, Inc., Research Division Christopher Hartwell - Bernstein Autonomous LLP Yaron Kinar - Mizuho Securities USA LLC, Research Division Presentation Operator Good day, ladies and gentlemen and welcome to the 3Q 2026 Arch Capital Earnings Conference Call.

Filtered for Arch Capital Group Ltd.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark ACGL against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
ACGL logoACGLArch Capital Group Ltd.Current
$107.28$37.48B8.3714.27%23.19%18.35%0.02%
RNR logoRNRRenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.
$347.35$14.43B8.949.45%17.07%8.26%0.48%
GLRE logoGLREGreenlight Capital Re, Ltd.
$16.08$533.32M7.637.47%14.02%9.86%—
PRE logoPREPrenetics Global Limited
$15.94$270.99M-4.07201.72%-47.43%-49.2%—
AXS logoAXSAXIS Capital Holdings Limited
$105.97$7.73B6.849.05%16.42%17.8%1.7%
MKL logoMKLMarkel Corporation
$1939.04$24.02B13.46-0.96%10.47%9.53%2.5%

Compare ACGL vs Peers

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs RNR

Most directly comparable listed peer for ACGL.

Scale Benchmark

vs CB

Larger-name benchmark to compare ACGL against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs RNR, GLRE, PRE, AXS

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

ACGL SEC Filings & Documents

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Nov 5, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Oct 30, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Oct 30, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 26, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 27, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Nov 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 5, 2026·SEC

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ACGL Frequently Asked Questions

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
How fast is Arch Capital Group Ltd. growing?

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) revenue fell by 3.5% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is ACGL profitable?

Yes. Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) earned $4.38B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 23.2% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does ACGL pay dividends?

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) does not currently pay a meaningful dividend.

What is ACGL's return on equity?

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) had a return on equity (ROE) of 18.3% over the trailing twelve months. That is above the market's typical 10-15%.

Industry Metrics
What is Arch Capital Group Ltd.'s combined ratio?

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) has a combined ratio of 75.0%. A ratio below 100% indicates underwriting profitability.

What if you invested $1,000 in ACGL back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →