...
COPConocoPhillips
$96.46
Analysis updated: Jan 15, 2026

Investment Thesis

COP is a market laggard (RS 52/99, Top 48%) with declining fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

Weak relative strength + ordinary growth = Pass

Key Takeaways

Earnings Momentum

-25%
Q4'24
$1.90
+4%
Q1'25
$2.23
-21%
Q2'25
$1.56
-22%
Q3'25
$1.38
Earnings Declining

Price Structure

Partial Alignment
Price
$96.46
50 DMA
$91.81
100 DMA
$92.27
150 DMA
$92.75
200 DMA
$92.01
Alignment Score: 2/4

COP Price Chart

Loading chart...

50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA
LEADERSHIP TEST FAILED

RS Rating 52/99 is in Bottom 52% of market. Minervini target: Top 20% (RS 80+)

Why Not BUY Yet?

RS Rating
52 (Top 48%)>80 (Top 20%)
EPS Growth
-22%>25% Qtr YoY
Pattern
No base formingVCP or constructive base
Breakout Status
-20.9% below entry ($122.02)Price above breakout entry

What Would Change Our Mind?

To turn bullish on COP, we need:

Twin Engines Dashboard

Technical Health

RS Rating
52/99
Top 48% (Need 80+)
Trend
Weak Uptrend
Above 200 DMA
RSI (14)
53
NEUTRAL
VCP Setup
COOL
Score: 4/9
Volume
7.9M
+9% vs avg
From Entry
-20.9%
$122.02

Fundamental Horsepower

EPS Qtr YoY
-22%
Declining
EPS 3Y CAGR
+9%
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
+19%
Accelerating
F-Score
4/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
16%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
34/99
Percentile

Trade Plan

Breakout Failed

Breakout failed — now -20.9% from entry.

Setup invalid. Wait for new base to form before considering re-entry.

Entry Price$122.02Breakout price
Current Loss-20.9%Below entry
Stop Was$112.26Should have exited

If/Then Playbook

IF: RS Rating improves to >80
THEN: Re-evaluate for WATCHLIST
IF: Price closes below 200 DMA
THEN: Remove from radar entirely
IF: EPS growth accelerates to >40% next quarter
THEN: Reassess as potential turnaround

Key Price Levels

Resistance

  • 52W High$106.20+10.1%
Current$96.46

Support

  • 20 DMA$94.60-1.9%
  • 200 DMA$92.01-4.6%
  • 50 DMA$91.81-4.8%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is COP stock a buy now?

COP is a market laggard (RS 52/99, Top 48%) with declining fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

What is the buy point for COP?

COP's breakout at $122.02 has failed (now -20.9% below entry). The setup is no longer valid — wait for a new base pattern to form.

What is COP's RS Rating?

COP has an RS Rating of 52/99, meaning it's in the Top 48% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.

Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.