AMC Global Media Inc. (AMCX)
Valuation Overview•Is AMC Global Media Inc. Overvalued or Undervalued?
Trading at a relative discount to industry peers, suggesting a specific risk premium is applied.
Fragile underlying quality score of 43/100; weak margins or elevated debt leverage warrant caution.
Analysts remain cautious, with consensus price targets indicating limited room for upside expansion.
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Verdict: Average quality business weighed down by significant profitability concerns.
Wall Street is cautious, forecasting potential downside alongside robust expected earnings growth. This outlook is strongly supported by highly attractive capital returns, driven predominantly by aggressive share repurchases.
Returns capital exclusively via buybacks — no active dividend
AMCX struggles with subpar profitability and pressured margins. This is paired with a moderately leveraged but stable balance sheet.
The company is facing top-line contraction (-9.3% 3Y CAGR) paired with highly explosive earnings growth (113.7% EPS 3Y CAGR). Operating efficiency remains adequate with margins around 7.7%.
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $547.5M | -4.5% | -9.3% | -3.9% | -1.1% | |
| EBITDA | $241.8M | — | -1.0% | — | — | |
| Net Income | -$21.9M | +139.5% | +127.5% | — | -13.2% | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-0.51 | +136.9% | +113.7% | -18.6% | -10.5% | |
| Free Cash Flow | $43.3M | -17.7% | +25.6% | -17.3% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 48.3% | 51.6% | 51.9% | 51.7% |
| Operating Margin | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 15.3% |
| Net Margin | -0.9% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 7.3% |
| FCF Margin | 8.5% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 12.1% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26Latest | $-0.12 | $-0.28 | -140.6% | ||
| Q2'26 | $0.22 | $0.08 | -63.6% | ||
| Q1'26 | $0.57 | $0.64 | +12.3% | ||
| Q4'25 | $0.31 | $0.18 | -41.9% | ||
| Q3'25 | $0.54 | $0.69 | +27.8% | ||
| Q2'25 | $0.73 | $0.52 | -28.8% | ||
| Q1'25 | $0.79 | $0.64 | -19.0% | ||
| Q4'24 | $0.86 | $0.91 | +5.8% |
Total return is +42.5% (1Y), outperforming the benchmark by +27.5%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | +20.6% | +8.0% | — |
| 1Y | +42.5% | +27.5% | — |
| 3YCAGR | -0.8% | -22.3% | — |
| 5YCAGR | -24.8% | -37.4% | — |
| 10YCAGR | -14.3% | -27.8% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 31.3x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about AMC Global Media Inc. (AMCX) valuation, health, and returns.
Based on peer relative multiples, AMC Global Media Inc. appears Limited: Cheap versus peers compared to industry peers.
AMC Global Media Inc. has multiple valuation anchors: Peer Relative Fair Value: $478.81 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $10.33 (implying -7.4% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
AMC Global Media Inc. displays fair financial health with a composite quality score of 43/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 1.1 (distress zone), Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 7.8%.
AMC Global Media Inc. returns capital via buybacks instead of dividends, carrying a 6.1% buyback yield and reducing outstanding shares by +12.3% in the last 12 months.
AMC Global Media Inc.'s current growth trajectory is Accelerating. The company achieved -4.5% 1Y revenue growth and +136.9% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of -9.3%.
Wall Street consensus is Hold based on 41 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 42% of recent quarters with a -2-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a -7.4% change from current levels.
Investment risks for AMC Global Media Inc. include: -34.9% 1-year max drawdown, elevated distress risk. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 0.67x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.