MODEL VERDICT
Angi Inc. (ANGI) — Relative Valuation
Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
Popular:
Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.69 | $8.41 | CURRENT | — |
| Feb 14, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.69 | $8.10 | CURRENT | — |
| Feb 11, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.69 | $11.96 | CURRENT | — |
| Jan 11, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.70 | $14.05 | Pending | -16.8% |
| Dec 12, 2025 | MODERATE | 0.70 | $13.28 | Pending | -12.0% |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward P/E 29 analyst estimates | $9.59 | +14.0% | 20% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| EV/EBITDA 26 industry peers | $21.69 | +157.9% | 20% | A- | Peer Data |
| Industry Median P/E 20 industry peers | $14.81 | +76.1% | 15% | A | Peer Data |
| Price / Free Cash Flow 30 industry peers | $27.72 | +229.6% | 15% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV/EBIT 22 industry peers | $3.64 | -56.7% | 8% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV/FCF 30 industry peers | $20.13 | +139.4% | 7% | B | Model Driven |
| Peg Ratio 8 industry peers | $40.87 | +386.0% | 5% | B | Data |
| EV To Revenue 32 industry peers | $34.15 | +306.1% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 32 industry peers | $26.86 | +219.4% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Earnings Yield 24 industry peers | $17.96 | +113.6% | 2% | B | Data |
| FCF Yield 30 industry peers | $27.72 | +229.6% | 1% | B | Data |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $128.23 | +1424.8% | 100% | 81 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
| EPS Growth ↓ | P/E Multiple → | 8× | 10× | 12× (Current) | 14× | 16× |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear Case (24%) | $7 | $9 | $11 | $12 | $14 |
| Conservative (38%) | $8 | $10 | $12 | $14 | $16 |
| Base Case (58.9%) | $9 | $11 | $14 | $16 | $18 |
| Bull Case (80%) | $10 | $13 | $15 | $18 | $20 |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 768.24 | 1071.33 | 23.38 | 1210.00 | 648.78 |
| EV/EBIT | 351.48 | 100.51 | 23.22 | 930.71 | 503.12 |
| EV/EBITDA | 298.66 | 90.90 | 8.45 | 928.94 | 366.25 |
| P/FCF | 195.35 | 46.87 | 7.98 | 609.90 | 258.83 |
| P/FFO | 430.81 | 187.09 | 6.75 | 1254.19 | 534.82 |
| P/TBV | 171.57 | 131.67 | 58.69 | 399.14 | 138.45 |
| P/AFFO | 624.44 | 98.09 | 11.34 | 2255.79 | 951.90 |
| P/B Ratio | 15.42 | 4.10 | 0.79 | 63.32 | 23.73 |
| P/S Ratio | 14.39 | 2.90 | 0.66 | 56.48 | 21.65 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 28 valuation metrics, the model estimates ANGI's fair value at $128.23 vs the current price of $8.41, implying +1424.8% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 81/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $128.23 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $74.33 (P10) to $255.27 (P90), with a median of $154.73.
ANGI's current P/E of 11.8x compares to the industry median of 20.9x (20 peers in the group). This represents a -43.2% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is 768.2x over 3 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
54 analysts cover ANGI with a consensus rating of Hold. The consensus price target is $12.75 (range: $11.00 — $17.00), implying +51.6% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (19), Hold (33), Sell (2), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 81/100, based on: data completeness (30), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (4), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows strong agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for ANGI.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.