AngloGold Ashanti plc (AU)
Valuation Overview•Is AngloGold Ashanti plc Overvalued or Undervalued?
Trading at a relative discount to industry peers, suggesting a specific risk premium is applied.
High-quality fundamentals with a strong composite quality score of 97/100, backed by robust profitability and solvency.
Wall Street forecasts a balanced outlook with consensus price targets near the current price.
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Verdict: Elite compounder with fortress-level fundamentals across every core pillar.
Wall Street sentiment is generally neutral alongside robust expected earnings growth. This is paired with healthy capital returns, anchored by a strong, well-covered dividend yield.
AU exhibits elite business quality, driven by exceptional capital efficiency and highly lucrative margins (highlighted by a massive 35.9% ROIC). This is backed by a fortress balance sheet, holding significant net cash ($492M) and minimal debt risk.
The company is driving exceptional top-line expansion (30.0% 3Y CAGR) paired with highly explosive earnings growth (111.3% EPS 3Y CAGR). This growth is supported by elite operational efficiency, sustaining an impressive 50.4% operating margin.
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.1B | +70.8% | +30.0% | +16.6% | +9.4% | |
| EBITDA | $1.7B | — | +68.0% | — | — | |
| Net Income | $1.0B | +162.5% | +124.5% | — | +55.9% | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $1.96 | +122.7% | +111.3% | +17.3% | +52.6% | |
| Free Cash Flow | $926.2M | +253.6% | +129.5% | +26.7% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 53.5% | 34.9% | 31.8% | 28.8% |
| Operating Margin | 50.4% | 28.2% | 23.8% | 21.3% |
| Net Margin | 32.2% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 9.3% |
| FCF Margin | 35.8% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 11.2% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26Latest | $2.03 | $1.98 | -2.5% | ||
| Q2'26 | $2.27 | $2.52 | +11.0% | ||
| Q1'26 | $1.98 | $1.90 | -4.0% | ||
| Q4'25 | $1.34 | $1.32 | -1.5% | ||
| Q3'25 | $1.31 | $1.25 | -4.6% | ||
| Q2'25 | $0.95 | $0.88 | -7.4% | ||
| Q1'25 | $1.27 | $0.89 | -29.9% | ||
| Q4'24 | $0.81 | $0.53 | -34.6% |
Total return is +48.7% (1Y), outperforming the benchmark by +33.0%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | +19.6% | +7.2% | — |
| 1Y | +48.7% | +33.0% | +6.5% |
| 3YCAGR | +78.9% | +61.8% | +35.6% |
| 5YCAGR | +47.4% | +36.9% | +47.3% |
| 10YCAGR | +20.8% | +7.6% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 31.3x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about AngloGold Ashanti plc (AU) valuation, health, and returns.
AngloGold Ashanti plc is estimated to be fair under our discounted cash flow framework. relative multiples indicate the stock is Slightly cheap versus peers compared to industry peers. trading near fair value (DCF: $95.75)
AngloGold Ashanti plc has multiple valuation anchors: DCF Intrinsic Value: $95.75 | Peer Relative Fair Value: $116.87 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $98.50 (implying -0.2% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
AngloGold Ashanti plc displays excellent financial health with a composite quality score of 97/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 7.5 (safe zone), Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 35.9%.
AngloGold Ashanti plc pays a 3.7% dividend yield, covered by a 71% payout ratio with 4 years of growth, supplemented by a 0.0% buyback yield.
AngloGold Ashanti plc's current growth trajectory is Accelerating. The company achieved +70.8% 1Y revenue growth and +122.7% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of +30.0%.
Wall Street consensus is Buy based on 14 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 17% of recent quarters with a -1-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a -0.2% change from current levels.
Investment risks for AngloGold Ashanti plc include: -41.6% 1-year max drawdown, high beta (2.05x market volatility). Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 2.05x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.