Avient Corporation (AVNT)
Estimates & Forecasts•Proprietary EPS, revenue & margin forecasts — FY+1 to FY+4
Popular:
AVNT Price Targets Summary| Metric | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | 2029E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income | $76M | $170M | $82M | $122M | $128M | $101M | $103M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.82 | $1.84 | $0.89 | $1.34 | $1.41 | $1.11 | $1.13 |
| YoY Growth | — | +123.9% | -51.7% | +49.3% | +5.0% | -21.5% | +2.1% |
| Net Margin | 2.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% |
USD · AVNT · Proprietary Model| Metric | 2025A | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | 2029E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.3B | $3.3B | $3.3B | $3.2B | $3.2B |
| Net Income | $82M | $122M | $128M | $101M | $103M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.89 | $1.34 | $1.41 | $1.11 | $1.13 |
| Free Cash Flow | $195M | $123M | $133M | $136M | $139M |
Treat point estimates cautiously; use wider scenario ranges and position sizing discipline.
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying AVNT stock.
Avient Corporation's projected EPS for the next fiscal year is $1.34. This estimate blends our quantitative model with Wall Street analyst consensus and carries a confidence score of 53/100. The model factors in revenue trajectory, margin path, and share buyback trends to arrive at this figure.
Our scenario-based model produces three price targets for Avient Corporation: Bear case $36, Base case $60, and Bull case $94. These targets are derived by applying the median historical P/E ratio to forward EPS estimates under each growth scenario. They are not buy/sell recommendations.
Avient Corporation's projected revenue growth for the next fiscal year is 0.5%, reaching approximately $3.3B in total revenue. Growth estimates are probability-weighted and blend analyst consensus with our CAGR extrapolation model. Outer years (FY+3, FY+4) fade toward industry median growth rates.
Accuracy depends on several measurable factors. Our model confidence score of 53/100 is computed from revenue predictability (25% weight), margin stability (20%), historical earnings beat rate (20%), data depth (15%), analyst coverage (10%), and model-consensus agreement (10%). Stable margins provide a consistent baseline. No forecast model is perfect — always cross-reference with your own analysis.
Avient Corporation's forward operating margin is estimated at 6.8% for the next fiscal year. The margin trend is currently "stable". Our model tracks margin mean-reversion patterns and adjusts for sector-specific cost dynamics. Operating leverage is a key driver of EPS growth beyond top-line revenue expansion.
The v2 model uses a multi-step process: (1) Revenue is projected via blended CAGR with probability weighting, (2) Operating and net margins follow a mean-reversion path calibrated to sector norms, (3) EPS is derived from net income divided by projected diluted shares (accounting for buyback trends), (4) For FY+1 and FY+2, estimates are blended with analyst consensus based on coverage depth, (5) Price targets apply median historical P/E to forward EPS under bear/base/bull growth scenarios. All inputs are from public filings and third-party data providers.
The bear case ($36) assumes P25 revenue growth, worst-case margins, and multiple compression. Key risks include: unexpected margin contraction, revenue deceleration below model floor, regulatory headwinds, macro deterioration, or competitive disruption. A confidence score below 60 suggests higher estimate volatility. Always size positions according to the full scenario range, not just the base case.
Our model is below Wall Street consensus with a 56.2% gap. For FY+1, analyst estimates blend with our model at 17% analyst weight. By FY+3 and FY+4, estimates are purely model-driven as analyst coverage thins out at longer horizons.