Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL)
Valuation Overview•Is Carlisle Companies Incorporated Overvalued or Undervalued?
Trading at a relative discount to industry peers, suggesting a specific risk premium is applied.
Moderate quality score of 68/100, reflecting stable operating margins and manageable leverage.
Analysts remain bullish, forecasting further upside expansion with consensus targets suggesting solid gains.
Verdict: Solid fundamental quality, though growth presents a headwind.
Wall Street is broadly bullish, projecting solid upside alongside robust expected earnings growth. This outlook is strongly supported by highly attractive capital returns, driven predominantly by aggressive share repurchases.
CSL demonstrates strong business quality with robust profitability and healthy margins (highlighted by a massive 20.6% ROIC). This is paired with a moderately leveraged but stable balance sheet.
The company is facing top-line contraction (-2.7% 3Y CAGR) however, earnings have severely contracted over the same period. The company maintains healthy operational efficiency with a 20.1% operating margin.
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.1B | +0.3% | -2.7% | +4.8% | +3.5% | |
| EBITDA | $180.3M | — | -6.3% | — | — | |
| Net Income | $127.7M | -43.5% | -7.1% | — | +8.8% | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $3.10 | -38.6% | -0.8% | +24.2% | +13.5% | |
| Free Cash Flow | -$73.0M | +2.6% | +5.9% | +9.9% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 35.6% | 36.4% | 34.4% | 31.6% |
| Operating Margin | 20.1% | 21.4% | 20.2% | 16.3% |
| Net Margin | 14.6% | 19.2% | 17.1% | 13.5% |
| FCF Margin | 18.6% | 20.5% | 16.8% | 13.8% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | $3.31 | $3.63 | +9.7% | ||
| Q1'26 | $3.58 | $3.90 | +8.9% | ||
| Q4'25 | $5.47 | $5.61 | +2.6% | ||
| Q3'25 | $6.58 | $6.27 | -4.7% | ||
| Q2'25 | $3.42 | $3.61 | +5.6% | ||
| Q1'25 | $4.43 | $4.47 | +0.9% | ||
| Q4'24 | $5.82 | $5.78 | -0.7% | ||
| Q3'24 | $5.99 | $6.24 | +4.2% |
Total return is +2.8% (1Y), lagging the benchmark by -22.2%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | +10.6% | +1.3% | — |
| 1Y | +2.8% | -22.2% | +1.2% |
| 3YCAGR | +15.9% | -5.6% | +4.9% |
| 5YCAGR | +16.1% | +2.1% | +9.5% |
| 10YCAGR | +14.1% | +0.1% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 31.3x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL) valuation, health, and returns.
Carlisle Companies Incorporated is estimated to be fair under our discounted cash flow framework. relative multiples indicate the stock is Slightly cheap versus peers compared to industry peers. trading near fair value (DCF: $314.50)
Carlisle Companies Incorporated has multiple valuation anchors: DCF Intrinsic Value: $314.50 | Peer Relative Fair Value: $414.22 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $408.75 (implying +13.2% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Carlisle Companies Incorporated displays good financial health with a composite quality score of 68/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 4.5 (safe zone), Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 20.6%.
Carlisle Companies Incorporated pays a 1.2% dividend yield, covered by a 24% payout ratio with 38 years of growth, supplemented by a 8.8% buyback yield.
Carlisle Companies Incorporated's current growth trajectory is Accelerating. The company achieved +0.3% 1Y revenue growth and -38.6% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of -2.7%.
Wall Street consensus is Buy based on 26 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 83% of recent quarters with a 3-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a +13.2% change from current levels.
Investment risks for Carlisle Companies Incorporated include: -32.1% 1-year max drawdown. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 1.22x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.