MODEL VERDICT
Digi Power X Inc. (DGXX) — Relative Valuation
Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV To Revenue 106 industry peers | $3.43 | +41.2% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 106 industry peers | $3.15 | +29.6% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $3.00 | +23.6% | 100% | 51 | UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/FFO | 228.40 | 5.18 | 0.65 | 679.38 | 390.57 |
| P/TBV | 1.90 | 2.27 | 0.21 | 2.85 | 1.16 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.79 | 2.17 | 0.21 | 2.64 | 1.08 |
| P/S Ratio | 2.05 | 1.88 | 0.41 | 4.04 | 1.58 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 5 valuation metrics, the model estimates DGXX's fair value at $3.00 vs the current price of $2.43, implying +23.6% upside potential. Model verdict: Undervalued. Confidence: 51/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $3.00 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $1.58 (P10) to $4.73 (P90), with a median of $3.14.
DGXX's current P/E of -11.0x compares to the industry median of 23.7x (52 peers in the group). This represents a -146.5% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
1 analysts cover DGXX with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $4.25 (range: $3.50 — $5.00), implying +74.9% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (1), Hold (0), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 51/100, based on: data completeness (9), peer quality (25), historical depth (10), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for DGXX.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.