Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (GDHG)
Valuation Overview•Is Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Overvalued or Undervalued?
Trading at a relative discount to industry peers, suggesting a specific risk premium is applied.
Moderate quality score of 47/100, reflecting stable operating margins and manageable leverage.
Wall Street forecasts a balanced outlook with consensus price targets near the current price.
Verdict: Average quality business weighed down by significant growth concerns.
Wall Street sentiment is generally neutral. The company currently dilutes shareholders to fund operations and growth rather than returning capital.
GDHG struggles with subpar profitability and pressured margins. This is backed by a fortress balance sheet, holding significant net cash ($79M) and minimal debt risk.
The company is facing top-line contraction (-28.5% 3Y CAGR) paired with stable bottom-line earnings. However, profitability remains a major concern with severely compressed operating margins (-18.1%).
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $7.1M | -31.5% | -28.5% | -11.3% | — | |
| EBITDA | $4.1M | — | — | — | — | |
| Net Income | $2.0M | -378.3% | — | — | — | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.81 | -825.6% | — | — | — | |
| Free Cash Flow | $3.5M | +714.1% | +0.7% | +9.7% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 47.0% | 51.9% | 59.5% | 60.2% |
| Operating Margin | -18.1% | -3.6% | 17.7% | 21.4% |
| Net Margin | -27.6% | -14.5% | 5.2% | 8.8% |
| FCF Margin | 42.2% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 16.1% |
Total return is -92.6% (1Y), lagging the benchmark by -113.5%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | -27.2% | -34.5% | — |
| 1Y | -92.6% | -113.5% | — |
| 3YCAGR | -97.5% | -116.7% | — |
| 5YCAGR | -88.8% | -99.8% | — |
| 10YCAGR | -66.5% | -79.5% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 30.6x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (GDHG) valuation, health, and returns.
Based on peer relative multiples, Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. appears Limited: Cheap versus peers compared to industry peers.
Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. has multiple valuation anchors: Peer Relative Fair Value: $312.91. A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. displays fair financial health with a composite quality score of 47/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 1.1 (distress zone), Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of -5.8%.
Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. does not return material capital to shareholders via dividends or share repurchases, electing to retain earnings to fund internal growth.
Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd.'s current growth trajectory is Decelerating. The company achieved -31.5% 1Y revenue growth and -825.6% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of -28.5%.
Wall Street consensus is Hold based on 0 analysts. The consensus price target represents a N/A change from current levels.
Investment risks for Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. include: -94.9% 1-year max drawdown, elevated distress risk. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 0.08x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.