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GE HealthCare Technologies Inc. (GEHC)
Intrinsic Value (DCF)
Current$82.51
→
Intrinsic$47.19
-43%
$27.83$47.19$83.99
Market implies 19% growth for 5 years
Current price reflects execution expectations above 8% growth — not unreasonable for quality businesses.
At $83, the market prices in continued high-teens cash flow growth (19%) — likely reflecting buybacks, margin stability, and ecosystem strength.
Range: Bear $28 → Bull $84. Current price implies expectations above the base case, closer to bull expectations.
| Discount ↓Growth → | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8% | $59 | $65 | $72 | $80 |
| 10% | $38 | $42 | $47 | $52 |
| 12% | $26 | $30 | $33 | $37 |
| 14% | $19 | $21 | $24 | $28 |
Bull Case
- Bull case ($84) offers 2% upside at 10% growth, 9% discount
- Conservative 8% growth assumption is achievable based on track record
Bear Case
- Bear case ($28) implies 66% downside at 6% growth, 12% discount
- Price reflects 19% growth expectations vs 8% historical — high bar to clear
- Trading 43% above base case — execution must exceed assumptions to justify
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5-Year Free Cash Flow Projection
Year 1$1.67B
Year 2$1.81B
Year 3$1.95B
Year 4$2.11B
Year 5$2.28B
Terminal$33.51B
📐 Model Inputs
Growth Rate8.0%5Y CAGR (cascade: 5Y→3Y→TTM)
Discount Rate10.0%WACC estimate
Terminal Growth3.0%Perpetuity rate
Base Free Cash Flow$1.55BTTM actual
Bear g×0.8, r+2%
Base Historical CAGR
Bull g×1.2, r−1.5%
DCF estimates based on historical growth rates extrapolated forward. See FAQ below for full methodology.