MODEL VERDICT
Getty Images Holdings, Inc. (GETY) — Relative Valuation
Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
Popular:
Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.67 | $0.78 | CURRENT | — |
| Feb 21, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.67 | $0.74 | CURRENT | — |
| Feb 14, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.67 | $1.00 | CURRENT | — |
| Feb 11, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.67 | $1.15 | CURRENT | — |
| Jan 11, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.69 | $1.30 | Pending | -15.4% |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward P/E 29 analyst estimates | $1.25 | +60.7% | 20% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| EV/EBITDA 24 industry peers | $3.16 | +306.2% | 20% | A- | Peer Data |
| Industry Median P/E 19 industry peers | $1.77 | +127.5% | 15% | A | Peer Data |
| Price / Free Cash Flow 27 industry peers | $2.00 | +157.1% | 15% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV/EBIT 20 industry peers | $0.92 | +18.3% | 8% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV To Revenue 34 industry peers | $3.29 | +322.9% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 34 industry peers | $6.82 | +776.6% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Earnings Yield 23 industry peers | $2.43 | +212.3% | 2% | B | Data |
| FCF Yield 27 industry peers | $1.94 | +149.4% | 1% | B | Data |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $2.89 | +272.0% | 100% | 74 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
| EPS Growth ↓ | P/E Multiple → | 4× | 6× | 8× (Current) | 10× | 12× |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear Case (4%) | $0 | $1 | $1 | $1 | $1 |
| Conservative (7%) | $0 | $1 | $1 | $1 | $1 |
| Base Case (10.0%) | $0 | $1 | $1 | $1 | $1 |
| Bull Case (14%) | $0 | $1 | $1 | $1 | $1 |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 68.36 | 70.71 | 22.67 | 111.70 | 44.57 |
| EV/EBIT | 29.93 | 34.69 | 9.75 | 51.51 | 16.17 |
| EV/EBITDA | 14.22 | 16.02 | 8.80 | 19.56 | 4.65 |
| P/FCF | 22.71 | 23.47 | 14.72 | 32.02 | 7.87 |
| P/FFO | 39.50 | 22.09 | 8.89 | 98.12 | 36.97 |
| P/AFFO | 71.21 | 36.82 | 19.47 | 191.72 | 81.83 |
| P/B Ratio | 5.35 | 3.17 | 1.25 | 11.27 | 4.30 |
| P/S Ratio | 2.52 | 2.36 | 0.95 | 4.07 | 1.30 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 23 valuation metrics, the model estimates GETY's fair value at $2.89 vs the current price of $0.78, implying +272.0% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 74/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $2.89 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $2.22 (P10) to $4.23 (P90), with a median of $3.10.
GETY's current P/E of 8.2x compares to the industry median of 18.6x (19 peers in the group). This represents a -56.1% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is 68.4x over 3 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
8 analysts cover GETY with a consensus rating of Hold. The consensus price target is $6.57 (range: $5.00 — $7.70), implying +744.5% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (2), Hold (5), Sell (1), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 74/100, based on: data completeness (27), peer quality (25), historical depth (16), earnings stability (4), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows strong agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for GETY.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.