Goldgroup Mining Inc. (GORO)
Valuation Overview•Is Goldgroup Mining Inc. Overvalued or Undervalued?
Trading at a relative discount to industry peers, suggesting a specific risk premium is applied.
Moderate quality score of 73/100, reflecting stable operating margins and manageable leverage.
Analysts remain cautious, with consensus price targets indicating limited room for upside expansion.
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Verdict: Solid fundamental quality, though profitability presents a headwind.
Wall Street is cautious, forecasting potential downside alongside robust expected earnings growth. The company currently dilutes shareholders to fund operations and growth rather than returning capital.
GORO demonstrates strong business quality with robust profitability and healthy margins (highlighted by a massive 41.0% ROIC). This is backed by a fortress balance sheet, holding significant net cash ($25M) and minimal debt risk.
The company is facing top-line contraction (-12.5% 3Y CAGR) paired with stable bottom-line earnings. This growth is supported by elite operational efficiency, sustaining an impressive 31.0% operating margin.
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $21.1M | +44.0% | -12.5% | +0.6% | +0.1% | |
| EBITDA | $3.0M | — | -10.8% | — | — | |
| Net Income | -$6.1M | +88.6% | -0.7% | — | — | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-0.08 | +92.3% | — | — | — | |
| Free Cash Flow | $99K | +107.8% | — | -50.9% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 37.9% | -9.7% | 1.6% | 14.2% |
| Operating Margin | 31.0% | -16.7% | -5.4% | 5.7% |
| Net Margin | 8.7% | -39.6% | -23.4% | -10.2% |
| FCF Margin | 9.9% | -10.1% | -4.3% | 0.5% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26Latest | $0.09 | $0.09 | +0.0% | ||
| Q3'26 | $0.09 | $-0.02 | -122.9% | ||
| Q2'26 | — | $0.07 | — | ||
| Q2'26 | — | $0.03 | — | ||
| Q2'26 | — | $0.03 | — | ||
| Q1'26 | — | $0.14 | — | ||
| Q1'26 | — | $0.14 | — | ||
| Q4'25 | — | $-0.03 | — |
Total return is +13.5% (1Y), lagging the benchmark by -2.3%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | -18.5% | -30.9% | — |
| 1Y | +13.5% | -2.3% | — |
| 3YCAGR | +28.3% | +4.2% | — |
| 5YCAGR | -10.6% | -22.4% | +0.8% |
| 10YCAGR | -18.0% | -31.8% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 31.3x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Goldgroup Mining Inc. (GORO) valuation, health, and returns.
Based on peer relative multiples, Goldgroup Mining Inc. appears Cheap versus peers compared to industry peers.
Goldgroup Mining Inc. has multiple valuation anchors: Peer Relative Fair Value: $6.77 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $2.00 (implying -45.2% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Goldgroup Mining Inc. displays good financial health with a composite quality score of 73/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 0.9 (distress zone), Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 41.0%.
Goldgroup Mining Inc. does not return material capital to shareholders via dividends or share repurchases, electing to retain earnings to fund internal growth.
Goldgroup Mining Inc.'s current growth trajectory is Accelerating. The company achieved +44.0% 1Y revenue growth and +92.3% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of -12.5%.
Wall Street consensus is Buy based on 4 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 8% of recent quarters with a -9-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a -45.2% change from current levels.
Investment risks for Goldgroup Mining Inc. include: -68.2% 1-year max drawdown, elevated distress risk. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 0.96x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.