Hanover Bancorp, Inc. (HNVR)
Valuation Overview•Is Hanover Bancorp, Inc. Overvalued or Undervalued?
The market is pricing the stock in line with historical averages, assuming steady-state growth.
Fragile underlying quality score of 38/100; weak margins or elevated debt leverage warrant caution.
Analysts remain bullish, forecasting further upside expansion with consensus targets suggesting solid gains.
Verdict: Mixed fundamental profile with offsetting strengths and weaknesses.
Wall Street is broadly bullish, projecting solid upside alongside robust expected earnings growth. This is paired with healthy capital returns, anchored by a strong, well-covered dividend yield.
HNVR struggles with subpar profitability and pressured margins. This is backed by a fortress balance sheet, holding significant net cash ($83M) and minimal debt risk.
The company maintains stable top-line performance however, earnings have severely contracted over the same period. Operating efficiency remains adequate with margins around 6.9%.
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $35.4M | -3.4% | — | — | — | |
| EBITDA | $136K | — | -32.4% | — | — | |
| Net Income | $33K | -39.3% | -31.8% | — | — | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.00 | -39.8% | -35.2% | -3.4% | — | |
| Free Cash Flow | $8.0M | +183.3% | -18.3% | — | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 43.9% | 46.4% | 61.8% | 77.5% |
| Operating Margin | 6.9% | 11.9% | 20.4% | 24.7% |
| Net Margin | 5.2% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 17.2% |
| FCF Margin | 8.5% | 7.9% | 15.2% | 13.0% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | $0.53 | $0.54 | +1.9% | ||
| Q1'26 | — | $0.00 | — | ||
| Q1'26 | $0.51 | $0.00 | -99.1% | ||
| Q4'25 | $0.49 | $0.47 | -4.1% | ||
| Q3'25 | $0.57 | $0.33 | -42.1% | ||
| Q2'25 | $0.51 | $0.55 | +7.8% | ||
| Q2'25 | $0.51 | $0.55 | +7.8% | ||
| Q1'25 | $0.49 | $0.52 | +6.1% |
Total return is +12.2% (1Y), lagging the benchmark by -8.7%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | +3.9% | -3.4% | — |
| 1Y | +12.2% | -8.7% | +1.9% |
| 3YCAGR | +11.1% | -8.3% | +6.7% |
| 5YCAGR | +3.6% | -7.9% | +8.1% |
| 10YCAGR | +1.8% | -11.9% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 30.6x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Hanover Bancorp, Inc. (HNVR) valuation, health, and returns.
Based on peer relative multiples, Hanover Bancorp, Inc. appears Fair versus peers compared to industry peers.
Hanover Bancorp, Inc. has multiple valuation anchors: Peer Relative Fair Value: $23.57 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $26.50 (implying +14.0% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Hanover Bancorp, Inc. displays weak financial health with a composite quality score of 38/100, supported by a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 2.2%.
Hanover Bancorp, Inc. pays a 1.7% dividend yield, covered by a 40% payout ratio with 0 years of growth, supplemented by a 1.1% buyback yield.
Hanover Bancorp, Inc.'s current growth trajectory is Accelerating. The company achieved -3.4% 1Y revenue growth and -39.8% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of N/A.
Wall Street consensus is Buy based on 2 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 67% of recent quarters with a 1-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a +14.0% change from current levels.
Investment risks for Hanover Bancorp, Inc. include: -15.6% 1-year max drawdown. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 0.55x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.