MODEL VERDICT
Kaltura, Inc. (KLTR) — Relative Valuation
Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
Popular:
Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward P/E 89 analyst estimates | $0.94 | -34.3% | 20% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| Price / Free Cash Flow 79 industry peers | $1.34 | -6.3% | 15% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV/FCF 83 industry peers | $1.30 | -9.1% | 7% | B | Model Driven |
| EV To Revenue 106 industry peers | $3.94 | +175.5% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 106 industry peers | $3.79 | +165.0% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| FCF Yield 83 industry peers | $1.37 | -4.2% | 1% | B | Data |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $1.36 | -4.7% | 100% | 62 | FAIRLY VALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/TBV | 12.47 | 10.87 | 3.31 | 24.83 | 9.46 |
| P/B Ratio | 7.55 | 7.03 | 2.81 | 13.34 | 4.60 |
| P/S Ratio | 1.53 | 1.50 | 1.33 | 1.82 | 0.21 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 14 valuation metrics, the model estimates KLTR's fair value at $1.36 vs the current price of $1.43, implying -4.7% downside potential. Model verdict: Fairly Valued. Confidence: 62/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $1.36 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $1.12 (P10) to $1.86 (P90), with a median of $1.49.
KLTR's current P/E of -6.8x compares to the industry median of 23.7x (52 peers in the group). This represents a -128.7% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
9 analysts cover KLTR with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $4.00 (range: $4.00 — $4.00), implying +179.7% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (4), Hold (3), Sell (2), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 62/100, based on: data completeness (15), peer quality (25), historical depth (10), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (7). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for KLTR.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.