Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP (KRP)
Valuation Overview•Is Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP Overvalued or Undervalued?
Trading at a discount across both intrinsic cash flow and relative peer multiples, indicating a strong margin of safety.
High-quality fundamentals with a strong composite quality score of 77/100, backed by robust profitability and solvency.
Analysts remain bullish, forecasting further upside expansion with consensus targets suggesting solid gains.
Verdict: Solid fundamental quality, though solvency presents a headwind.
Wall Street is highly bullish, projecting significant upside alongside robust expected earnings growth. This outlook is strongly supported by highly attractive capital returns, driven by a balanced mix of reliable dividends and share buybacks.
KRP demonstrates strong business quality with robust profitability and healthy margins. However, the balance sheet carries elevated leverage, requiring careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities.
The company demonstrates solid revenue growth (5.4% 3Y CAGR) however, earnings have severely contracted over the same period. This growth is supported by elite operational efficiency, sustaining an impressive 40.8% operating margin.
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $84.2M | +7.5% | +5.4% | +29.1% | +53.2% | |
| EBITDA | $63.9M | — | -10.7% | — | — | |
| Net Income | $6.6M | +642.2% | -6.7% | — | — | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.03 | +100.6% | -35.6% | — | — | |
| Free Cash Flow | $49.4M | -2.0% | +113.7% | — | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 94.2% | 67.0% | 70.3% | -1655.5% |
| Operating Margin | 40.8% | 30.6% | 33.5% | -35.7% |
| Net Margin | 22.7% | 18.5% | 22.8% | -44.5% |
| FCF Margin | 73.5% | 12.8% | 13.4% | -7.7% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | $0.23 | $0.04 | -82.6% | ||
| Q1'26 | $0.14 | $0.21 | +50.0% | ||
| Q4'25 | $0.13 | $0.19 | +46.2% | ||
| Q3'25 | $0.14 | $0.02 | -85.7% | ||
| Q2'25 | $0.15 | $0.20 | +33.3% | ||
| Q1'25 | $0.19 | $-0.10 | -152.6% | ||
| Q4'24 | $0.21 | $0.22 | +4.8% | ||
| Q3'24 | $0.19 | $0.11 | -42.1% |
Total return is +11.7% (1Y), lagging the benchmark by -13.3%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | +29.3% | +20.0% | — |
| 1Y | +11.7% | -13.3% | +10.4% |
| 3YCAGR | +10.2% | -9.3% | +34.0% |
| 5YCAGR | +12.5% | 0.0% | +65.5% |
| 10YCAGR | +3.3% | -10.3% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 31.3x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP (KRP) valuation, health, and returns.
Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP is estimated to be undervalued under our discounted cash flow framework. relative multiples indicate the stock is Cheap versus peers compared to industry peers. undervalued (implying +89.1% upside to DCF intrinsic value of $27.93)
Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP has multiple valuation anchors: DCF Intrinsic Value: $27.93 | Peer Relative Fair Value: $18.33 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $20.00 (implying +35.4% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP displays good financial health with a composite quality score of 77/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 2.1 (grey zone), Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 8.8%.
Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP pays a 9.7% dividend yield, covered by a 190% payout ratio with 0 years of growth, supplemented by a 13.1% buyback yield.
Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP's current growth trajectory is Accelerating. The company achieved +7.5% 1Y revenue growth and +100.6% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of +5.4%.
Wall Street consensus is Buy based on 18 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 42% of recent quarters with a -1-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a +35.4% change from current levels.
Investment risks for Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP include: -24.6% 1-year max drawdown, stretched payout ratio. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of -0.05x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.