MODEL VERDICT
Comstock Inc. (LODE)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price / Book 21 industry peers | $7.25 | +154.4% | 8% | B | Model Driven |
| Price / Sales 24 industry peers | $0.23 | -91.9% | 2% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $5.26 | +84.6% | 100% | 65 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/TBV | 0.76 | 0.53 | 0.10 | 2.47 | 0.82 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.67 | 0.37 | 0.07 | 2.23 | 0.74 |
| P/S Ratio | 46.87 | 45.22 | 7.54 | 114.94 | 34.63 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 6 valuation metrics, the model estimates LODE's fair value at $5.26 vs the current price of $2.85, implying +84.6% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 65/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $5.26 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $2.26 (P10) to $5.33 (P90), with a median of $3.75.
LODE's current P/E of -0.9x compares to the industry median of 44.5x (13 peers in the group). This represents a -102.0% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
5 analysts cover LODE with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is N/A (range: N/A — N/A), implying N/A upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (3), Hold (2), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 65/100, based on: data completeness (11), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (4). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for LODE.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.